Primera División
· Torneo Intermedio - 4
June 07, 2026 20:00
57'
A. Hernandez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 49% win probability (draw 30%, Cerro 20%). The final result was Cerro 0–1 Penarol. In 1 previous meetings, Cerro have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Penarol.
Match statistics
Match Events
20'
(missed pen.)
F. Batista⚽
M. Ocampo
31'
A. Cambon
/ N. Soria
46'
56'
A. Hernandez
/
F. Batista
57'
A. Hernandez⚽
T. Rijo
/ R. Mederos
65'
69'
D. Laxalt
/
J. Cabrera
A. Cappuccio
74'
78'
Lucas Hernandez
/
E. Gularte
I. Valenzuela
/ S. Paiva
78'
J. Amaro
79'
88'
A. Madruga
Pre-match prediction
20.21%
Cerro
30.77%
X
49.02%
Penarol ←
we assigned to the actual result (Penarol)
49.02%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.48
—
—
1.12
—
—
Lineups
12
Yonatan Irrazábal
G
6
Francisco Bregante
D
16
Juan Cruz Guasone
D
5
Alejo Macelli
M
24
Ivan Valenzuela
D
31
Jairo Amaro
M
77
Matías Ocampo
M
10
Brahian Alemán
M
27
Cristian Barros
M
33
Tiago Rijo
F
28
Augusto Cambón
F
Bench
8
Agustín Miranda
M
3
Ariel Lima
D
21
Axel Mendez
M
19
Emiliano Sosa
M
25
Fabrizio Correa
G
4
Mateo Argüello
D
14
Nahuel Soria
F
32
Rodrigo Mederos
M
29
Santiago Paiva
F
41
Sebastián Cristóforo
M
29
Washington Aguerre
G
15
Maximiliano Olivera
D
4
Emanuel Gularte
D
3
Mauricio Lemos
D
36
Brian Barboza
D
8
Nicolás Fernández
M
21
Jesús Trindade
M
32
Leandro Umpierrez
M
13
Eduardo Darias
M
7
Javier Cabrera
M
9
Facundo Batista
F
Bench
99
Abel Hernández
1 ⚽
F
26
Andrés Madruga
D
93
Diego Laxalt
M
23
Gastón Togni
M
28
Ignacio Alegre
D
14
Kevin Rodríguez
D
27
Lucas Hernández
D
1
Sebastián Britos
G
30
Stiven Muhlethaler
M
16
Tomas Olase
M
Cerro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yonatan Irrazábal | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Bregante | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Cruz Guasone | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejo Macelli | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Valenzuela | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jairo Amaro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Ocampo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brahian Alemán | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Barros | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Rijo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Augusto Cambón | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Aguerre | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximiliano Olivera | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emanuel Gularte | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Lemos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brian Barboza | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Trindade | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leandro Umpierrez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Darias | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Cabrera | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Batista | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cerro vs Penarol?
The final score was Cerro 0–1 Penarol.
What did the model predict before Cerro vs Penarol?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Cerro win, 30% to a draw, and 49% to an Penarol win.