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Celtic - Celta Vigo

Europa League October 22, 2026 21:00
Celtic
#28 · 0 pts
vs
Celta Vigo
#25 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
59.79%
Win
Celtic
18.99%
Draw
21.22%
Win
Celta Vigo
2.65
Expected xG
1.4
Most likely outcome
Celtic
59.79%
Probability
64.3%
1X2 accuracy · 14 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.97%)
1X2 Result
1 60%
X 19%
2 21%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 79%
X2 40%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 88%
Over 2.5 77%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Celtic a 59% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 21% for Celta Vigo. Expected goals are 2.6 for Celtic and 1.4 for Celta Vigo (total 4.0), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.97% probability.

Season Stats

Celtic
4W 2D 5L
Celta Vigo
7W 2D 6L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.5
2.0
Conceded
1.3
3.9
Shots OT
4.3
5.7
Corners
3.8
50%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
91%
O 1.5
87%
73%
O 2.5
67%
73%
BTTS
67%
9%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
32%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
Celtic
2W 0D 4L · at home
Celta Vigo
3W 1D 4L · away
1.3
gls/g
1.4
2.5
Conceded
1.4
33%
Win %
38%
33%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
88%
83%
O 2.5
63%
50%
O 3.5
13%
67%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
33%
Failed to Score
25%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Celtic Celta Vigo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.6% 6.5% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.1% 8.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.4% 7.6% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.6% 5.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.9% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

Celtic Celtic
L Ferencvarosi TC 1–3
W VfB Stuttgart 0–1
L VfB Stuttgart 1–4
W Utrecht 4–2
D Bologna 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
L Omonia Nicosia 1–0
L SC Freiburg 1–3
L SC Freiburg 3–0
W Lyon 0–2
D Lyon 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Celtic Celtic
Attack
52
Defence
57
Form
39
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Attack
32
Defence
67
Form
34
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
The model gives Celtic a 59% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 21% for an Celta Vigo win.
How many goals are expected in Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
Expected goals: Celtic 2.6, Celta Vigo 1.4 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.97%.