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Celta Vigo - Union St. Gilloise

Europa League November 05, 2026 21:00
Celta Vigo
#25 · 0 pts
vs
Union St. Gilloise
#5 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.25%
Win
Celta Vigo
26.91%
Draw
44.85%
Win
Union St. Gilloise
1.04
Expected xG
1.73

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.37%)
1X2 Result
1 28%
X 27%
2 45%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 55%
X2 72%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Union St. Gilloise a 44% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Celta Vigo. Expected goals are 1.0 for Celta Vigo and 1.7 for Union St. Gilloise (total 2.8), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.37% probability.

Season Stats

Celta Vigo
7W 2D 6L
Union St. Gilloise
1W 0D 0L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
3.0
1.3
Conceded
0.0
4.3
Shots OT
13.0
3.8
Corners
1.0
49%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
67%
BTTS
0%
20%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
43%
BTTS
Celta Vigo
4W 1D 2L · at home
Union St. Gilloise
1W 0D 0L · away
1.6
gls/g
3.0
1.3
Conceded
0.0
57%
Win %
100%
71%
Win or Draw
100%
86%
O 1.5
100%
71%
O 2.5
100%
29%
O 3.5
0%
86%
BTTS
0%
14%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Celta Vigo Union St. Gilloise →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3% 10.9% 9.4% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
1 6.5% 11.3% 9.8% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.4% 5.8% 5.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
L Omonia Nicosia 1–0
L SC Freiburg 1–3
L SC Freiburg 3–0
W Lyon 0–2
D Lyon 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
W Plzen 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Attack
32
Defence
67
Form
34
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
Attack
69
Defence
70
Form
76
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
The model gives Celta Vigo a 28% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 44% for an Union St. Gilloise win.
How many goals are expected in Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
Expected goals: Celta Vigo 1.0, Union St. Gilloise 1.7 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.37%.