Primera División · Torneo Intermedio - 1 May 17, 2026 15:00 Parque Palermo, Montevideo

Central Espanol

#5 · 24 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Defensor Sporting

#7 · 6 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Central Espanol

F. Munoz 31'

I. Mendez 63'

(pen.) 30' N. Wunsch

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Central Espanol a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Defensor Sporting 20%). The final result was Central Espanol 2–1 Defensor Sporting. In 2 previous meetings, Central Espanol have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Defensor Sporting.

Match statistics

Match Events

I. Mendez

11'

↕ R. Tarragona / S. Sequeira

19'

30'

(pen.) N. Wunsch⚽

⚽F. Munoz

31'

F. Munoz

32'

M. Alonso

33'

39'

N. Wunsch

⚽I. Mendez

63'

I. Rodriguez

67'

↕ M. Alonso / J. Dupont

67'

↕ S. Navarro / M. Cantera

67'

69'

E. Alonso / G. Rodriguez ↕

69'

A. Torterolo / G. Barrios ↕

78'

L. Navarro / A. Machado ↕

↕ M. Aguilera / R. Muniz

80'

↕ M. Montiel / L. Pino

80'

82'

B. Lozano / L. Agazzi ↕

I. Rodriguez

86'

I. Rodriguez

86'

90'+4

F. Sorondo

Pre-match prediction

57.44%

Central ←

22.44%

X

20.11%

Defensor

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Central Espanol) 57.44% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Central

1.79

—

—

Defensor

0.82

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Racing Montevideo	15	31
2	Deportivo Maldonado	15	29
3	Albion FC	15	28
4	Penarol	15	27
5	Central Espanol	15	24
6	Atletico Torque	15	23
7	Club Nacional	15	22
8	Defensor Sporting	15	21
9	Liverpool Montevideo	15	20
10	Wanderers	15	20
11	Danubio	15	18
12	Cerro Largo	15	17
13	Boston River	15	17
14	Juventud	15	15
15	Progreso	15	10
16	Cerro	15	10