Primera División
· Regular Season - 10
April 05, 2026 20:30
Brahian Alemán
83'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Defensor Sporting a 37% win probability (draw 36%, Cerro 26%). The final result was Cerro 1–0 Defensor Sporting.
Match statistics
Match Events
Brahian Alemán
28'
40'
Erico Cuello Gutiérrez
Mateo Argüello
48'
Cristian Barros
51'
Alejo Macelli
59'
65'
Axel Frugone
Cristian Barros
/ Brian Quinteros
67'
Pablo Nongoy
/ Tiago Rijo
67'
68'
Alan Torterolo
/
Erico Cuello Gutiérrez
68'
Brian Lozano
/
Nicolás Wunsch
76'
Lautaro Navarro
/
Facundo Castro
76'
Valentín Rodríguez
/
Alexander Machado
77'
Lautaro Navarro
⚽Brahian Alemán
83'
Bruno Morales
85'
Juan Cruz Guasone
87'
Bruno Morales
/ Nahuel Soria
88'
89'
Mateo Caballero
/
Francisco Sorondo
Brahian Alemán
/ Rodrigo Mederos
90'
Pre-match prediction
26.78%
Cerro ←
36.09%
X
37.13%
Defensor
we assigned to the actual result (Cerro)
26.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.46
—
—
0.88
—
—
Lineups
25
G
6
Francisco Bregante
D
17
D
5
Alejo Macelli
M
16
J. Guasone
D
22
Damián Suárez
D
10
Brahian Alemán
1 ⚽
M
31
Jairo Amaro
M
35
Pablo Nongoy
M
9
B. Morales
F
27
Cristian Barros
M
Bench
13
B. Quinteros
M
14
Nahuel Soria
F
32
R. Mederos
M
12
G
15
Axel Frugone
D
14
Francisco Sorondo
D
3
G. De los Santos
D
11
D
5
Germán Barrios
M
30
Erico Cuello Gutiérrez
M
9
Alexander Machado
F
8
Nicolás Wunsch
M
77
Facundo Castro
M
26
Brian Montenegro
F
Bench
22
Alan Torterolo
M
7
Brian Lozano
M
97
Juan Pablo Goicochea
F
28
Lautaro Navarro
F
20
Mateo Caballero
D
17
Valentín Rodríguez
D
Cerro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Francisco Bregante | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alejo Macelli | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Guasone | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Damián Suárez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brahian Alemán | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jairo Amaro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Nongoy | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Morales | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Barros | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Defensor Sporting — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Axel Frugone | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Sorondo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. De los Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Germán Barrios | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erico Cuello Gutiérrez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Machado | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Wunsch | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Castro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brian Montenegro | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cerro vs Defensor Sporting?
The final score was Cerro 1–0 Defensor Sporting.
What did the model predict before Cerro vs Defensor Sporting?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Cerro win, 36% to a draw, and 37% to an Defensor Sporting win.