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Cerro Largo - Juventud

Primera División August 08, 2026 00:00
Cerro Largo
#2 · 11 pts
vs
Juventud
#5 · 8 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.37%
Win
Cerro Largo
35.38%
Draw
25.24%
Win
Juventud
0.86
Expected xG
0.63

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (22.06%)
1X2 Result ✓ 72.2% hit rate (18 picks)
1 39%
X 35%
2 25%
Double Chance ✓ 88.9% hit rate (18 picks)
1X 75%
X2 61%
12 65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 62%
Over 2.5 36%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cerro Largo a 39% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 25% for Juventud. Expected goals are 0.9 for Cerro Largo and 0.6 for Juventud (total 1.5), with a 61% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 22.06% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Cerro Largo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Juventud.

Season Stats

Cerro Largo
5W 4D 6L
Juventud
5W 4D 6L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.2
1.1
Conceded
1.4
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
73%
33%
O 2.5
53%
27%
BTTS
67%
40%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera División. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Cerro Largo
4W 2D 4L · at home
Juventud
2W 3D 5L · away
1.5
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.5
40%
Win %
20%
60%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
70%
40%
O 2.5
60%
20%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
70%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Cerro Largo Juventud →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 22.7% 14.2% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% —
1 19.4% 12.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% —
2 8.3% 5.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% —
3 2.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% — —
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
L Penarol 3–0
W Central Espanol 0–1
D Defensor Sporting 1–1
D Liverpool Montevideo 0–0
W Cerro 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
Juventud Juventud
D Deportivo Maldonado 0–0
W Albion FC 0–1
L Atletico Torque 1–3
D Danubio 1–1
L Club Nacional 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
Attack
26
Defence
74
Form
53
Juventud Juventud
Attack
28
Defence
67
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Cerro Largo
0
Draw
0
Juventud
8 Feb 2026 Primera División 1–0

Primera: Torneo Intermedio - A

# Team G Pts
1 Penarol Penarol 7 16
2 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 7 11
3 Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 7 10
4 Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 7 9
5 Central Espanol Central Espanol 7 9
6 Cerro Cerro 7 9
7 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 7 6
8 Boston River Boston River 7 5

What's at stake · Primera: Torneo Intermedio - A

Top 2 advance to the next round

Cerro Largo Juventud
Current #2 #1
→ Cerro Largo #2 #1
→ Draw #2 #1
→ Juventud #2 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cerro Largo vs Juventud?
The model gives Cerro Largo a 39% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 25% for an Juventud win.
How many goals are expected in Cerro Largo vs Juventud?
Expected goals: Cerro Largo 0.9, Juventud 0.6 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 61%.
What is the most likely score in Cerro Largo vs Juventud?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 22.06%.