F. Davi
17'
(og)
3'
(ast. D. Casiraghi)
F. Tait
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cesena a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Sudtirol 29%). The final result was Cesena 1–1 Sudtirol. In 1 previous meetings, Cesena have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sudtirol.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
1
1.15
Actual xG
1.17
0
Saves
3
71%
Possession
29%
4
Corners
6
10
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
3'
ast. D. Casiraghi ·
F. Tait⚽
6'
S. Molina
⚽F. Davi
(og)
17'
43'
F. Davi
54'
R. Odogwu
/
R. Tonin
55'
H. El Kaouakibi
/
F. Davi
C. Shpendi
/ G. Frabotta
63'
S. Bastoni
/ M. Castagnetti
63'
63'
M. R. Frigerio
/
F. Tait
T. Berti
/ M. Olivieri
71'
A. Cerri
/ G. Vrioni
71'
R. Ciervo
/ I. Wade
83'
85'
S. Davi
/
S. Tronchin
85'
D. Crnigoj
/
S. Molina
90'+4
S. Davi
Pre-match prediction
40.64%
Cesena
29.84%
X ←
29.52%
Sudtirol
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
1.15
-0.23
1.17
1.17
+0.0
xG dominance was balanced (1.15 – 1.17).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
33
G
27
T. Corazza
D
26
D
19
D
15
A. Ciofi
D
10
S. Bastoni
63'
M
S. Bastoni
63'
M
25
D. Bisoli
M
9
C. Shpendi
63'
M
C. Shpendi
63'
M
14
T. Berti
71'
M
T. Berti
71'
M
11
R. Ciervo
83'
M
7
A. Cerri
71'
F
Bench
99
G. Frabotta
27'
D
4
M. Castagnetti
27'
M
24
M. Mangraviti
D
M. Mangraviti
D
32
M. Olivieri
19'
F
31
G
34
Frédéric Veseli
D
Frédéric Veseli
D
19
Nicola Pietrangeli
D
Nicola Pietrangeli
D
23
Federico Davi
1 ⚽
55'
D
Federico Davi
1 ⚽
55'
D
7
K. Zedadka
M
K. Zedadka
M
17
D. Casiraghi
1 👟
M
D. Casiraghi
1 👟
M
18
S. Tronchin
85'
M
S. Tronchin
85'
M
21
Fabien Tait
1 ⚽
63'
M
Fabien Tait
1 ⚽
63'
M
79
Salvatore Molina
85'
M
Salvatore Molina
85'
M
33
S. Merkaj
F
S. Merkaj
F
11
Riccardo Tonin
54'
F
Riccardo Tonin
54'
F
Bench
5
A. Masiello
D
89
Domen Črnigoj
10'
M
Domen Črnigoj
10'
M
94
Hamza El Kaouakibi
35'
D
Hamza El Kaouakibi
35'
D
6
Jacopo Martini
M
Jacopo Martini
M
26
Marco Romano Frigerio
27'
M
Marco Romano Frigerio
27'
M
90
Raphael Odogwu
36'
F
Raphael Odogwu
36'
F
24
Simone Davì
10'
D
Simone Davì
10'
D
Best on the pitch
D · Cesena
8.00
· 75 pass
D. Bisoli
M · Cesena
7.90
· 89 pass
G · Sudtirol
7.60
· 23 pass
D. Casiraghi
M · Sudtirol
7.30
1 👟
· 29 pass
Fabien Tait
M · Sudtirol
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
A. Cerri
F · Cesena
7.20
1 shots
· 22 pass
Cesena — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| T. Corazza | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 61 | 56% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 75 | 66% | 2 | — | — | |
| A. Ciofi | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 56% | — | — | — |
| S. Bastoni | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 56 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Bisoli | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 89 | 80% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Shpendi | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| T. Berti | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | — | — | — |
| R. Ciervo | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 43% | — | — | — |
| A. Cerri | F | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| G. Frabotta | D | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Castagnetti | M | 27 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | — | — | — |
| M. Olivieri | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Sudtirol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| Frédéric Veseli | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicola Pietrangeli | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Federico Davi | D | 55 | 5.90 | 1 | — | — | 13 | 10% | 3 | 1 | — |
| K. Zedadka | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D. Casiraghi | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| S. Tronchin | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabien Tait | M | 63 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Salvatore Molina | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Merkaj | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Tonin | F | 54 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Domen Črnigoj | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hamza El Kaouakibi | D | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Marco Romano Frigerio | M | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Raphael Odogwu | F | 36 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Simone Davì | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cesena vs Sudtirol?
The final score was Cesena 1–1 Sudtirol.
What did the model predict before Cesena vs Sudtirol?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Cesena win, 29% to a draw, and 29% to an Sudtirol win.