Primera División
· Apertura - 9
March 30, 2026 23:00
S. Marcel
39'
T. Correa
90'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Danubio a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Cerro Largo 34%). The final result was Cerro Largo 2–0 Danubio. In 1 previous meetings, Cerro Largo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Danubio.
Match statistics
Match Events
Santiago Marcel
28'
33'
E. Cabrera
/
I. Costantino
34'
Tomás Cavanagh
⚽S. Marcel
39'
46'
J. Pereyra
/
L. Sosa
59'
Tomás Cavanagh
59'
Tomás Cavanagh
D. Daguerre
/ N. Bertocchi
64'
66'
M. Ferreira
/
M. Peralta
E. Jourdan
/ M. Monserrat
71'
81'
D. Piriz
/
S. Rodriguez
81'
E. Femia
/
C. Mayada
A. Pandiani
/ N. Ramos
88'
S. Marcel
/ B. Hernandez
88'
Mateo Monserrat
90'+6
⚽T. Correa
90'
Pre-match prediction
34.64%
Cerro ←
29.13%
X
36.23%
Danubio
we assigned to the actual result (Cerro Largo)
34.64%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
—
—
1.49
—
—
Lineups
12
Pedro Gonzalez
G
20
Santiago Franca
D
16
Matías Fracchia
D
14
Lucas Correa
D
17
Alexander Hernandez
F
10
Axel Pandiani
M
25
Emiliano Jourdan
M
5
Santiago Marcel
1 ⚽
M
8
Mario García
M
9
Tiziano Correa
1 ⚽
F
18
Diego Daguerre
F
Bench
21
Julián Pou
D
6
Mateo Monserrat
D
22
Nicolas Bertochi
M
1
G
6
Leandro Sosa
D
31
Tomás Cavanagh
D
2
Emiliano Velázquez
D
40
Facundo Balatti
D
10
Mateo Peralta
M
16
Iván Rossi
M
8
Sebastián Rodríguez
M
18
Camilo Mayada
M
9
I. Costantino
F
21
Nicolas Azambuja
F
Bench
14
B. Pereira
F
26
D. Piriz
F
7
Enzo Cabrera
F
3
Joaquin Pereyra
D
28
Luis Femia
M
20
Maicol Ferreira
F
4
Mateo Rinaldi
D
Cerro Largo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Gonzalez | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Franca | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Fracchia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Correa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Hernandez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Axel Pandiani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emiliano Jourdan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Marcel | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario García | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiziano Correa | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Daguerre | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Danubio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Leandro Sosa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Cavanagh | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emiliano Velázquez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Balatti | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Peralta | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Rossi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Rodríguez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Camilo Mayada | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Costantino | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Azambuja | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Danubio?
The final score was Cerro Largo 2–0 Danubio.
What did the model predict before Cerro Largo vs Danubio?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Cerro Largo win, 29% to a draw, and 36% to an Danubio win.