Primera División
· Torneo Intermedio - 4
June 07, 2026 20:00
57'
A. Hernandez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 49% win probability (draw 30%, Cerro 20%). The final result was Cerro 0–1 Penarol. In 2 previous meetings, Cerro have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Penarol.
Match statistics
Match Events
20'
(missed pen.)
F. Batista⚽
M. Ocampo
31'
A. Cambon
/ N. Soria
46'
56'
A. Hernandez
/
F. Batista
57'
A. Hernandez⚽
T. Rijo
/ R. Mederos
65'
69'
D. Laxalt
/
J. Cabrera
A. Cappuccio
74'
78'
Lucas Hernandez
/
E. Gularte
I. Valenzuela
/ S. Paiva
78'
J. Amaro
79'
88'
A. Madruga
Pre-match prediction
20.21%
Cerro
30.77%
X
49.02%
Penarol ←
we assigned to the actual result (Penarol)
49.02%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.48
—
—
1.12
—
—
Lineups
12
Y. Irrazábal
G
6
F. Bregante
D
16
J. Guasone
D
5
A. Macelli
M
24
Ivan Valenzuela
D
31
J. Amaro
M
77
Matías Ocampo
M
10
B. Alemán
M
27
C. Barros
M
33
Tiago Rijo
F
28
Augusto Cambón
F
Bench
3
A. Lima
D
8
A. Miranda
M
21
Axel Mendez
M
19
E. Sosa
M
25
F. Correa
G
4
Mateo Argüello
D
14
Nahuel Soria
F
32
R. Mederos
M
29
Santiago Paiva
F
41
Sebastián Cristóforo
M
29
W. Aguerre
G
15
M. Olivera
D
4
Emanuel Gularte
D
3
M. Lemos
D
36
B. Barboza
D
8
N. Fernández
M
21
J. Trindade
M
32
L. Umpiérrez
M
13
E. Darias
M
7
J. Cabrera
M
9
F. Batista
F
Bench
99
A. Hernández
1 ⚽
F
26
A. Madruga
D
93
D. Laxalt
M
23
G. Togni
M
G. Togni
M
28
I. Alegre
D
14
Kevin Rodríguez
D
27
L. Hernández
D
1
S. Britos
G
30
S. Mülhethaler
M
16
Tomas Olase
M
Cerro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Irrazábal | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Bregante | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Guasone | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Macelli | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Valenzuela | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Amaro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Ocampo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Alemán | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Barros | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Rijo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Augusto Cambón | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Aguerre | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Olivera | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emanuel Gularte | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lemos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Barboza | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Trindade | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Umpiérrez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Darias | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cabrera | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Batista | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cerro vs Penarol?
The final score was Cerro 0–1 Penarol.
What did the model predict before Cerro vs Penarol?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Cerro win, 30% to a draw, and 49% to an Penarol win.