Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 2
April 15, 2026 00:00
✓Model correct — prediction Cerro Porteno
Jonathan Torres
(ast. Matías Pérez)
57'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cerro Porteno a 56% win probability (draw 25%, Junior 18%). The final result was Cerro Porteno 1–0 Junior. In 1 previous meetings, Cerro Porteno have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Junior.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
1.30
Actual xG
0.93
3
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
2
19
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Edgar Raul Paez Torales
26'
37'
Juan David Ríos
Guillermo Benitez
38'
Piris da Motta
/ Cesar Bobadilla
46'
Guillermo Benitez
/ Mateo Klimowicz
46'
46'
Guillermo Celis
/
Juan David Ríos
⚽Jonathan Torres
· ast. Matías Pérez
57'
Edgar Raul Paez Torales
/ Rodrigo Gómez
59'
59'
Bryan Castrillón
/
Jesús Rivas
59'
Guillermo Paiva
/
Teófilo Gutiérrez
71'
Jannenson Sarmiento
/
Yimmi Chara
76'
Luis Muriel
/
Daniel Rivera
Jonathan Torres
/ Wílder Viera
83'
Pablo Vegetti
86'
Fabrizio Peralta
90'+5
Jorge Morel
/ Fabrizio Peralta
90'
Pre-match prediction
56.19%
Cerro ←
25.15%
X
18.66%
Junior
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cerro Porteno)
56.19%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
1.30
-0.28
0.72
0.93
+0.21
Cerro Porteno dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.93).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Alexis Martín Arias
G
Alexis Martín Arias
G
13
Guillermo Benitez
45'
D
Guillermo Benitez
45'
D
6
Abel Luciatti
D
Abel Luciatti
D
22
M. Pérez
1 👟
D
M. Pérez
1 👟
D
23
G. Velázquez
D
G. Velázquez
D
35
Marcelo Chaparro
M
Marcelo Chaparro
M
5
J. Morel
89'
M
J. Morel
89'
M
26
Piris da Motta
45'
M
Piris da Motta
45'
M
24
Edgar Raul Paez Torales
59'
M
Edgar Raul Paez Torales
59'
M
19
P. Vegetti
F
P. Vegetti
F
27
Jonatan Torres
1 ⚽
83'
F
Jonatan Torres
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
28
Carlos Franco
F
Carlos Franco
F
32
Cesar Bobadilla
45'
M
Cesar Bobadilla
45'
M
8
Cristhian Paredes
M
Cristhian Paredes
M
16
Fabrizio Peralta
1'
M
Fabrizio Peralta
1'
M
36
Fredy Noguera
F
Fredy Noguera
F
14
Lucas Quintana
D
Lucas Quintana
D
40
Mateo Klimowicz
45'
M
Mateo Klimowicz
45'
M
33
Rodrigo Gómez
31'
D
Rodrigo Gómez
31'
D
42
Víctor Sánchez
D
Víctor Sánchez
D
20
Wílder Viera
14'
M
Wílder Viera
14'
M
1
Mauro Silveira
G
Mauro Silveira
G
33
D
5
Daniel Rivera
76'
D
Daniel Rivera
76'
D
98
Jermein Peña
D
Jermein Peña
D
26
Yeison Suárez
M
Yeison Suárez
M
22
Jesús Rivas
59'
M
Jesús Rivas
59'
M
14
Juan David Ríos
45'
M
Juan David Ríos
45'
M
34
Jhonier Guerrero
M
Jhonier Guerrero
M
8
Yimmi Chará
71'
F
Yimmi Chará
71'
F
18
Kevin Pérez
F
Kevin Pérez
F
29
T. Gutiérrez
59'
F
T. Gutiérrez
59'
F
Bench
88
Bryan Castrillón
31'
F
Bryan Castrillón
31'
F
70
Carlos Bacca
F
Carlos Bacca
F
9
G. Paiva
31'
F
G. Paiva
31'
F
7
Harold Rivera
M
Harold Rivera
M
20
Jannenson Sarmiento
19'
M
Jannenson Sarmiento
19'
M
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
30
Jefersson Martínez
G
Jefersson Martínez
G
21
Joel Canchimbo
F
Joel Canchimbo
F
10
L. Muriel
14'
F
L. Muriel
14'
F
Best on the pitch
Alexis Martín Arias
G · Cerro
8.50
· 31 pass
M. Pérez
D · Cerro
7.90
1 👟
· 25 pass
Jonatan Torres
F · Cerro
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 31 pass
Mauro Silveira
G · Junior
7.50
· 16 pass
Abel Luciatti
D · Cerro
7.30
· 33 pass
Marcelo Chaparro
M · Cerro
7.20
1 shots
· 23 pass
Cerro Porteno — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Martín Arias | G | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Guillermo Benitez | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Abel Luciatti | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Pérez | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Velázquez | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcelo Chaparro | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Morel | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Piris da Motta | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Edgar Raul Paez Torales | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Vegetti | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Jonatan Torres | F | 83 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 31 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Cesar Bobadilla | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Fabrizio Peralta | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Mateo Klimowicz | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Gómez | D | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Wílder Viera | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauro Silveira | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — | |
| Daniel Rivera | D | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Jermein Peña | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Yeison Suárez | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Juan David Ríos | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jhonier Guerrero | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Yimmi Chará | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Pérez | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Gutiérrez | F | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Bryan Castrillón | F | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| G. Paiva | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jannenson Sarmiento | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| L. Muriel | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Junior?
The final score was Cerro Porteno 1–0 Junior.
What did the model predict before Cerro Porteno vs Junior?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Cerro Porteno win, 25% to a draw, and 18% to an Junior win.