Europa League
· Quarter-finals
April 16, 2026 18:45
W. Swedberg
(ast. H. Alvarez)
90'+1
33'
(ast. J. Makengo)
I. Matanovic
39'
(ast. J. Beste)
Y. Suzuki
50'
(ast. V. Grifo)
Y. Suzuki
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 44% win probability (draw 20%, Celta Vigo 34%). The final result was Celta Vigo 1–3 SC Freiburg. In 1 previous meetings, Celta Vigo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SC Freiburg.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
6
1.60
Actual xG
1.06
2
Saves
2
56%
Possession
44%
6
Corners
3
16
Tackles
22
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
33'
ast. J. Makengo ·
I. Matanovic⚽
39'
ast. J. Beste ·
Y. Suzuki⚽
45'
I. Matanovic
I. Moriba
45'
B. Iglesias
/ I. Aspas
46'
Y. Lago
/ S. Carreira
46'
I. Moriba
/ W. Swedberg
46'
J. Rueda
/ J. El Abdellaoui
46'
M. Vecino
49'
I. Aspas
49'
50'
ast. V. Grifo ·
Y. Suzuki⚽
56'
L. Holer
/
I. Matanovic
56'
D. Scherhant
/
V. Grifo
56'
M. Ginter
M. Vecino
/ H. Alvarez
64'
71'
B. Ogbus
/
P. Lienhart
71'
N. Hofler
/
J. Manzambi
83'
C. Irie
/
J. Beste
H. Alvarez
87'
⚽W. Swedberg
· ast. H. Alvarez
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
34.76%
Celta
20.76%
X
44.48%
SC ←
we assigned to the actual result (SC Freiburg)
44.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
1.60
+0.03
2.15
1.06
-1.09
Celta Vigo dominated by xG (1.60 vs 1.06).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
I. Radu
88'
G
I. Radu
88'
G
3
Óscar Mingueza
88'
D
Óscar Mingueza
88'
D
20
Marcos Alonso
88'
D
Marcos Alonso
88'
D
29
Yoel Lago
45'
D
Yoel Lago
45'
D
32
Javi Rodríguez
88'
D
Javi Rodríguez
88'
D
15
Matías Vecino
64'
M
Matías Vecino
64'
M
9
Ferran Jutglà
88'
M
Ferran Jutglà
88'
M
6
I. Moriba
45'
M
I. Moriba
45'
M
30
Fer López
88'
M
Fer López
88'
M
17
Javi Rueda
45'
M
Javi Rueda
45'
M
7
Borja Iglesias
45'
F
Borja Iglesias
45'
F
Bench
14
Álvaro Núñez
D
Álvaro Núñez
D
23
Hugo Álvarez
1 👟
24'
M
Hugo Álvarez
1 👟
24'
M
22
Hugo Sotelo
M
Hugo Sotelo
M
10
Iago Aspas
43'
F
Iago Aspas
43'
F
18
Pablo Durán
F
Pablo Durán
F
19
W. Swedberg
1 ⚽
43'
M
W. Swedberg
1 ⚽
43'
M
1
N. Atubolu
88'
G
N. Atubolu
88'
G
33
Jordy Makengo
1 👟
88'
D
3
P. Lienhart
71'
D
P. Lienhart
71'
D
28
M. Ginter
88'
D
M. Ginter
88'
D
29
P. Treu
88'
D
P. Treu
88'
D
44
J. Manzambi
71'
M
J. Manzambi
71'
M
8
M. Eggestein
88'
M
M. Eggestein
88'
M
32
V. Grifo
1 👟
56'
M
V. Grifo
1 👟
56'
M
14
Yuito Suzuki
2 ⚽
88'
M
Yuito Suzuki
2 ⚽
88'
M
19
J. Beste
1 👟
83'
M
J. Beste
1 👟
83'
M
31
I. Matanović
1 ⚽
56'
F
I. Matanović
1 ⚽
56'
F
Bench
30
C. Günter
D
C. Günter
D
22
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
5'
F
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
5'
F
7
D. Scherhant
32'
F
D. Scherhant
32'
F
43
I. Ogbus
17'
D
I. Ogbus
17'
D
9
L. Höler
32'
F
L. Höler
32'
F
17
L. Kübler
D
L. Kübler
D
27
Nicolas Höfler
17'
M
Nicolas Höfler
17'
M
Best on the pitch
Yuito Suzuki
M · SC
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
N. Atubolu
G · SC
8.00
· 36 pass
I. Matanović
F · SC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
P. Treu
D · SC
7.50
· 27 pass
J. Beste
M · SC
7.30
1 👟
· 27 pass
J. Manzambi
M · SC
7.20
2 shots
· 21 pass
Celta Vigo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Radu | G | 88 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Óscar Mingueza | D | 88 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 81 | 76% | 5 | — | — |
| Yoel Lago | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Matías Vecino | M | 64 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Moriba | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Fer López | M | 88 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Javi Rueda | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 4 | — | — |
| Borja Iglesias | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Iago Aspas | F | 43 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| W. Swedberg | M | 43 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
SC Freiburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Atubolu | G | 88 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Jordy Makengo | D | 88 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Lienhart | D | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Ginter | D | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Treu | D | 88 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Manzambi | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Eggestein | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| V. Grifo | M | 56 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Yuito Suzuki | M | 88 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Beste | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| I. Matanović | F | 56 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Cyriaque Kalou Irié | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| D. Scherhant | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Ogbus | D | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Höler | F | 32 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Höfler | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg?
The final score was Celta Vigo 1–3 SC Freiburg.
What did the model predict before Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Celta Vigo win, 20% to a draw, and 44% to an SC Freiburg win.