Primera División
· Apertura - 10
April 05, 2026 20:30
Brahian Alemán
83'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Defensor Sporting a 37% win probability (draw 36%, Cerro 26%). The final result was Cerro 1–0 Defensor Sporting. In 1 previous meetings, Cerro have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Defensor Sporting.
Match statistics
Match Events
Brahian Alemán
28'
40'
Erico Cuello Gutiérrez
Mateo Argüello
48'
Cristian Barros
51'
Alejo Macelli
59'
65'
Axel Frugone
Cristian Barros
/ Brian Quinteros
67'
Pablo Nongoy
/ Tiago Rijo
67'
68'
Alan Torterolo
/
Erico Cuello Gutiérrez
68'
Brian Lozano
/
Nicolás Wunsch
76'
Lautaro Navarro
/
Facundo Castro
76'
Valentín Rodríguez
/
Alexander Machado
77'
Lautaro Navarro
⚽Brahian Alemán
83'
Bruno Morales
85'
Juan Cruz Guasone
87'
Bruno Morales
/ Nahuel Soria
88'
89'
Mateo Caballero
/
Francisco Sorondo
Brahian Alemán
/ Rodrigo Mederos
90'
Pre-match prediction
26.78%
Cerro ←
36.09%
X
37.13%
Defensor
we assigned to the actual result (Cerro)
26.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.46
—
—
0.88
—
—
Lineups
25
G
6
Francisco Bregante
D
17
D
5
A. Macelli
M
16
J. Guasone
D
22
D. Suárez
D
10
B. Alemán
1 ⚽
M
31
J. Amaro
M
35
P. Nongoy
M
9
B. Morales
F
27
C. Barros
M
Bench
13
Brian Quinteros
M
14
Nahuel Soria
F
32
R. Mederos
M
12
G
15
A. Frugone
D
14
Francisco Sorondo
D
3
G. de los Santos
D
11
D
5
G. Barrios
M
30
E. Cuello
M
9
Alexander Machado
F
Alexander Machado
F
8
Nicolás Andrés Wunsch Tomás
M
77
Facundo Castro
M
26
B. Montenegro
F
Bench
22
A. Torterolo
M
7
B. Lozano
M
97
J. Goicochea
F
J. Goicochea
F
28
Lautaro Navarro
F
20
Mateo Caballero
D
17
Valentín Rodríguez
D
Cerro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Francisco Bregante | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A. Macelli | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Guasone | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Suárez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Alemán | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Amaro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Nongoy | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Morales | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Barros | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Defensor Sporting — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A. Frugone | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Sorondo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. de los Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| G. Barrios | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Cuello | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Machado | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Andrés Wunsch Tomás | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Castro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Montenegro | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cerro vs Defensor Sporting?
The final score was Cerro 1–0 Defensor Sporting.
What did the model predict before Cerro vs Defensor Sporting?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Cerro win, 36% to a draw, and 37% to an Defensor Sporting win.