Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka — pre-match prediction — J1 League — May 03, 2026

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J1 League · Regular Season - 14 May 03, 2026 08:00 Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

#10 · 10 pts

1 – 1

Final score

pens 4–3

Avispa Fukuoka

#18 · 4 pts

R. Inoue (ast. M. Shibayama) 45'+1

S. Kagawa 120'+1 (pen.)

S. Tanaka 120'+2 (pen.)

D. Cools 120'+3 (pen.)

S. Hatanaka 120'+4 (pen.)

11' S. Usui

(pen.) 120'+1 Y. Tsujioka

(pen.) 120'+3 M. Shigemi

(pen.) 120'+4 Y. Michiwaki

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cerezo Osaka a 41% win probability (draw 26%, Avispa Fukuoka 32%). The final result was Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka. In 2 previous meetings, Cerezo Osaka have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Avispa Fukuoka.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

72%

Possession

28%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

11'

S. Usui⚽

N. Ishiwatari

35'

37'

Y. Maejima / Y. Hashimoto ↕

S. Tanaka

40'

⚽R. Inoue · ast. M. Shibayama

45'+1

62'

K. Shiihashi / K. Okuno ↕

62'

K. Yamawaki / Y. Kitajima ↕

↕ M. Shibayama / S. Sakuragawa

63'

↕ S. Homma / D. Cools

63'

↕ M. Nakajima / S. Kagawa

73'

↕ Thiago Andrade / Y. Yokoyama

73'

82'

Y. Michiwaki / S. Usui ↕

82'

K. Fukushima / K. Fujimoto ↕

120'+1

(pen.) Y. Tsujioka⚽

⚽S. Kagawa (pen.)

120'+1

120'+2

(missed pen.) K. Shiihashi⚽

⚽S. Tanaka (pen.)

120'+2

120'+3

(pen.) M. Shigemi⚽

⚽D. Cools (pen.)

120'+3

120'+4

(pen.) Y. Michiwaki⚽

⚽S. Hatanaka (pen.)

120'+4

120'+5

(missed pen.) T. Kamijima⚽

Pre-match prediction

41.29%

Cerezo

26.2%

X ←

32.51%

Avispa

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.2% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Cerezo

1.36

—

Avispa

1.27

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	7	17
2	Vissel Kobe	7	16
3	Kashiwa Reysol	7	15
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	7	14
5	FC Tokyo	7	14
6	Kawasaki Frontale	7	12
7	Kashima	7	12
8	Yokohama F. Marinos	7	11
9	Fagiano Okayama	6	10
10	Cerezo Osaka	7	10
11	Mito Hollyhock	7	9
12	Urawa	6	9
13	Shimizu S-pulse	7	7
14	V-varen Nagasaki	7	7
15	Gamba Osaka	7	6
16	Nagoya Grampus	7	6
17	Kyoto Sanga	7	5
18	Avispa Fukuoka	7	4
19	Tokyo Verdy	6	3
20	JEF United Chiba	6	3

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka 4-2-3-1

Kosuke Nakamura G 7.00

A. Ohata D 6.20

S. Hatanaka 1 ⚽ D 7.60

R. Inoue 1 ⚽ D 8.30

H. Okuda D 7.20

S. Tanaka 1 ⚽ M 6.90

N. Ishiwatari M 6.60

S. Homma 63' M 6.70

M. Nakajima 73' M 6.50

M. Shibayama 1 👟 63' M 6.90

Thiago Andrade 73' F 6.50

Bench

Dion-Johan Cools 1 ⚽ 33' D 6.60

H. Kida M

S. Kagawa 1 ⚽ 23' M 7.20

S. Sakuragawa 33' F 6.50

S. Uejo M

Yumeki Yokoyama 23' M 6.30

Avispa Fukuoka 3-4-2-1

K. Fujita G 5.90

Y. Tsujioka 1 ⚽ D 7.30

T. Kamijima D 7.20

T. Oka D 6.30

K. Fujimoto 82' M 6.20

T. Miki M 6.90

K. Okuno 62' M 6.70

Y. Hashimoto 37' M 6.70

Y. Kitajima 62' F 6.60

M. Shigemi 1 ⚽ F 6.50

S. Usui 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.50

Bench

A. Sani Brown F

D. Miya D

K. Shiihashi 34' M 6.60

K. Yamawaki 34' D 6.50

Nara Tatsuki D

Y. Maejima 59' D 6.30

Yutaka Michiwaki 1 ⚽ 14' F 6.50

Best on the pitch

R. Inoue

D · Cerezo

8.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 96 pass

S. Hatanaka

D · Cerezo

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 100 pass

S. Usui

F · Avispa

7.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 7 pass

Y. Tsujioka

D · Avispa

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 33 pass

S. Kagawa

M · Cerezo

7.20

1 ⚽

· 20 pass

H. Okuda

D · Cerezo

7.20

1 shots · 92 pass

Cerezo Osaka — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Kosuke Nakamura	G	96	7.00	—	—	—	31	28%	—	—	—
A. Ohata	D	96	6.20	—	—	—	47	45%	2	—	—
S. Hatanaka	D	96	7.60	1	—	1	100	93%	—	—	—
R. Inoue	D	96	8.30	1	—	1	96	92%	2	—	—
H. Okuda	D	96	7.20	—	—	1	92	81%	3	—	—
S. Tanaka	M	96	6.90	1	—	1	79	72%	1	1	—
N. Ishiwatari	M	96	6.60	—	—	—	81	74%	1	1	—
S. Homma	M	63	6.70	—	—	—	22	17%	2	—	—
M. Nakajima	M	73	6.50	—	—	—	20	14%	—	—	—
M. Shibayama	M	63	6.90	—	1	—	61	42%	—	—	—
Thiago Andrade	F	73	6.50	—	—	—	16	14%	—	—	—
Dion-Johan Cools	D	33	6.60	1	—	—	14	11%	1	—	—
S. Kagawa	M	23	7.20	1	—	—	20	16%	—	—	—
S. Sakuragawa	F	33	6.50	—	—	1	5	3%	—	—	—
Yumeki Yokoyama	M	23	6.30	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—

Avispa Fukuoka — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
K. Fujita	G	96	5.90	—	—	—	27	8%	—	—	—
Y. Tsujioka	D	96	7.30	1	—	1	33	21%	1	—	—
T. Kamijima	D	96	7.20	—	—	2	33	29%	—	—	—
T. Oka	D	96	6.30	—	—	—	24	21%	—	—	—
K. Fujimoto	M	82	6.20	—	—	—	17	14%	—	—	—
T. Miki	M	96	6.90	—	—	1	38	32%	3	—	—
K. Okuno	M	62	6.70	—	—	—	13	10%	2	—	—
Y. Hashimoto	M	37	6.70	—	—	—	14	11%	—	—	—
Y. Kitajima	F	62	6.60	—	—	1	17	13%	—	—	—
M. Shigemi	F	96	6.50	1	—	—	13	8%	1	—	—
S. Usui	F	82	7.50	1	—	2	7	6%	—	—	—
K. Shiihashi	M	34	6.60	—	—	—	12	8%	1	—	—
K. Yamawaki	D	34	6.50	—	—	—	11	9%	1	—	—
Y. Maejima	D	59	6.30	—	—	—	13	8%	1	—	—
Yutaka Michiwaki	F	14	6.50	1	—	—	3	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?

The final score was Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka.

What did the model predict before Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?

The model assigned 41% probability to a Cerezo Osaka win, 26% to a draw, and 32% to an Avispa Fukuoka win.