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Serie B · Regular Season - 33 April 06, 2026 12:30 Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
Cesena
#11 · 46 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Sudtirol
#1 · 1 pts
F. Davi 17' (og)
3' (ast. D. Casiraghi) F. Tait
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cesena a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Sudtirol 29%). The final result was Cesena 1–1 Sudtirol. In 1 previous meetings, Cesena have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sudtirol.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
1
1.15
Actual xG
1.17
0
Saves
3
71%
Possession
29%
4
Corners
6
10
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
3'
ast. D. Casiraghi · F. Tait⚽
6'
S. Molina
⚽F. Davi (og)
17'
43'
F. Davi
54'
R. Odogwu / R. Tonin ↕
55'
H. El Kaouakibi / F. Davi ↕
↕ C. Shpendi / G. Frabotta
63'
↕ S. Bastoni / M. Castagnetti
63'
63'
M. R. Frigerio / F. Tait ↕
↕ T. Berti / M. Olivieri
71'
↕ A. Cerri / G. Vrioni
71'
↕ R. Ciervo / I. Wade
83'
85'
S. Davi / S. Tronchin ↕
85'
D. Crnigoj / S. Molina ↕
90'+4
S. Davi
Pre-match prediction
40.64%
Cesena
29.84%
X ←
29.52%
Sudtirol
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.84% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cesena
1.38
1.15
-0.23
Sudtirol
1.17
1.17
+0.0
xG dominance was balanced (1.15 – 1.17). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
1 Sudtirol Sudtirol 1 1
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
2 Bari Bari 1 1
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Cesena Cesena 4-2-3-1
33
G 6.20
27
T. Corazza D 7.20
26
D 6.70
19
D 8.00
15
A. Ciofi D 6.90
10 S. Bastoni S. Bastoni 63' M 6.70
25
D. Bisoli M 7.90
9 C. Shpendi C. Shpendi 63' M 7.00
14 T. Berti T. Berti 71' M 7.20
11
R. Ciervo 83' M 7.00
7
A. Cerri 71' F 7.20
Bench
99
G. Frabotta 27' D 6.60
4
M. Castagnetti 27' M 7.00
24 M. Mangraviti M. Mangraviti D
32
M. Olivieri 19' F 6.50
Sudtirol Sudtirol 3-5-2
31
G 7.60
34 Frédéric Veseli Frédéric Veseli D 6.90
19 Nicola Pietrangeli Nicola Pietrangeli D 6.60
23 Federico Davi Federico Davi 1 ⚽ 55' D 5.90
7 K. Zedadka K. Zedadka M 6.50
17 D. Casiraghi D. Casiraghi 1 👟 M 7.30
18 S. Tronchin S. Tronchin 85' M 6.30
21 Fabien Tait Fabien Tait 1 ⚽ 63' M 7.30
79 Salvatore Molina Salvatore Molina 85' M 6.70
33 S. Merkaj S. Merkaj F 6.00
11 Riccardo Tonin Riccardo Tonin 54' F 5.90
Bench
5
A. Masiello D
89 Domen Črnigoj Domen Črnigoj 10' M 6.30
94 Hamza El Kaouakibi Hamza El Kaouakibi 35' D 6.60
6 Jacopo Martini Jacopo Martini M
26 Marco Romano Frigerio Marco Romano Frigerio 27' M 6.50
90 Raphael Odogwu Raphael Odogwu 36' F 6.00
24 Simone Davì Simone Davì 10' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
D · Cesena
8.00
· 75 pass
D. Bisoli
M · Cesena
7.90
· 89 pass
G · Sudtirol
7.60
· 23 pass
D. Casiraghi
D. Casiraghi
M · Sudtirol
7.30
1 👟
· 29 pass
Fabien Tait
Fabien Tait
M · Sudtirol
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
A. Cerri
F · Cesena
7.20
1 shots · 22 pass
Cesena Cesena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 28 20% — — —
T. Corazza D 90 7.20 — — 2 61 56% 4 — —
D 90 6.70 — — — 64 59% — — —
D 90 8.00 — — — 75 66% 2 — —
A. Ciofi D 90 6.90 — — — 65 56% — — —
S. Bastoni M 63 6.70 — — — 56 46% 1 — —
D. Bisoli M 90 7.90 — — — 89 80% 3 — —
C. Shpendi M 63 7.00 — — — 21 19% — — —
T. Berti M 71 7.20 — — 1 44 37% — — —
R. Ciervo M 83 7.00 — — 1 48 43% — — —
A. Cerri F 71 7.20 — — 1 22 17% — — —
G. Frabotta D 27 6.60 — — — 9 6% — — —
M. Castagnetti M 27 7.00 — — — 36 34% — — —
M. Olivieri F 19 6.50 — — 2 7 5% — — —
Sudtirol Sudtirol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.60 — — — 23 9% — — —
Frédéric Veseli D 90 6.90 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
Nicola Pietrangeli D 90 6.60 — — — 19 11% 2 — —
Federico Davi D 55 5.90 1 — — 13 10% 3 1 —
K. Zedadka M 90 6.50 — — — 25 16% — — —
D. Casiraghi M 90 7.30 — 1 — 29 22% — — —
S. Tronchin M 85 6.30 — — — 36 25% 1 — —
Fabien Tait M 63 7.30 1 — 1 19 11% 1 — —
Salvatore Molina M 85 6.70 — — 1 30 13% 1 1 —
S. Merkaj F 90 6.00 — — 1 10 6% — — —
Riccardo Tonin F 54 5.90 — — 1 8 5% — — —
Domen Črnigoj M 10 6.30 — — 1 — — — — —
Hamza El Kaouakibi D 35 6.60 — — — 15 14% — — —
Marco Romano Frigerio M 27 6.50 — — 1 4 3% — — —
Raphael Odogwu F 36 6.00 — — — 1 1% — — —
Simone Davì D 10 6.60 — — — 1 1% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cesena vs Sudtirol?
The final score was Cesena 1–1 Sudtirol.
What did the model predict before Cesena vs Sudtirol?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Cesena win, 29% to a draw, and 29% to an Sudtirol win.