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Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 1 August 03, 2026 20:30 Celtic Park, Glasgow
Celtic
#1 · 18 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Dundee
#4 · 10 pts
B. Nygren (ast. K. Tierney) 52'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Dundee 28%). The final result was Celtic 1–0 Dundee. In 4 previous meetings, Celtic have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Dundee.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
3
2.55
Actual xG
0.47
3
Saves
3
65%
Possession
35%
9
Corners
4
14
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽B. Nygren · ast. K. Tierney
52'
60'
A. Hay / S. Murray ↕
60'
F. Robertson / C. Reilly ↕
↕ C. Duran / J. Forrest
78'
↕ Yang Hyun-Jun / S. Tounekti
78'
80'
A. Forrest / J. Bevan ↕
80'
B. Halliday / D. Wright ↕
↕ B. Nygren / L. McCowan
83'
↕ K. Tierney / C. Donovan
83'
A. Engels
90'+1
90'
A. Hay
Pre-match prediction
42.31%
Celtic ←
29.16%
X
28.53%
Dundee
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic) 42.31% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Celtic
4.04
2.55
-1.49
Dundee
1.15
0.47
-0.68
Celtic dominated by xG (2.55 vs 0.47). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Celtic Celtic 7 18
2 Rangers Rangers 7 16
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 7 13
4 Dundee Dundee 7 10
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 7 10
6 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 7 8
7 Aberdeen Aberdeen 7 8
8 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 7 8
9 Motherwell Motherwell 7 8
10 Hibernian Hibernian 7 7
11 Falkirk Falkirk 7 6
12 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 7 5
Lineups
Celtic Celtic 4-2-3-1
1 V. Sinisalo V. Sinisalo G 7.90
63 K. Tierney K. Tierney 1 👟 83' D 8.20
6 Auston Trusty Auston Trusty D 7.30
20 C. Carter-Vickers C. Carter-Vickers D 8.30
2 Alistair Johnston Alistair Johnston D 7.00
27 A. Engels A. Engels M 6.70
42 C. McGregor C. McGregor M 7.50
13 Yang Hyun-Jun Yang Hyun-Jun 78' M 7.30
8 B. Nygren B. Nygren 1 ⚽ 83' M 8.30
11 Camilo Durán Camilo Durán 78' M 6.90
9 K. Høgh K. Høgh F 6.00
Bench
21 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. Oxlade-Chamberlain M
51 Colby Donovan Colby Donovan 11' D 7.20
19 C. Osmand C. Osmand F
47 D. Murray D. Murray D
49 J. Forrest J. Forrest 16' M 6.90
14 L. McCowan L. McCowan 11' M 6.90
31 R. Doohan R. Doohan G
41 R. Hatate R. Hatate M
17 S. Tounekti S. Tounekti 16' F 6.30
Dundee Dundee 4-4-2
1 Owen Goodman Owen Goodman G 6.60
3 I. Odutayo I. Odutayo D 6.30
5 O. Bevan O. Bevan D 7.30
4 R. Astley R. Astley D 6.90
7 D. Wright D. Wright 80' D 6.00
18 C. Reilly C. Reilly 60' M 6.30
8 R. Finnigan R. Finnigan M 7.50
48 E. Hamilton E. Hamilton M 6.20
27 J. Bevan J. Bevan 80' M 6.50
15 Simon Murray Simon Murray 60' F 6.50
19 J. Westley J. Westley F 6.30
Bench
14 A. Forrest A. Forrest 14' F 6.30
11 Ashley Hay Ashley Hay 34' F 6.50
2 B. Halliday B. Halliday 14' D 6.60
52 C. Oosenbrugh C. Oosenbrugh D
58 Ethan Crombie Ethan Crombie M
10 F. Robertson F. Robertson 34' M 6.90
13 K. O'Hara K. O'Hara G
60 R. Bland R. Bland F
17 Ž. Bešir Ž. Bešir M
Best on the pitch
C. Carter-Vickers
C. Carter-Vickers
D · Celtic
8.30
1 shots · 90 pass
B. Nygren
B. Nygren
M · Celtic
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 45 pass
K. Tierney
K. Tierney
D · Celtic
8.20
1 👟
2 shots · 64 pass
V. Sinisalo
V. Sinisalo
G · Celtic
7.90
· 44 pass
C. McGregor
C. McGregor
M · Celtic
7.50
2 shots · 97 pass
R. Finnigan
R. Finnigan
M · Dundee
7.50
2 shots · 32 pass
Celtic Celtic — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Sinisalo G 94 7.90 — — — 44 32% — — —
K. Tierney D 83 8.20 — 1 2 64 54% 2 — —
Auston Trusty D 94 7.30 — — — 80 77% 1 — —
C. Carter-Vickers D 94 8.30 — — 1 90 79% 2 — —
Alistair Johnston D 94 7.00 — — — 52 41% 2 — —
A. Engels M 94 6.70 — — 1 51 43% 1 1 —
C. McGregor M 94 7.50 — — 2 97 92% 1 — —
Yang Hyun-Jun M 78 7.30 — — 2 55 48% 4 — —
B. Nygren M 83 8.30 1 — 1 45 40% 1 — —
Camilo Durán M 78 6.90 — — — 37 32% — — —
K. Høgh F 94 6.00 — — 3 13 5% — — —
Colby Donovan D 11 7.20 — — — 7 5% — — —
J. Forrest M 16 6.90 — — 1 8 7% — — —
L. McCowan M 11 6.90 — — — 5 4% — — —
S. Tounekti F 16 6.30 — — 1 5 4% — — —
Dundee Dundee — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Owen Goodman G 94 6.60 — — — 30 12% — — —
I. Odutayo D 94 6.30 — — — 42 27% — — —
O. Bevan D 94 7.30 — — 1 51 44% 1 — —
R. Astley D 94 6.90 — — — 37 32% 1 — —
D. Wright D 80 6.00 — — — 29 18% — — —
C. Reilly M 60 6.30 — — 1 13 7% 1 — —
R. Finnigan M 94 7.50 — — 2 32 29% 4 — —
E. Hamilton M 94 6.20 — — 2 32 27% 2 — —
J. Bevan M 80 6.50 — — 1 22 15% 1 — —
Simon Murray F 60 6.50 — — — 8 7% — — —
J. Westley F 94 6.30 — — — 11 9% — — —
A. Forrest F 14 6.30 — — — 7 4% — — —
Ashley Hay F 34 6.50 — — 1 6 4% — 1 —
B. Halliday D 14 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
F. Robertson M 34 6.90 — — — 15 9% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celtic vs Dundee?
The final score was Celtic 1–0 Dundee.
What did the model predict before Celtic vs Dundee?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Celtic win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Dundee win.