Central African Republic - Burkina Faso
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 28, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.82%
Win
Central African Republic
32.1%
Draw
35.08%
Win
Burkina Faso
1.22
1.43
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.19%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
32%
2
35%
Double Chance
1X
65%
X2
67%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Burkina Faso a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Central African Republic. Expected goals are 1.2 for Central African Republic and 1.4 for Burkina Faso (total 2.7), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.19% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Central African Republic
Burkina Faso →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Central African Republic
Attack
21
Defence
51
Form
36
Burkina Faso
Attack
36
Defence
65
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?
The model gives Central African Republic a 32% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 35% for an Burkina Faso win.
How many goals are expected in Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?
Expected goals: Central African Republic 1.2, Burkina Faso 1.4 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.19%.