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Serie B · Regular Season - 33 April 06, 2026 12:30 Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
Cesena
#10 · 7 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Sudtirol
#2 · 11 pts
F. Davi 17' (og)
3' (ast. D. Casiraghi) F. Tait
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cesena a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Sudtirol 29%). The final result was Cesena 1–1 Sudtirol. In 1 previous meetings, Cesena have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sudtirol.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
1
1.15
Actual xG
1.17
0
Saves
3
71%
Possession
29%
4
Corners
6
10
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
3'
ast. D. Casiraghi · F. Tait⚽
6'
S. Molina
⚽F. Davi (og)
17'
43'
F. Davi
54'
R. Odogwu / R. Tonin ↕
55'
H. El Kaouakibi / F. Davi ↕
↕ C. Shpendi / G. Frabotta
63'
↕ S. Bastoni / M. Castagnetti
63'
63'
M. R. Frigerio / F. Tait ↕
↕ T. Berti / M. Olivieri
71'
↕ A. Cerri / G. Vrioni
71'
↕ R. Ciervo / I. Wade
83'
85'
S. Davi / S. Tronchin ↕
85'
D. Crnigoj / S. Molina ↕
90'+4
S. Davi
Pre-match prediction
40.64%
Cesena
29.84%
X ←
29.52%
Sudtirol
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.84% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cesena
1.38
1.15
-0.23
Sudtirol
1.17
1.17
+0.0
xG dominance was balanced (1.15 – 1.17). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 5 13
2 Sudtirol Sudtirol 5 11
3 Mantova Mantova 5 11
4 Modena Modena 5 10
5 Ascoli Ascoli 5 10
6 Padova Padova 5 7
7 Benevento Benevento 5 7
8 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 5 7
9 Avellino Avellino 5 7
10 Cesena Cesena 5 7
11 Pisa Pisa 5 7
12 Arezzo Arezzo 5 6
13 Empoli Empoli 5 6
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 5 5
15 Cremonese Cremonese 5 5
16 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 5 5
17 Sampdoria Sampdoria 5 4
18 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 5 3
19 Catanzaro Catanzaro 5 3
20 Carrarese Carrarese 5 1
Lineups
Cesena Cesena 4-2-3-1
33
G 6.20
27 T. Corazza T. Corazza D 7.20
26
D 6.70
19
D 8.00
15 A. Ciofi A. Ciofi D 6.90
10 S. Bastoni S. Bastoni 63' M 6.70
25 D. Bisoli D. Bisoli M 7.90
9 C. Shpendi C. Shpendi 63' M 7.00
14 T. Berti T. Berti 71' M 7.20
11 Riccardo Ciervo Riccardo Ciervo 83' M 7.00
7 A. Cerri A. Cerri 71' F 7.20
Bench
99 G. Frabotta G. Frabotta 27' D 6.60
4
M. Castagnetti 27' M 7.00
24 M. Mangraviti M. Mangraviti D
32 M. Olivieri M. Olivieri 19' F 6.50
Sudtirol Sudtirol 3-5-2
31
G 7.60
34 Frédéric Veseli Frédéric Veseli D 6.90
19 N. Pietrangeli N. Pietrangeli D 6.60
23 F. Davi F. Davi 1 ⚽ 55' D 5.90
7 K. Zedadka K. Zedadka M 6.50
17 D. Casiraghi D. Casiraghi 1 👟 M 7.30
18 S. Tronchin S. Tronchin 85' M 6.30
21 F. Tait F. Tait 1 ⚽ 63' M 7.30
79 S. Molina S. Molina 85' M 6.70
33 S. Merkaj S. Merkaj F 6.00
11 Riccardo Tonin Riccardo Tonin 54' F 5.90
Bench
5
A. Masiello D
89 Domen Črnigoj Domen Črnigoj 10' M 6.30
94 Hamza El Kaouakibi Hamza El Kaouakibi 35' D 6.60
6 J. Martini J. Martini M
26 Marco Romano Frigerio Marco Romano Frigerio 27' M 6.50
90 Raphael Odogwu Raphael Odogwu 36' F 6.00
24 S. Davì S. Davì 10' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
D · Cesena
8.00
· 75 pass
D. Bisoli
D. Bisoli
M · Cesena
7.90
· 89 pass
G · Sudtirol
7.60
· 23 pass
D. Casiraghi
D. Casiraghi
M · Sudtirol
7.30
1 👟
· 29 pass
F. Tait
F. Tait
M · Sudtirol
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
A. Cerri
A. Cerri
F · Cesena
7.20
1 shots · 22 pass
Cesena Cesena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 28 20% — — —
T. Corazza D 90 7.20 — — 2 61 56% 4 — —
D 90 6.70 — — — 64 59% — — —
D 90 8.00 — — — 75 66% 2 — —
A. Ciofi D 90 6.90 — — — 65 56% — — —
S. Bastoni M 63 6.70 — — — 56 46% 1 — —
D. Bisoli M 90 7.90 — — — 89 80% 3 — —
C. Shpendi M 63 7.00 — — — 21 19% — — —
T. Berti M 71 7.20 — — 1 44 37% — — —
Riccardo Ciervo M 83 7.00 — — 1 48 43% — — —
A. Cerri F 71 7.20 — — 1 22 17% — — —
G. Frabotta D 27 6.60 — — — 9 6% — — —
M. Castagnetti M 27 7.00 — — — 36 34% — — —
M. Olivieri F 19 6.50 — — 2 7 5% — — —
Sudtirol Sudtirol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.60 — — — 23 9% — — —
Frédéric Veseli D 90 6.90 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
N. Pietrangeli D 90 6.60 — — — 19 11% 2 — —
F. Davi D 55 5.90 1 — — 13 10% 3 1 —
K. Zedadka M 90 6.50 — — — 25 16% — — —
D. Casiraghi M 90 7.30 — 1 — 29 22% — — —
S. Tronchin M 85 6.30 — — — 36 25% 1 — —
F. Tait M 63 7.30 1 — 1 19 11% 1 — —
S. Molina M 85 6.70 — — 1 30 13% 1 1 —
S. Merkaj F 90 6.00 — — 1 10 6% — — —
Riccardo Tonin F 54 5.90 — — 1 8 5% — — —
Domen Črnigoj M 10 6.30 — — 1 — — — — —
Hamza El Kaouakibi D 35 6.60 — — — 15 14% — — —
Marco Romano Frigerio M 27 6.50 — — 1 4 3% — — —
Raphael Odogwu F 36 6.00 — — — 1 1% — — —
S. Davì D 10 6.60 — — — 1 1% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cesena vs Sudtirol?
The final score was Cesena 1–1 Sudtirol.
What did the model predict before Cesena vs Sudtirol?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Cesena win, 29% to a draw, and 29% to an Sudtirol win.