Central African Republic - Benin
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
November 15, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.61%
Win
Central African Republic
36.02%
Draw
34.38%
Win
Benin
0.57
0.73
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(14.69%)
1X2 Result
1
30%
X
36%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
70%
12
64%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5
55%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Benin a 34% win probability, against 36% for a draw and 29% for Central African Republic. Expected goals are 0.6 for Central African Republic and 0.7 for Benin (total 1.3), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.69% probability.
Season Stats
0W
0D
2L
1W
1D
0L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
1.5
2.0
Conceded
1.0
3.0
Shots OT
5.5
5.5
Corners
4.0
44%
Poss.
41%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Central African Republic
Benin →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 27.3% | 19.9% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | — |
| 1 | 15.5% | 11.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Central African Republic
Attack
22
Defence
51
Form
1
Benin
Attack
29
Defence
63
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Group F
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benin
|
2 | 4 |
| 2 |
Burkina Faso
|
2 | 4 |
| 3 |
Mauritania
|
2 | 3 |
| 4 |
Central African Republic
|
2 | 0 |
What's at stake · Group F
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #4 | #1 |
| → Central African Republic | #4 | #1 |
| → Draw | #4 | #1 |
| → Benin | #4 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Central African Republic vs Benin?
The model gives Central African Republic a 29% win probability, 36% for a draw, and 34% for an Benin win.
How many goals are expected in Central African Republic vs Benin?
Expected goals: Central African Republic 0.6, Benin 0.7 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Central African Republic vs Benin?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.69%.