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Celtic - Marseille

Europa League January 21, 2027 21:00
Celtic
#35 · 0 pts
vs
Marseille
#34 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.2%
Win
Celtic
26.7%
Draw
27.1%
Win
Marseille
2.57
Expected xG
1.25

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.73%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 46%
X 27%
2 27%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 73%
X2 54%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 63%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Celtic a 46% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Marseille. Expected goals are 2.6 for Celtic and 1.2 for Marseille (total 3.8), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.73% probability.

Season Stats

Celtic
4W 2D 7L
Marseille
0W 0D 3L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
0.3
2.2
Conceded
2.0
4.2
Shots OT
3.0
5.5
Corners
5.3
50%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
92%
O 1.5
33%
77%
O 2.5
33%
77%
BTTS
33%
8%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
47%
O 3.5
61%
BTTS
Celtic
2W 0D 5L · at home
Marseille
0W 0D 2L · away
1.3
gls/g
0.5
2.4
Conceded
2.5
29%
Win %
0%
29%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
50%
86%
O 2.5
50%
43%
O 3.5
50%
71%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
29%
Failed to Score
50%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Celtic Marseille →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.6% 7.0% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.2% 9.1% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.2% 7.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 4.0% 5.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.0% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Celtic Celtic
L Celta Vigo 1–2
L Benfica 4–1
L Ferencvarosi TC 1–3
W VfB Stuttgart 0–1
L VfB Stuttgart 1–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 18%
Marseille Marseille
L Sturm Graz 1–0
L Olympiakos Piraeus 0–1
L Beşiktaş 4–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Celtic Celtic
Attack
50
Defence
57
Form
29
Marseille Marseille
Attack
39
Defence
47
Form
31
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Celtic vs Marseille?
The model gives Celtic a 46% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 27% for an Marseille win.
How many goals are expected in Celtic vs Marseille?
Expected goals: Celtic 2.6, Marseille 1.2 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Celtic vs Marseille?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.73%.