Europa League
· Quarter-finals
April 16, 2026 18:45
W. Swedberg
(ast. H. Alvarez)
90'+1
33'
(ast. J. Makengo)
I. Matanovic
39'
(ast. J. Beste)
Y. Suzuki
50'
(ast. V. Grifo)
Y. Suzuki
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 44% win probability (draw 20%, Celta Vigo 34%). The final result was Celta Vigo 1–3 SC Freiburg. In 1 previous meetings, Celta Vigo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SC Freiburg.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
6
1.60
Actual xG
1.06
2
Saves
2
56%
Possession
44%
6
Corners
3
16
Tackles
22
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
33'
ast. J. Makengo ·
I. Matanovic⚽
39'
ast. J. Beste ·
Y. Suzuki⚽
45'
I. Matanovic
I. Moriba
45'
B. Iglesias
/ I. Aspas
46'
Y. Lago
/ S. Carreira
46'
I. Moriba
/ W. Swedberg
46'
J. Rueda
/ J. El Abdellaoui
46'
M. Vecino
49'
I. Aspas
49'
50'
ast. V. Grifo ·
Y. Suzuki⚽
56'
L. Holer
/
I. Matanovic
56'
D. Scherhant
/
V. Grifo
56'
M. Ginter
M. Vecino
/ H. Alvarez
64'
71'
B. Ogbus
/
P. Lienhart
71'
N. Hofler
/
J. Manzambi
83'
C. Irie
/
J. Beste
H. Alvarez
87'
⚽W. Swedberg
· ast. H. Alvarez
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
34.76%
Celta
20.76%
X
44.48%
SC ←
we assigned to the actual result (SC Freiburg)
44.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
1.60
+0.03
2.15
1.06
-1.09
Celta Vigo dominated by xG (1.60 vs 1.06).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Ionuț Radu
88'
G
Ionuț Radu
88'
G
3
Óscar Mingueza
88'
D
Óscar Mingueza
88'
D
20
Marcos Alonso
88'
D
Marcos Alonso
88'
D
29
Yoel Lago
45'
D
Yoel Lago
45'
D
32
Javi Rodríguez
88'
D
Javi Rodríguez
88'
D
15
M. Vecino
64'
M
9
Ferran Jutglà
88'
M
Ferran Jutglà
88'
M
6
I. Moriba
45'
M
I. Moriba
45'
M
30
Fer López
88'
M
Fer López
88'
M
17
Javi Rueda
45'
M
Javi Rueda
45'
M
7
Borja Iglesias
45'
F
Borja Iglesias
45'
F
Bench
14
Alvaro Núñez
D
Alvaro Núñez
D
23
Hugo Álvarez
1 👟
24'
M
Hugo Álvarez
1 👟
24'
M
22
Hugo Sotelo
M
Hugo Sotelo
M
10
Iago Aspas
43'
F
Iago Aspas
43'
F
18
Pablo Durán
F
Pablo Durán
F
19
Williot Swedberg
1 ⚽
43'
M
Williot Swedberg
1 ⚽
43'
M
1
Noah Atubolu
88'
G
Noah Atubolu
88'
G
33
Jordy Makengo
1 👟
88'
D
Jordy Makengo
1 👟
88'
D
3
Philipp Lienhart
71'
D
Philipp Lienhart
71'
D
28
Matthias Ginter
88'
D
Matthias Ginter
88'
D
29
Philipp Treu
88'
D
Philipp Treu
88'
D
44
Johan Manzambi
71'
M
Johan Manzambi
71'
M
8
Maximilian Eggestein
88'
M
Maximilian Eggestein
88'
M
32
V. Grifo
1 👟
56'
M
V. Grifo
1 👟
56'
M
14
Y. Suzuki
2 ⚽
88'
M
Y. Suzuki
2 ⚽
88'
M
19
J. Beste
1 👟
83'
M
J. Beste
1 👟
83'
M
31
I. Matanović
1 ⚽
56'
F
I. Matanović
1 ⚽
56'
F
Bench
43
Bruno Ogbus
17'
D
Bruno Ogbus
17'
D
30
Christian Günter
D
Christian Günter
D
22
Cyriaque Irié
5'
F
Cyriaque Irié
5'
F
7
Derry Scherhant
32'
F
Derry Scherhant
32'
F
9
L. Höler
32'
F
L. Höler
32'
F
17
Lukas Kübler
D
Lukas Kübler
D
27
Nicolas Höfler
17'
M
Nicolas Höfler
17'
M
Best on the pitch
Y. Suzuki
M · SC
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
Noah Atubolu
G · SC
8.00
· 36 pass
I. Matanović
F · SC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Philipp Treu
D · SC
7.50
· 27 pass
J. Beste
M · SC
7.30
1 👟
· 27 pass
Johan Manzambi
M · SC
7.20
2 shots
· 21 pass
Celta Vigo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ionuț Radu | G | 88 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Óscar Mingueza | D | 88 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 81 | 76% | 5 | — | — |
| Yoel Lago | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Vecino | M | 64 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Moriba | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Fer López | M | 88 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Javi Rueda | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 4 | — | — |
| Borja Iglesias | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Iago Aspas | F | 43 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Williot Swedberg | M | 43 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
SC Freiburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Atubolu | G | 88 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Jordy Makengo | D | 88 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Philipp Lienhart | D | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Matthias Ginter | D | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| Philipp Treu | D | 88 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Johan Manzambi | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Maximilian Eggestein | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| V. Grifo | M | 56 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Suzuki | M | 88 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Beste | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| I. Matanović | F | 56 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Ogbus | D | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Cyriaque Irié | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Derry Scherhant | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Höler | F | 32 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Höfler | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg?
The final score was Celta Vigo 1–3 SC Freiburg.
What did the model predict before Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Celta Vigo win, 20% to a draw, and 44% to an SC Freiburg win.