Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 29, 2026 00:00
Pablo Vegetti
(ast. Jorge Morel)
51'
Cecilio Domínguez
67'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cerro Porteno a 47% win probability (draw 29%, Sporting Cristal 22%). The final result was Cerro Porteno 2–0 Sporting Cristal. In 1 previous meetings, Cerro Porteno have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sporting Cristal.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
3
1.34
Actual xG
0.16
3
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
1
17
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
31'
Luis Abram
45'+1
Martín Távara
⚽Pablo Vegetti
· ast. Jorge Morel
51'
61'
Fabrizio Lora
/
Luis Abram
61'
Luis Iberico
/
Martín Távara
Cesar Bobadilla
63'
64'
⚽Cecilio Domínguez
(pen.)
67'
Cesar Bobadilla
/ Ignacio Aliseda
69'
69'
Cristian Benavente
/
Gabriel Santana
69'
Catriel Cabellos
/
Irven Ávila
Jonatan Torres
/ Juan Iturbe
70'
Pablo Vegetti
76'
76'
Catriel Cabellos
Cecilio Domínguez
/ Fabrizio Peralta
79'
83'
Carlos Del Valle
/
Maxloren Castro
Gustavo Velázquez
/ Lucas Quintana
89'
Lucas Quintana
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
47.86%
Cerro ←
29.16%
X
22.99%
Sporting
we assigned to the actual result (Cerro Porteno)
47.86%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.12
1.34
+0.22
0.81
0.16
-0.65
Cerro Porteno dominated by xG (1.34 vs 0.16).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Alexis Martín Arias
G
13
Guillermo Benitez
D
Guillermo Benitez
D
22
M. Pérez
D
M. Pérez
D
23
Gustavo Velázquez
89'
D
Gustavo Velázquez
89'
D
2
Fabricio Domínguez
D
Fabricio Domínguez
D
32
Cesar Bobadilla
69'
M
Cesar Bobadilla
69'
M
26
Piris da Motta
M
Piris da Motta
M
5
J. Morel
1 👟
M
J. Morel
1 👟
M
27
Jonatan Torres
70'
F
Jonatan Torres
70'
F
19
P. Vegetti
1 ⚽
F
P. Vegetti
1 ⚽
F
10
C. Domínguez
1 ⚽
79'
F
C. Domínguez
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
6
Abel Luciatti
D
Abel Luciatti
D
28
Carlos Franco
F
Carlos Franco
F
8
Cristhian Paredes
M
Cristhian Paredes
M
16
Fabrizio Peralta
17'
M
Fabrizio Peralta
17'
M
30
Gastón Giménez
M
Gastón Giménez
M
31
Ignacio Aliseda
27'
M
Ignacio Aliseda
27'
M
39
Josué Servín
D
Josué Servín
D
11
Juan Iturbe
26'
F
Juan Iturbe
26'
F
14
Lucas Quintana
7'
D
Lucas Quintana
7'
D
40
Mateo Klimowicz
M
Mateo Klimowicz
M
25
Roberto Fernández
G
Roberto Fernández
G
33
Rodrigo Gómez
D
Rodrigo Gómez
D
1
D. Enríquez
G
D. Enríquez
G
96
L. Abram
61'
D
L. Abram
61'
D
5
R. Lutiger
D
R. Lutiger
D
20
M. Araujo
D
M. Araujo
D
8
L. Sosa
D
L. Sosa
D
25
G. Távara
61'
M
G. Távara
61'
M
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
M
Gustavo Cazonatti
M
23
M. Castro
83'
M
M. Castro
83'
M
19
Y. Yotún
M
Y. Yotún
M
27
Gabriel
69'
M
Gabriel
69'
M
11
I. Ávila
69'
F
I. Ávila
69'
F
Bench
15
A. Pósito
D
A. Pósito
D
34
Carlos Del Valle
13'
M
Carlos Del Valle
13'
M
33
C. Bautista
G
C. Bautista
G
21
C. Cabellos
27'
M
C. Cabellos
27'
M
14
Cristian Benavente
27'
F
Cristian Benavente
27'
F
28
Diego Otoya
F
Diego Otoya
F
37
Fabrizio Lora
35'
D
Fabrizio Lora
35'
D
26
Ian Wisdom
M
Ian Wisdom
M
41
Joao Cuenca
D
Joao Cuenca
D
32
L. Díaz
D
L. Díaz
D
16
L. Iberico
35'
F
L. Iberico
35'
F
97
M. RodrÃguez
F
M. RodrÃguez
F
Best on the pitch
C. Domínguez
F · Cerro
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
P. Vegetti
F · Cerro
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
M. Pérez
D · Cerro
7.50
1 shots
· 48 pass
Fabricio Domínguez
D · Cerro
7.50
· 41 pass
Guillermo Benitez
D · Cerro
7.30
· 25 pass
J. Morel
M · Cerro
7.30
1 👟
· 52 pass
Cerro Porteno — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Martín Arias | G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Benitez | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Pérez | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Velázquez | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Fabricio Domínguez | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 27% | 6 | — | — |
| Cesar Bobadilla | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Piris da Motta | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 59 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Morel | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 52 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Jonatan Torres | F | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Vegetti | F | 96 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Domínguez | F | 79 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabrizio Peralta | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Aliseda | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Juan Iturbe | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Quintana | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Enríquez | G | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| L. Abram | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Lutiger | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Araujo | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 42% | — | — | — |
| L. Sosa | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Távara | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Castro | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Yotún | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Ávila | F | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Del Valle | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Cabellos | M | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cristian Benavente | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Fabrizio Lora | D | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. Iberico | F | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Sporting Cristal?
The final score was Cerro Porteno 2–0 Sporting Cristal.
What did the model predict before Cerro Porteno vs Sporting Cristal?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Cerro Porteno win, 29% to a draw, and 22% to an Sporting Cristal win.