← Scottish Premiership
Scottish Premiership · Championship Group - 36 May 10, 2026 13:00
Celtic
#2 · 79 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Rangers
#2 · 69 pts
Yang Hyun-Jun (ast. A. Engels) 23'
D. Maeda (ast. K. Tierney) 53'
D. Maeda 57'
9' M. Moore

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 53% win probability (draw 17%, Rangers 28%). The final result was Celtic 3–1 Rangers. In 4 previous meetings, Celtic have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 1 wins for Rangers.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
2
1.04
Actual xG
0.65
1
Saves
1
52%
Possession
48%
1
Corners
5
15
Tackles
19
6
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
9'
M. Moore⚽
19'
Chermiti
⚽Yang Hyun-Jun · ast. A. Engels
23'
A. Johnston
39'
↕ L. McCowan / S. Tounekti
46'
⚽D. Maeda · ast. K. Tierney
53'
⚽D. Maeda
57'
59'
D. Sterling / J. Tavernier ↕
59'
T. Aasgaard / M. Diomande ↕
59'
D. Gassama / O. Antman ↕
A. Trusty
67'
↕ B. Nygren / R. Hatate
76'
76'
B. Miovski / T. Chukwuani ↕
K. Tierney
78'
78'
T. Rommens
L. Scales
79'
↕ Yang Hyun-Jun / K. Iheanacho
81'
↕ A. Johnston / A. Ralston
81'
D. Maeda
82'
↕ K. Tierney / M. Saracchi
84'
R. Hatate
89'
Pre-match prediction
53.37%
Celtic ←
17.76%
X
28.87%
Rangers
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic) 53.37% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Celtic
2.90
1.04
-1.86
Rangers
2.09
0.65
-1.44
Celtic dominated by xG (1.04 vs 0.65). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 33 70
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 37 80
1 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 37 44
2 Rangers Rangers 33 69
2 Celtic Celtic 37 79
2 Aberdeen Aberdeen 37 40
3 Dundee Dundee 37 39
3 Celtic Celtic 33 67
3 Rangers Rangers 37 69
4 Motherwell Motherwell 37 58
4 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 37 37
4 Motherwell Motherwell 33 54
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 37 33
5 Hibernian Hibernian 33 51
5 Hibernian Hibernian 37 57
6 Livingston Livingston 37 21
6 Falkirk Falkirk 33 46
6 Falkirk Falkirk 37 49
7 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 33 40
8 Aberdeen Aberdeen 33 33
9 Dundee Dundee 33 33
10 ST Mirren ST Mirren 33 30
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 33 28
12 Livingston Livingston 33 16
Lineups
Celtic Celtic 4-2-3-1
12 Viljami Sinisalo Viljami Sinisalo G 6.30
63 Kieran Tierney Kieran Tierney 1 👟 84' D 7.50
5 Liam Scales Liam Scales D 7.50
6 Auston Trusty Auston Trusty D 7.20
2 Alistair Johnston Alistair Johnston 81' D 6.50
42 Callum McGregor Callum McGregor M 6.90
27 Arne Engels Arne Engels 1 👟 M 7.30
13 Yang Hyun-Jun Yang Hyun-Jun 1 ⚽ 81' M 7.60
8 Benjamin Nygren Benjamin Nygren 76' M 6.50
14 Luke McCowan Luke McCowan 45' M 6.60
38 Daizen Maeda Daizen Maeda 2 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
21 Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain M
47 Dane Murray Dane Murray D
49 James Forrest James Forrest M
17 Kelechi Iheanacho Kelechi Iheanacho 11' F 6.30
36 Marcelo Saracchi Marcelo Saracchi 8' D 6.30
41 Reo Hatate Reo Hatate 16' M 6.30
31 Ross Doohan Ross Doohan G
23 Sebastian Tounekti Sebastian Tounekti 47' F 6.70
56 Tony Ralston Tony Ralston 11' D 6.30
Rangers Rangers 4-2-3-1
1 Jack Butland Jack Butland G 6.20
25 Tuur Rommens Tuur Rommens D 6.70
37 Emmanuel Fernandez Emmanuel Fernandez D 6.70
24 Nasser Djiga Nasser Djiga D 6.90
2 J. Tavernier J. Tavernier 59' D 6.00
42 Tochi Chukwuani Tochi Chukwuani 76' M 6.20
8 Connor Barron Connor Barron M 7.30
47 Mikey Moore Mikey Moore 1 ⚽ M 7.30
10 Mohammed Diomande Mohammed Diomande 59' M 6.20
18 Oliver Antman Oliver Antman 59' M 6.90
9 Youssef Chermiti Youssef Chermiti F 6.20
Bench
7 Andreas Skov Olsen Andreas Skov Olsen F
28 Bojan Miovski Bojan Miovski 16' F 6.50
23 Djeidi Gassama Djeidi Gassama 33' F 6.70
21 Dujon Sterling Dujon Sterling 33' D 6.50
30 Jayden Meghoma Jayden Meghoma D
31 Liam Kelly Liam Kelly G
3 Max Aarons Max Aarons D
14 Nedim Bajrami Nedim Bajrami M
11 Thelo Aasgaard Thelo Aasgaard 33' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Daizen Maeda
Daizen Maeda
F · Celtic
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 13 pass
Yang Hyun-Jun
Yang Hyun-Jun
M · Celtic
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
Kieran Tierney
Kieran Tierney
D · Celtic
7.50
1 👟
· 52 pass
Liam Scales
Liam Scales
D · Celtic
7.50
· 56 pass
Arne Engels
Arne Engels
M · Celtic
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 29 pass
Mikey Moore
Mikey Moore
M · Rangers
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
Celtic Celtic — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Viljami Sinisalo G 92 6.30 — — — 32 23% — — —
Kieran Tierney D 84 7.50 — 1 — 52 38% 1 1 —
Liam Scales D 92 7.50 — — — 56 54% — 1 —
Auston Trusty D 92 7.20 — — — 54 49% — 1 —
Alistair Johnston D 81 6.50 — — — 29 22% 3 1 —
Callum McGregor M 92 6.90 — — — 50 42% 3 — —
Arne Engels M 92 7.30 — 1 1 29 21% 3 — —
Yang Hyun-Jun M 81 7.60 1 — 2 34 31% 1 — —
Benjamin Nygren M 76 6.50 — — 2 38 29% — — —
Luke McCowan M 45 6.60 — — — 15 12% — — —
Daizen Maeda F 92 8.20 2 — 3 13 9% 2 1 —
Kelechi Iheanacho F 11 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Marcelo Saracchi D 8 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Reo Hatate M 16 6.30 — — — 1 1% — 1 —
Sebastian Tounekti F 47 6.70 — — — 14 10% 2 — —
Tony Ralston D 11 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Rangers Rangers — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Jack Butland G 92 6.20 — — — 36 23% — — —
Tuur Rommens D 92 6.70 — — — 23 18% 4 1 —
Emmanuel Fernandez D 92 6.70 — — — 54 44% 3 — —
Nasser Djiga D 92 6.90 — — 2 58 48% 1 — —
J. Tavernier D 59 6.00 — — — 20 8% 1 — —
Tochi Chukwuani M 76 6.20 — — — 45 40% 3 — —
Connor Barron M 92 7.30 — — — 54 48% 2 — —
Mikey Moore M 92 7.30 1 — 1 11 7% — — —
Mohammed Diomande M 59 6.20 — — — 22 19% 1 — —
Oliver Antman M 59 6.90 — — — 11 7% 3 — —
Youssef Chermiti F 92 6.20 — — 1 14 10% — 1 —
Bojan Miovski F 16 6.50 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Djeidi Gassama F 33 6.70 — — — 7 4% — — —
Dujon Sterling D 33 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
Thelo Aasgaard M 33 6.30 — — — 20 16% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celtic vs Rangers?
The final score was Celtic 3–1 Rangers.
What did the model predict before Celtic vs Rangers?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Celtic win, 17% to a draw, and 28% to an Rangers win.