Serie B · Regular Season - 32 March 21, 2026 15:00 Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, Cesena

Cesena

#11 · 5 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Catanzaro

#17 · 3 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 52% win probability (draw 21%, Cesena 25%). The final result was Cesena 3–1 Catanzaro. In 1 previous meetings, Cesena have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Catanzaro.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

3

1.99

Actual xG

1.36

50%

Possession

50%

7

Corners

5

Pre-match prediction

25.93%

Cesena ←

21.44%

X

52.63%

Catanzaro

we assigned to the actual result (Cesena) 25.93% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Cesena

1.17

1.99

+0.82

Catanzaro

2.29

1.36

-0.93

Cesena dominated by xG (1.99 vs 1.36). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	3	9
2	Sudtirol	4	8
3	Mantova	3	7
4	Modena	4	7
5	Ascoli	4	7
6	Padova	4	7
7	Arezzo	4	6
8	Pisa	4	6
9	Avellino	3	6
10	Empoli	4	6
11	Cesena	3	5
12	Vicenza Virtus	4	5
13	Benevento	4	4
14	Virtus Entella	4	4
15	Hellas Verona	4	4
16	Cremonese	3	3
17	Catanzaro	4	3
18	Juve Stabia	4	2
19	Sampdoria	3	1
20	Carrarese	4	1