Cerro Porteno - Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores
August 18, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.24%
Win
Cerro Porteno
27.01%
Draw
38.75%
Win
Palmeiras
1.75
2.18
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(9.99%)
1X2 Result
✓ 70.6% hit rate (17 picks)
1
34%
X
27%
2
39%
Double Chance
1X
61%
X2
66%
12
73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
63%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Palmeiras a 38% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Cerro Porteno. Expected goals are 1.8 for Cerro Porteno and 2.2 for Palmeiras (total 3.9), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.99% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Cerro Porteno have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Palmeiras.
Season Stats
4W
1D
1L
3W
2D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.7
0.3
Conceded
0.8
2.8
Shots OT
5.8
3.2
Corners
6.2
38%
Poss.
62%
Percentages
33%
O 1.5
83%
0%
O 2.5
33%
17%
BTTS
67%
67%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
2W
1D
0L
· at home
1W
2D
0L
· away
1.3
gls/g
1.3
0.3
Conceded
0.7
67%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
67%
67%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Cerro Porteno
Attack
29
Defence
72
Form
62
Palmeiras
Attack
49
Defence
71
Form
71
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?
The model gives Cerro Porteno a 34% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 38% for an Palmeiras win.
How many goals are expected in Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?
Expected goals: Cerro Porteno 1.8, Palmeiras 2.2 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.99%.