Primera División
· Clausura - 7
September 19, 2026 20:30
✓Model correct — prediction Penarol
E. Rodriguez
26'
14'
(ast. J. Cabrera)
M. Arezo
77'
C. Jaime
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 63% win probability (draw 16%, Cerro 19%). The final result was Cerro 1–2 Penarol. In 2 previous meetings, Cerro have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Penarol.
Match statistics
Match Events
14'
ast. J. Cabrera ·
M. Arezo⚽
⚽E. Rodriguez
26'
46'
F. Romero
/
M. Lemos
63'
A. Hernandez
/
N. Fernandez
63'
Lucas Hernandez
/
T. N. Espinosa Dovat
E. Rodriguez
65'
Leonardo Pais
/ M. Villar
67'
B. Aleman
/ A. Miranda
67'
77'
C. Jaime⚽
N. Arena
79'
E. Sosa
/ B. Morales
80'
N. Arena
/ A. Severo
80'
80'
I. Alegre
/
J. Cabrera
80'
T. Olase
/
C. Jaime
87'
A. Hernandez
C. Barros
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
19.96%
Cerro
16.55%
X
63.49%
Penarol ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Penarol)
63.49%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
—
—
2.81
—
—
Lineups
12
Y. Irrazábal
G
17
Gianni Rodríguez
D
16
J. Guasone
D
21
N. Arena
D
5
A. Macelli
M
27
C. Barros
M
10
B. Alemán
M
19
E. Sosa
M
31
J. Amaro
M
70
L. Pais
M
14
Emiliano Rodriguez
F
Bench
3
A. Lima
D
8
A. Miranda
M
7
A. Severo
M
9
B. Morales
F
13
B. Quinteros
M
1
D. Denis
G
11
E. Forclaz
M
20
Mauro Villar
D
32
R. Mederos
M
33
Tiago Rijo
F
29
W. Aguerre
G
15
M. Olivera
D
3
M. Lemos
D
2
G. Pezzella
D
26
Thiago Nahuel Espinosa Dovat
M
8
N. Fernández
M
5
E. Remedi
M
7
J. Cabrera
1 👟
M
11
C. Jaime
1 ⚽
F
32
L. Umpiérrez
M
19
M. Arezo
1 ⚽
F
Bench
99
A. Hernández
F
36
B. Barboza
D
80
F. González
M
4
F. Romero
D
28
I. Alegre
D
33
J. Rodríguez
M
27
L. Hernández
D
1
S. Britos
G
30
S. Mülhethaler
M
16
T. Olase
M
Cerro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Irrazábal | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gianni Rodríguez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Guasone | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Arena | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Macelli | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Barros | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Alemán | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Sosa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Amaro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Pais | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emiliano Rodriguez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Aguerre | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Olivera | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lemos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Pezzella | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Nahuel Espinosa Dovat | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Remedi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cabrera | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Jaime | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Umpiérrez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Arezo | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cerro vs Penarol?
The final score was Cerro 1–2 Penarol.
What did the model predict before Cerro vs Penarol?
The model assigned 19% probability to a Cerro win, 16% to a draw, and 63% to an Penarol win.