Copa Libertadores
· Round of 16
August 20, 2026 00:00
41'
(ast. Jhon Arias)
Gustavo Gómez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Cerro Porteno 30%). The final result was Cerro Porteno 0–1 Palmeiras. In 3 previous meetings, Cerro Porteno have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Palmeiras.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
3
0.56
Actual xG
0.98
1
Saves
3
57%
Possession
43%
7
Corners
6
21
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
41'
ast. Jhon Arias ·
Gustavo Gómez⚽
Iván Ramírez
/ Mateo Klimowicz
46'
Fabricio Domínguez
52'
53'
José Manuel López
Ariel Gamarra
/ Juan Iturbe
62'
Marcelo Chaparro
/ Guillermo Benitez
62'
74'
Mauricio
/
Vitor Roque
Ignacio Aliseda
/ Jonatan Torres
76'
Fabricio Domínguez
/ Josué Servín
81'
81'
Bruno Fuchs
/
Murilo
Jorge Morel
90'+2
90'
Emiliano Martínez
/
Lucas Evangelista
90'
Luis Pacheco
/
Jhon Arias
90'
Agustín Giay
/
Allan
Pre-match prediction
30.12%
Cerro
30.4%
X
39.48%
Palmeiras ←
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras)
39.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.43
0.56
-0.87
1.97
0.98
-0.99
Palmeiras dominated by xG (0.98 vs 0.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Manuel Roffo
G
Manuel Roffo
G
35
Marcelo Chaparro
62'
D
Marcelo Chaparro
62'
D
14
Lucas Quintana
D
Lucas Quintana
D
23
Gustavo Velázquez
D
Gustavo Velázquez
D
24
A. Cañete
D
A. Cañete
D
16
I. Ramírez
45'
D
I. Ramírez
45'
D
5
J. Morel
M
J. Morel
M
18
Ariel Gamarra
62'
M
Ariel Gamarra
62'
M
2
Fabricio Domínguez
81'
M
Fabricio Domínguez
81'
M
19
P. Vegetti
F
P. Vegetti
F
31
Ignacio Aliseda
76'
F
Ignacio Aliseda
76'
F
Bench
3
Álvaro Espínola
M
Álvaro Espínola
M
46
Carlos Chena
M
Carlos Chena
M
28
Carlos Franco
F
Carlos Franco
F
36
Fredy Noguera
F
Fredy Noguera
F
13
Guillermo Benitez
28'
D
Guillermo Benitez
28'
D
27
Jonatan Torres
14'
F
Jonatan Torres
14'
F
39
Josué Servín
9'
D
Josué Servín
9'
D
11
Juan Iturbe
28'
F
Juan Iturbe
28'
F
44
Lucas Merolla
D
Lucas Merolla
D
40
Mateo Klimowicz
45'
M
Mateo Klimowicz
45'
M
26
Piris da Motta
M
Piris da Motta
M
25
Roberto Fernández
G
Roberto Fernández
G
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
2
A. Barboza
D
A. Barboza
D
15
G. Gómez
1 ⚽
D
G. Gómez
1 ⚽
D
26
Murilo
81'
D
Murilo
81'
D
22
J. Piquerez
M
J. Piquerez
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
89'
M
Lucas Evangelista
89'
M
17
Marlon Freitas
M
Marlon Freitas
M
40
Allan
89'
M
Allan
89'
M
11
J. Arias
1 👟
89'
F
J. Arias
1 👟
89'
F
9
Vitor Roque
74'
F
Vitor Roque
74'
F
42
J. López
F
J. López
F
Bench
4
A. Giay
1'
D
A. Giay
1'
D
56
Arthur
D
Arthur
D
43
Benedetti
D
Benedetti
D
3
Bruno Fuchs
9'
D
Bruno Fuchs
9'
D
32
E. Martínez
1'
M
E. Martínez
1'
M
7
Felipe Anderson
M
Felipe Anderson
M
39
Heittor
F
Heittor
F
48
Larson
M
Larson
M
50
Luis Felipe
1'
M
Luis Felipe
1'
M
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
Marcelo Lomba
G
18
Maurício
16'
M
Maurício
16'
M
37
Riquelme Fillipi
F
Riquelme Fillipi
F
Best on the pitch
G. Gómez
D · Palmeiras
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
A. Barboza
D · Palmeiras
7.70
1 shots
· 22 pass
J. Arias
F · Palmeiras
7.30
1 👟
· 19 pass
J. Piquerez
M · Palmeiras
7.30
2 shots
· 26 pass
J. López
F · Palmeiras
7.20
· 39 pass
Carlos Miguel
G · Palmeiras
7.20
· 18 pass
Cerro Porteno — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Roffo | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Chaparro | D | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Quintana | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Gustavo Velázquez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 73 | 59% | — | — | — |
| A. Cañete | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Ramírez | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Morel | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ariel Gamarra | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabricio Domínguez | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 3 | 1 | — |
| P. Vegetti | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Ignacio Aliseda | F | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Benitez | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Jonatan Torres | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Josué Servín | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Juan Iturbe | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Klimowicz | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | — | — | — |
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Barboza | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 21% | — | — | — |
| J. Piquerez | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Arias | F | 89 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Vitor Roque | F | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| J. López | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Giay | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Fuchs | D | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Felipe | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Maurício | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?
The final score was Cerro Porteno 0–1 Palmeiras.
What did the model predict before Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Cerro Porteno win, 30% to a draw, and 39% to an Palmeiras win.