Primera División · Torneo Intermedio - 1 May 17, 2026 15:00 Parque Palermo, Montevideo

Central Espanol

#3 · 7 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Defensor Sporting

#8 · 21 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Central Espanol

F. Munoz 31'

I. Mendez 63'

(pen.) 30' N. Wunsch

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Central Espanol a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Defensor Sporting 20%). The final result was Central Espanol 2–1 Defensor Sporting. In 1 previous meetings, Central Espanol have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Defensor Sporting.

Match statistics

Match Events

I. Mendez

11'

↕ R. Tarragona / S. Sequeira

19'

30'

(pen.) N. Wunsch⚽

⚽F. Munoz

31'

F. Munoz

32'

M. Alonso

33'

39'

N. Wunsch

⚽I. Mendez

63'

I. Rodriguez

67'

↕ M. Alonso / J. Dupont

67'

↕ S. Navarro / M. Cantera

67'

69'

E. Alonso / G. Rodriguez ↕

69'

A. Torterolo / G. Barrios ↕

78'

L. Navarro / A. Machado ↕

↕ M. Aguilera / R. Muniz

80'

↕ M. Montiel / L. Pino

80'

82'

B. Lozano / L. Agazzi ↕

I. Rodriguez

86'

I. Rodriguez

86'

90'+4

F. Sorondo

Pre-match prediction

57.44%

Central ←

22.44%

X

20.11%

Defensor

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Central Espanol) 57.44% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Central

1.79

—

—

Defensor

0.82

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Penarol	4	9
2	Cerro Largo	4	7
3	Central Espanol	4	7
4	Racing Montevideo	4	6
5	Liverpool Montevideo	4	5
6	Boston River	4	4
7	Cerro	4	3
8	Defensor Sporting	4	2