Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama
Weather at kick-off
⛅
Partly cloudy
33.1°C
💨 4 km/h
· Osaka
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.74%
Win
Cerezo Osaka
32.81%
Draw
32.45%
Win
Fagiano Okayama
2.56
2.59
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.74%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
33%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
65%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cerezo Osaka a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Fagiano Okayama. Expected goals are 2.6 for Cerezo Osaka and 2.6 for Fagiano Okayama (total 5.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.74% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Cerezo Osaka have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fagiano Okayama.
Season Stats
7W
5D
3L
6W
4D
5L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.5
1.3
Conceded
1.4
4.8
Shots OT
3.9
4.4
Corners
5.0
51%
Poss.
39%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
87%
67%
O 2.5
47%
73%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in J1 League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
3W
5D
2L
· at home
3W
5D
2L
· away
1.8
gls/g
1.5
1.1
Conceded
1.4
30%
Win %
30%
80%
Win or Draw
80%
80%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
50%
30%
O 3.5
20%
70%
BTTS
80%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| 3 | 1.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| 5 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Cerezo Osaka
Attack
24
Defence
28
Form
29
Fagiano Okayama
Attack
22
Defence
36
Form
30
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mito Hollyhock
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Avispa Fukuoka
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Cerezo Osaka
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Tokyo Verdy
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Kyoto Sanga
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Nagoya Grampus
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Shimizu S-pulse
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Yokohama F. Marinos
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Kawasaki Frontale
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
JEF United Chiba
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Vissel Kobe
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Urawa
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
FC Tokyo
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Kashima
|
0 | 0 |
| 17 |
Gamba Osaka
|
0 | 0 |
| 18 |
Fagiano Okayama
|
0 | 0 |
| 19 |
Machida Zelvia
|
0 | 0 |
| 20 |
V-varen Nagasaki
|
0 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
The model gives Cerezo Osaka a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Fagiano Okayama win.
How many goals are expected in Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
Expected goals: Cerezo Osaka 2.6, Fagiano Okayama 2.6 (total 5.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.74%.