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Central Espanol - Liverpool Montevideo

Primera División August 02, 2026 20:00 Parque Palermo, Montevideo
Central Espanol
#5 · 24 pts
vs
Liverpool Montevideo
#9 · 20 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 11.0°C 💨 22 km/h · Montevideo
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.71%
Win
Central Espanol
37.95%
Draw
21.35%
Win
Liverpool Montevideo
0.82
Expected xG
0.44

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (27.96%)
1X2 Result ✓ 72.2% hit rate (18 picks)
1 41%
X 38%
2 21%
Double Chance ✓ 88.9% hit rate (18 picks)
1X 79%
X2 59%
12 62%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 65%
Over 2.5 30%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Central Espanol a 40% win probability, against 37% for a draw and 21% for Liverpool Montevideo. Expected goals are 0.8 for Central Espanol and 0.4 for Liverpool Montevideo (total 1.3), with a 65% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 27.96% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Central Espanol have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Liverpool Montevideo.

Season Stats

Central Espanol
6W 4D 5L
Liverpool Montevideo
4W 5D 6L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.2
1.4
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
53%
O 2.5
47%
60%
BTTS
47%
27%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera División. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Central Espanol
5W 2D 3L · at home
Liverpool Montevideo
4W 3D 3L · away
1.5
gls/g
1.2
1.2
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
40%
70%
Win or Draw
70%
80%
O 1.5
60%
60%
O 2.5
30%
30%
O 3.5
10%
70%
BTTS
50%
10%
Clean Sht
30%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Central Espanol Liverpool Montevideo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 28.5% 12.5% 2.7% 0.4% — —
1 23.3% 10.2% 2.2% 0.3% — —
2 9.5% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1% — —
3 2.6% 1.1% 0.2% — — —
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% — — — — —

Recent form

Central Espanol Central Espanol
L Cerro Largo 0–1
D Boston River 0–0
D Racing Montevideo 1–1
W Penarol 0–1
L Cerro 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
W Defensor Sporting 1–2
L Cerro 1–2
D Cerro Largo 0–0
W Boston River 0–1
D Racing Montevideo 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Central Espanol Central Espanol
Attack
29
Defence
83
Form
61
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
Attack
21
Defence
80
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Central Espanol
1
Draw
0
Liverpool Montevideo
24 Mar 2026 Primera División 3–3

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 15 31
2 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 15 29
3 Albion FC Albion FC 15 28
4 Penarol Penarol 15 27
5 Central Espanol Central Espanol 15 24
6 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 15 23
7 Club Nacional Club Nacional 15 22
8 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 15 21
9 Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 15 20
10 Wanderers Wanderers 15 20
11 Danubio Danubio 15 18
12 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 15 17
13 Boston River Boston River 15 17
14 Juventud Juventud 15 15
15 Progreso Progreso 15 10
16 Cerro Cerro 15 10
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
The model gives Central Espanol a 40% win probability, 37% for a draw, and 21% for an Liverpool Montevideo win.
How many goals are expected in Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Expected goals: Central Espanol 0.8, Liverpool Montevideo 0.4 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 65%.
What is the most likely score in Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 27.96%.