← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 33 April 06, 2026 12:30
Cesena
#11 · 46 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Sudtirol
#16 · 41 pts
F. Davi 17' (og)
3' (ast. D. Casiraghi) F. Tait

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cesena a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Sudtirol 29%). The final result was Cesena 1–1 Sudtirol. In 1 previous meetings, Cesena have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sudtirol.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
1
1.15
Actual xG
1.17
0
Saves
3
71%
Possession
29%
4
Corners
6
10
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
3'
ast. D. Casiraghi · F. Tait⚽
6'
S. Molina
⚽F. Davi (og)
17'
43'
F. Davi
54'
R. Odogwu / R. Tonin ↕
55'
H. El Kaouakibi / F. Davi ↕
↕ C. Shpendi / G. Frabotta
63'
↕ S. Bastoni / M. Castagnetti
63'
63'
M. R. Frigerio / F. Tait ↕
↕ T. Berti / M. Olivieri
71'
↕ A. Cerri / G. Vrioni
71'
↕ R. Ciervo / I. Wade
83'
85'
S. Davi / S. Tronchin ↕
85'
D. Crnigoj / S. Molina ↕
90'+4
S. Davi
Pre-match prediction
40.64%
Cesena
29.84%
X ←
29.52%
Sudtirol
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.84% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cesena
1.38
1.15
-0.23
Sudtirol
1.17
1.17
+0.0
xG dominance was balanced (1.15 – 1.17). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Cesena Cesena 4-2-3-1
33
G 6.20
27
T. Corazza D 7.20
26
D 6.70
19
D 8.00
15
A. Ciofi D 6.90
10
S. Bastoni 63' M 6.70
25
D. Bisoli M 7.90
9 C. Shpendi C. Shpendi 63' M 7.00
14 T. Berti T. Berti 71' M 7.20
11
R. Ciervo 83' M 7.00
7
A. Cerri 71' F 7.20
Bench
99
G. Frabotta 27' D 6.60
4
M. Castagnetti 27' M 7.00
24 M. Mangraviti M. Mangraviti D
32
M. Olivieri 19' F 6.50
Sudtirol Sudtirol 3-5-2
31
G 7.60
34
F. Veseli D 6.90
19
N. Pietrangeli D 6.60
23
F. Davi 1 ⚽ 55' D 5.90
7
K. Zedadka M 6.50
17 D. Casiraghi D. Casiraghi 1 👟 M 7.30
18
S. Tronchin 85' M 6.30
21
F. Tait 1 ⚽ 63' M 7.30
79
S. Molina 85' M 6.70
33 S. Merkaj S. Merkaj F 6.00
11
R. Tonin 54' F 5.90
Bench
5
A. Masiello D
89
D. Crnigoj 10' M 6.30
94
H. El Kaouakibi 35' D 6.60
6
J. Martini M
26
M. R. Frigerio 27' M 6.50
90
R. Odogwu 36' F 6.00
24
S. Davi 10' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
D · Cesena
8.00
· 75 pass
D. Bisoli
M · Cesena
7.90
· 89 pass
G · Sudtirol
7.60
· 23 pass
D. Casiraghi
D. Casiraghi
M · Sudtirol
7.30
1 👟
· 29 pass
F. Tait
M · Sudtirol
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
A. Cerri
F · Cesena
7.20
1 shots · 22 pass
Cesena Cesena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 28 20% — — —
T. Corazza D 90 7.20 — — 2 61 56% 4 — —
D 90 6.70 — — — 64 59% — — —
D 90 8.00 — — — 75 66% 2 — —
A. Ciofi D 90 6.90 — — — 65 56% — — —
S. Bastoni M 63 6.70 — — — 56 46% 1 — —
D. Bisoli M 90 7.90 — — — 89 80% 3 — —
C. Shpendi M 63 7.00 — — — 21 19% — — —
T. Berti M 71 7.20 — — 1 44 37% — — —
R. Ciervo M 83 7.00 — — 1 48 43% — — —
A. Cerri F 71 7.20 — — 1 22 17% — — —
G. Frabotta D 27 6.60 — — — 9 6% — — —
M. Castagnetti M 27 7.00 — — — 36 34% — — —
M. Olivieri F 19 6.50 — — 2 7 5% — — —
Sudtirol Sudtirol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.60 — — — 23 9% — — —
F. Veseli D 90 6.90 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
N. Pietrangeli D 90 6.60 — — — 19 11% 2 — —
F. Davi D 55 5.90 1 — — 13 10% 3 1 —
K. Zedadka M 90 6.50 — — — 25 16% — — —
D. Casiraghi M 90 7.30 — 1 — 29 22% — — —
S. Tronchin M 85 6.30 — — — 36 25% 1 — —
F. Tait M 63 7.30 1 — 1 19 11% 1 — —
S. Molina M 85 6.70 — — 1 30 13% 1 1 —
S. Merkaj F 90 6.00 — — 1 10 6% — — —
R. Tonin F 54 5.90 — — 1 8 5% — — —
D. Crnigoj M 10 6.30 — — 1 — — — — —
H. El Kaouakibi D 35 6.60 — — — 15 14% — — —
M. R. Frigerio M 27 6.50 — — 1 4 3% — — —
R. Odogwu F 36 6.00 — — — 1 1% — — —
S. Davi D 10 6.60 — — — 1 1% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cesena vs Sudtirol?
The final score was Cesena 1–1 Sudtirol.
What did the model predict before Cesena vs Sudtirol?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Cesena win, 29% to a draw, and 29% to an Sudtirol win.