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Serie B · Regular Season - 7 October 18, 2026 17:15 Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
Cesena
#10 · 11 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Avellino
#9 · 12 pts
Antonio Fiori (ast. Cristian Shpendi) 51'
67' Armando Izzo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Avellino a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Cesena 33%). The final result was Cesena 1–1 Avellino. In 2 previous meetings, Cesena have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Avellino.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
20
6
Shots on target
4
2.17
Actual xG
1.19
3
Saves
3
38%
Possession
62%
7
Corners
5
8
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
13'
Brando Moruzzi
Alessandro Diamanti
45'
↕ Riccardo Pagano / Matteo Guidi
45'
⚽Antonio Fiori · ast. Cristian Shpendi
51'
57'
Giacomo Faticanti / Luca Palmiero ↕
57'
L. Di Maggio / Martin Palumbo ↕
↕ Antonio Fiori / Alessandro Debenedetti
64'
↕ Luca D'Andrea / Massimiliano Mangraviti
65'
67'
Armando Izzo⚽
73'
Andrea Favilli / Walid Cheddira ↕
↕ Mihajlo Ilic / Matteo Piacentini
77'
Emil Bohinen
83'
84'
Dimitrios Sounas / Michele Besaggio ↕
84'
Tommaso Biasci / Raffaele Russo ↕
↕ Emil Bohinen / Matteo Francesconi
84'
Pre-match prediction
33.81%
Cesena
29.9%
X ←
36.3%
Avellino
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.9% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cesena
1.09
2.17
+1.08
Avellino
1.43
1.19
-0.24
Cesena dominated by xG (2.17 vs 1.19). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Cesena Cesena 4-2-3-1
1 A. Siano A. Siano G 6.81
7 G. Frabotta G. Frabotta D 6.21
4 J. Gelli J. Gelli D 7.09
6 M. Ilić M. Ilić 77' D 6.55
15 A. Ciofi A. Ciofi D 6.97
32 E. Bohinen E. Bohinen 84' M 6.40
25 D. Bisoli D. Bisoli M 6.28
80 A. Fiori A. Fiori 1 ⚽ 64' M 7.96
10 R. Pagano R. Pagano 45' M 6.87
16 L. D'Andrea L. D'Andrea 65' M 6.27
9 C. Shpendi C. Shpendi 1 👟 F 7.62
Bench
3 A. David A. David D 0.00
91 A. Debenedetti A. Debenedetti 26' F 6.66
13 L. Ferretti L. Ferretti G 0.00
27 M. Dalla Vecchia M. Dalla Vecchia M 0.00
8 M. Francesconi M. Francesconi 6' M 6.08
18 M. Guidi M. Guidi 45' M 6.42
24 M. Mangraviti M. Mangraviti 25' D 6.56
2 M. Natta M. Natta D 0.00
26 M. Piacentini M. Piacentini 13' D 6.58
39 N. Fontana N. Fontana G 0.00
23 V. Magni V. Magni D 0.00
14 X. Druiventak X. Druiventak M 0.00
Avellino Avellino 3-5-2
50 T. Martinelli T. Martinelli G 6.13
56 P. Enrici P. Enrici D 7.24
23 M. Venturi M. Venturi D 7.24
4 A. Izzo A. Izzo 1 ⚽ D 8.56
27 B. Moruzzi B. Moruzzi M 6.33
39 M. Besaggio M. Besaggio 84' M 6.46
6 L. Palmiero L. Palmiero 57' M 6.70
20 M. Palumbo M. Palumbo 57' M 6.64
2 F. Missori F. Missori M 6.24
9 W. Cheddira W. Cheddira 73' F 6.30
10 R. Russo R. Russo 84' F 6.82
Bench
5 A. Di Bitonto A. Di Bitonto D 0.00
99 A. Favilli A. Favilli 17' F 6.60
24 D. Sounas D. Sounas 6' M 6.38
30 E. Adamo E. Adamo M 0.00
16 G. Faticanti G. Faticanti 33' M 6.81
22 J. Sassi J. Sassi G 0.00
8 L. Di Maggio L. Di Maggio 33' M 6.88
7 L. Pandolfi L. Pandolfi F 0.00
44 L. Šimić L. Šimić D 0.00
3 M. Sala M. Sala D 0.00
14 T. Biasci T. Biasci 6' F 6.48
Best on the pitch
A. Izzo
A. Izzo
D · Avellino
8.56
1 ⚽
3 shots · 77 pass
A. Fiori
A. Fiori
M · Cesena
7.96
1 ⚽
7 shots · 11 pass
C. Shpendi
C. Shpendi
F · Cesena
7.62
1 👟
2 shots · 17 pass
M. Venturi
M. Venturi
D · Avellino
7.24
· 56 pass
P. Enrici
P. Enrici
D · Avellino
7.24
· 64 pass
J. Gelli
J. Gelli
D · Cesena
7.09
3 shots · 38 pass
Cesena Cesena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Siano G 90 6.81 — — 0 28 20% 0 — —
G. Frabotta D 90 6.21 — — 2 32 22% 1 — —
J. Gelli D 90 7.09 — — 3 38 29% 0 — —
M. Ilić D 77 6.55 — — 2 26 18% 2 — —
A. Ciofi D 90 6.97 — — 0 41 35% 0 — —
E. Bohinen M 84 6.40 — — 0 27 21% 3 1 —
D. Bisoli M 90 6.28 — — 2 36 24% 0 — —
A. Fiori M 64 7.96 1 — 7 11 6% 0 — —
R. Pagano M 45 6.87 — — 0 20 17% 0 — —
L. D'Andrea M 65 6.27 — — 0 13 9% 0 — —
C. Shpendi F 90 7.62 — 1 2 17 10% 0 — —
A. Debenedetti F 26 6.66 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
M. Francesconi M 6 6.08 — — 0 5 1% 0 — —
M. Guidi M 45 6.42 — — 0 14 10% 0 — —
M. Mangraviti D 25 6.56 — — 0 7 4% 2 — —
M. Piacentini D 13 6.58 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
Avellino Avellino — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Martinelli G 90 6.13 — — 0 31 18% 0 — —
P. Enrici D 90 7.24 — — 0 64 57% 2 — —
M. Venturi D 90 7.24 — — 0 56 51% 2 — —
A. Izzo D 90 8.56 1 — 3 77 67% 0 — —
B. Moruzzi M 90 6.33 — — 2 37 25% 0 1 —
M. Besaggio M 84 6.46 — — 0 41 33% 1 — —
L. Palmiero M 57 6.70 — — 1 41 35% 0 — —
M. Palumbo M 57 6.64 — — 2 23 16% 1 — —
F. Missori M 90 6.24 — — 3 45 33% 1 — —
W. Cheddira F 73 6.30 — — 4 14 11% 2 — —
R. Russo F 84 6.82 — — 1 24 14% 0 — —
A. Favilli F 17 6.60 — — 1 4 3% 0 — —
D. Sounas M 6 6.38 — — 0 8 8% 0 — —
G. Faticanti M 33 6.81 — — 1 41 35% 3 — —
L. Di Maggio M 33 6.88 — — 2 26 23% 0 — —
T. Biasci F 6 6.48 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cesena vs Avellino?
The final score was Cesena 1–1 Avellino.
What did the model predict before Cesena vs Avellino?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Cesena win, 29% to a draw, and 36% to an Avellino win.