← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 32 March 21, 2026 15:00
Cesena
#11 · 46 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Catanzaro
#5 · 59 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 52% win probability (draw 21%, Cesena 25%). The final result was Cesena 3–1 Catanzaro. In 1 previous meetings, Cesena have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Catanzaro.

Match statistics
6
Shots on target
3
1.99
Actual xG
1.36
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
25.93%
Cesena ←
21.44%
X
52.63%
Catanzaro
we assigned to the actual result (Cesena) 25.93% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cesena
1.17
1.99
+0.82
Catanzaro
2.29
1.36
-0.93
Cesena dominated by xG (1.99 vs 1.36). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cesena vs Catanzaro?
The final score was Cesena 3–1 Catanzaro.
What did the model predict before Cesena vs Catanzaro?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Cesena win, 21% to a draw, and 52% to an Catanzaro win.