Cesena 1–1 Sampdoria — pre-match prediction — Serie B — August 23, 2026

← Serie B

Serie B · Regular Season - 1 August 23, 2026 21:00 Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, Cesena

Cesena

#11 · 5 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Sampdoria

#19 · 1 pts

C. Shpendi (ast. M. Guidi) 17'

83' (ast. S. Gartenmann) L. Henderson

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cesena a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Sampdoria 33%). The final result was Cesena 1–1 Sampdoria. In 2 previous meetings, Cesena have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sampdoria.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.03

Actual xG

1.05

Saves

36%

Possession

64%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽C. Shpendi · ast. M. Guidi

17'

38'

M. Cicconi

A. David

43'

A. David

50'

A. David

50'

↕ A. Fiori / G. Frabotta

51'

C. Shpendi

57'

58'

T. Begic / A. Bellemo ↕

↕ C. Shpendi / V. Magni

68'

70'

Y. Verschaeren / F. Depaoli ↕

↕ X. Druiventak / A. Debenedetti

76'

↕ R. Pagano / M. Francesconi

76'

↕ M. Guidi / L. Schirone

76'

83'

ast. S. Gartenmann · L. Henderson⚽

Pre-match prediction

34.01%

Cesena

32.52%

X ←

33.47%

Sampdoria

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 32.52% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Cesena

0.86

1.03

+0.17

Sampdoria

0.65

1.05

+0.4

xG dominance was balanced (1.03 – 1.05). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	3	9
2	Sudtirol	4	8
3	Mantova	3	7
4	Modena	4	7
5	Ascoli	4	7
6	Padova	4	7
7	Arezzo	4	6
8	Pisa	4	6
9	Avellino	3	6
10	Empoli	4	6
11	Cesena	3	5
12	Vicenza Virtus	4	5
13	Benevento	4	4
14	Virtus Entella	4	4
15	Hellas Verona	4	4
16	Cremonese	3	3
17	Catanzaro	4	3
18	Juve Stabia	4	2
19	Sampdoria	3	1
20	Carrarese	4	1

Lineups

Cesena 4-1-4-1

A. Siano G 7.20

Antonio David 50' D 5.60

Jacopo Gelli D 7.00

M. Ilić D 7.30

A. Ciofi D 6.20

R. Pagano 76' M 7.00

A. Fiori 51' M 6.70

Matteo Guidi 76' M 6.90

D. Bisoli M 6.90

X. Druiventak 76' M 6.90

C. Shpendi 1 ⚽ 68' F 6.60

Bench

A. Debenedetti 14' F 6.30

Filippo Bertaccini F

G. Frabotta 39' D 6.60

L. D'Andrea F

L. Schirone 14' M 6.50

Matteo Casadei M

M. Francesconi 14' M 6.60

M. Natta D

Niccolo Fontana G

T. Mazzi G

V. Magni 22' D 6.30

Sampdoria 4-3-3

P. Vindahl G 7.30

M. Cicconi D 6.20

M. Viti D 6.90

S. Gartenmann 1 👟 D 7.50

A. Di Pardo D 6.60

A. Bellemo 58' M 6.60

S. Esposito M 7.20

L. Henderson 1 ⚽ M 6.30

F. Depaoli 70' F 6.50

G. Tutino F 6.60

D. Sinani F 6.30

Bench

A. Ferrari D

Andrey Krastev G

A. Riccio D

Giuseppe Forte F

Leo Rodella M

Lorenzo Paratici F

S. Ghidotti G

Stefan Amarandei F

T. Begić 32' F 6.30

Y. Verschaeren 20' M 6.20

Best on the pitch

S. Gartenmann

D · Sampdoria

7.50

1 👟

1 shots · 79 pass

P. Vindahl

G · Sampdoria

7.30

· 40 pass

M. Ilić

D · Cesena

7.30

· 44 pass

S. Esposito

M · Sampdoria

7.20

1 shots · 73 pass

A. Siano

G · Cesena

7.20

· 47 pass

R. Pagano

M · Cesena

7.00

· 39 pass

Cesena — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Siano	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	47	32%	—	—	—
Antonio David	D	50	5.60	—	—	—	14	10%	3	2	1
Jacopo Gelli	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	58	47%	—	—	—
M. Ilić	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	44	39%	—	—	—
A. Ciofi	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	19	14%	—	—	—
R. Pagano	M	76	7.00	—	—	—	39	34%	1	—	—
A. Fiori	M	51	6.70	—	—	1	8	8%	1	—	—
Matteo Guidi	M	76	6.90	—	—	1	9	7%	1	—	—
D. Bisoli	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	20	12%	2	—	—
X. Druiventak	M	76	6.90	—	—	—	14	9%	2	—	—
C. Shpendi	F	68	6.60	1	—	2	4	3%	—	1	—
A. Debenedetti	F	14	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
G. Frabotta	D	39	6.60	—	—	—	4	3%	1	—	—
L. Schirone	M	14	6.50	—	—	1	4	4%	—	—	—
M. Francesconi	M	14	6.60	—	—	—	1	1%	2	—	—
V. Magni	D	22	6.30	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—

Sampdoria — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
P. Vindahl	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	40	36%	—	—	—
M. Cicconi	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	36	28%	—	1	—
M. Viti	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	67	54%	3	—	—
S. Gartenmann	D	90	7.50	—	1	1	79	75%	1	—	—
A. Di Pardo	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	46	41%	3	—	—
A. Bellemo	M	58	6.60	—	—	—	12	11%	—	—	—
S. Esposito	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	73	65%	—	—	—
L. Henderson	M	90	6.30	1	—	6	49	37%	—	—	—
F. Depaoli	F	70	6.50	—	—	1	7	6%	—	—	—
G. Tutino	F	90	6.60	—	—	2	5	3%	—	—	—
D. Sinani	F	90	6.30	—	—	3	50	45%	1	—	—
T. Begić	F	32	6.30	—	—	1	19	16%	—	—	—
Y. Verschaeren	M	20	6.20	—	—	—	8	6%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Cesena vs Sampdoria?

The final score was Cesena 1–1 Sampdoria.

What did the model predict before Cesena vs Sampdoria?

The model assigned 34% probability to a Cesena win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Sampdoria win.