The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cesena a 45% win probability (draw 31%, Sampdoria 22%). The final result was Cesena 0–0 Sampdoria. In 2 previous meetings, Cesena have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sampdoria.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
3
0.52
Actual xG
0.42
3
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
5
10
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
30'
L. Cherubini
T. Corazza
/ G. Frabotta
54'
S. Bastoni
/ G. Castrovilli
55'
57'
D. Hadzikadunic
64'
O. Abildgaard
65'
F. Depaoli
/
L. Henderson
65'
M. Palma
/
D. Hadzikadunic
75'
F. Conti
/
O. Abildgaard
A. Cerri
/ R. Ciervo
79'
84'
M. Cicconi
/
L. Cherubini
84'
E. Soleri
/
M. Brunori
M. Olivieri
/ G. Vrioni
87'
A. Ciofi
/ V. Magni
87'
G. Frabotta
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
45.26%
Cesena
31.83%
X ←
22.91%
Sampdoria
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.83%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
0.52
-0.77
0.74
0.42
-0.32
xG dominance was balanced (0.52 – 0.42).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
27
T. Corazza
54'
D
T. Corazza
54'
D
25
D. Bisoli
D
D. Bisoli
D
19
D
15
A. Ciofi
87'
D
A. Ciofi
87'
D
24
M. Mangraviti
M
M. Mangraviti
M
10
S. Bastoni
55'
M
S. Bastoni
55'
M
32
M. Olivieri
87'
M
M. Olivieri
87'
M
14
T. Berti
M
T. Berti
M
9
C. Shpendi
M
C. Shpendi
M
7
A. Cerri
79'
F
A. Cerri
79'
F
Bench
99
G. Frabotta
40'
D
G. Frabotta
40'
D
4
M. Castagnetti
M
11
Riccardo Ciervo
15'
F
Riccardo Ciervo
15'
F
50
G
21
Simone Giordano
D
Simone Giordano
D
2
M. Viti
D
M. Viti
D
28
O. Abildgaard
75'
D
O. Abildgaard
75'
D
29
A. Di Pardo
D
A. Di Pardo
D
16
L. Henderson
65'
M
L. Henderson
65'
M
17
Dennis Hadžikadunić
65'
M
Dennis Hadžikadunić
65'
M
8
M. Ricci
M
M. Ricci
M
10
L. Cherubini
84'
F
L. Cherubini
84'
F
99
M. Brunori
84'
F
11
T. Begić
F
T. Begić
F
Bench
72
A. Barák
M
A. Barák
M
92
E. Soleri
10'
F
23
F. Depaoli
29'
D
F. Depaoli
29'
D
13
Matteo Palma
29'
D
Matteo Palma
29'
D
7
M. Cicconi
10'
M
M. Cicconi
10'
M
94
S. Esposito
M
S. Esposito
M
Best on the pitch
D. Bisoli
D · Cesena
7.70
· 71 pass
Simone Giordano
D · Sampdoria
7.50
· 48 pass
Matteo Palma
D · Sampdoria
7.30
1 shots
· 18 pass
D · Cesena
7.30
· 40 pass
M. Ricci
M · Sampdoria
7.30
2 shots
· 54 pass
T. Berti
M · Cesena
7.20
· 65 pass
Cesena — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| T. Corazza | D | 54 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| D. Bisoli | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 71 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | 4 | — | — | |
| A. Ciofi | D | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Mangraviti | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | — | — | — |
| S. Bastoni | M | 55 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Olivieri | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| T. Berti | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 65 | 57% | — | — | — |
| C. Shpendi | M | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Cerri | F | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| G. Frabotta | D | 40 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Riccardo Ciervo | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Sampdoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Simone Giordano | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Viti | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Abildgaard | D | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Di Pardo | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Henderson | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Dennis Hadžikadunić | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Ricci | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Cherubini | F | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Brunori | F | 84 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| T. Begić | F | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Soleri | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| F. Depaoli | D | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Matteo Palma | D | 29 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cicconi | M | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cesena vs Sampdoria?
The final score was Cesena 0–0 Sampdoria.
What did the model predict before Cesena vs Sampdoria?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Cesena win, 31% to a draw, and 22% to an Sampdoria win.