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Central Espanol - Atletico Torque

#5 · 9 pts
vs
#1 · 15 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 11.3°C 💨 40 km/h · Montevideo
⚡ Pre-match analysis
10.2%
Win
Central Espanol
12.06%
Draw
77.74%
Win
Atletico Torque
0.45
Expected xG
2.55
Most likely outcome
Atletico Torque
77.74%
Probability
61.9%
1X2 accuracy · 21 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–2 (16.21%)
1X2 Result ✓ 61.9% hit rate (21 picks)
1 10%
X 12%
2 78%
Double Chance ✓ 85.7% hit rate (21 picks)
1X 22%
X2 90%
12 88%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atletico Torque a 77% win probability, against 12% for a draw and 10% for Central Espanol. Expected goals are 0.5 for Central Espanol and 2.6 for Atletico Torque (total 3.0), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–2 at 16.21% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Central Espanol have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Torque.

Season Stats

Central Espanol
4W 5D 6L
Atletico Torque
11W 1D 3L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
2.1
0.9
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
47%
O 1.5
87%
27%
O 2.5
73%
33%
BTTS
80%
40%
Clean Sht
13%
Based on the last 15 matches in Primera División. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Central Espanol
4W 4D 2L · at home
Atletico Torque
5W 4D 1L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.4
0.8
Conceded
0.8
40%
Win %
50%
80%
Win or Draw
90%
60%
O 1.5
70%
30%
O 2.5
40%
20%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
70%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
30%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Central Espanol Atletico Torque →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0% 12.6% 16.1% 13.7% 8.8% 4.5%
1 2.2% 5.7% 7.3% 6.2% 4.0% 2.0%
2 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4
5

Recent form

D Cerro Largo 0–0
D Defensor Sporting 1–1
L Wanderers 3–0
L Juventud 0–1
L Penarol 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
W Liverpool Montevideo 3–1
W Cerro Largo 2–1
W Defensor Sporting 1–3
W Wanderers 5–1
W Juventud 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Central Espanol Central Espanol
Attack
9
Defence
75
Form
42
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque
Attack
55
Defence
78
Form
76
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Central Espanol
0
Draw
1
Atletico Torque
21 Mar 2026 Primera División 1–2

Primera: Torneo Intermedio - A

# Team G Pts
1 Penarol Penarol 7 16
2 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 7 11
3 Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 7 10
4 Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 7 9
5 Central Espanol Central Espanol 7 9
6 Cerro Cerro 7 9
7 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 7 6
8 Boston River Boston River 7 5

What's at stake · Primera: Torneo Intermedio - A

Top 2 advance to the next round

Central Espanol Atletico Torque
Current #5 #1
Central Espanol #2 #1
Draw #4 #1
Atletico Torque #5 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Central Espanol vs Atletico Torque?
The model gives Central Espanol a 10% win probability, 12% for a draw, and 77% for an Atletico Torque win.
How many goals are expected in Central Espanol vs Atletico Torque?
Expected goals: Central Espanol 0.5, Atletico Torque 2.6 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Central Espanol vs Atletico Torque?
0–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.21%.