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#16 · 10 pts
1 – 0
Final score
#5 · 24 pts
Model wrong — prediction Central Espanol, result Cerro wins
A. Cambon 45'+1
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Central Espanol a 61% win probability (draw 19%, Cerro 18%). The final result was Cerro 1–0 Central Espanol. In 1 previous meetings, Cerro have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Central Espanol.

Match statistics
Match Events
A. Cambon
36'
B. Aleman
39'
D. Suarez
41'
A. Cambon
45'+1
52'
F. Sosa / M. Alonso
T. Rijo
57'
T. Rijo / A. Severo
59'
A. Cambon / S. Paiva
63'
C. Barros / P. Nongoy
63'
67'
F. Milan / M. Urrutia
M. Ocampo / R. Mederos
76'
79'
J. Dupont / M. Aguilera
79'
M. Cantera / L. Fernandez
79'
R. Muniz / I. Mendez
Pre-match prediction
18.82%
Cerro ←
19.69%
X
61.49%
Central
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cerro) 18.82% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cerro
0.60
Central
2.01
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 15 31
2 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 15 29
3 Albion FC Albion FC 15 28
4 Penarol Penarol 15 27
5 Central Espanol Central Espanol 15 24
6 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 15 23
7 Club Nacional Club Nacional 15 22
8 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 15 21
9 Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 15 20
10 Wanderers Wanderers 15 20
11 Danubio Danubio 15 18
12 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 15 17
13 Boston River Boston River 15 17
14 Juventud Juventud 15 15
15 Progreso Progreso 15 10
16 Cerro Cerro 15 10
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cerro vs Central Espanol?
The final score was Cerro 1–0 Central Espanol.
What did the model predict before Cerro vs Central Espanol?
The model assigned 18% probability to a Cerro win, 19% to a draw, and 61% to an Central Espanol win.