CF Montreal 0–3 Atlanta United FC — pre-match prediction — MLS — October 15, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 29 October 15, 2026 01:30 Saputo Stadium, Montreal

CF Montreal

#15 · 25 pts

0 – 3

Final score

Atlanta United FC

#14 · 30 pts

22' (ast. Elías Báez) Miguel Almirón

41' Giuliano Galoppo

60' Breel Embolo

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlanta United FC a 43% win probability (draw 24%, CF Montreal 32%). The final result was CF Montreal 0–3 Atlanta United FC. In 1 previous meetings, CF Montreal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atlanta United FC.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.67

Actual xG

2.14

Saves

52%

Possession

48%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

22'

ast. Elías Báez · Miguel Almirón⚽

41'

Giuliano Galoppo⚽

↕ Dawid Bugaj / Efrain Morales

45'

58'

Lucas Hoyos

60'

Breel Embolo⚽

65'

Steven Alzate / Ajani Fortune ↕

↕ Daniel Pereira / Victor Loturi

67'

↕ Matthew Longstaff / Fabian Herbers

67'

↕ Wikelman·Carmona / Gennadiy Synchuk

67'

74'

Sergi Santos / Breel Embolo ↕

75'

Cooper Sanchez / Giuliano Galoppo ↕

↕ Alexis Sanchez / Olger Escobar

81'

83'

Fafà Picault / Miguel Almirón ↕

83'

Tristan Muyumba / Mauricio Amaro ↕

Olger Escobar

83'

90'+1

Fafà Picault

Pre-match prediction

32.29%

24.7%

43.01%

Atlanta ←

we assigned to the actual result (Atlanta United FC) 43.01% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

1.12

0.67

-0.45

Atlanta

1.50

2.14

+0.64

Atlanta United FC dominated by xG (2.14 vs 0.67). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	31	70
2	New England Revolution	31	55
3	Inter Miami	31	55
4	Chicago Fire	31	51
5	Charlotte	31	47
6	Philadelphia Union	31	46
7	Orlando City SC	31	42
8	FC Cincinnati	31	42
9	New York Red Bulls	31	39
10	Columbus Crew	31	38
11	Toronto FC	31	36
12	New York City FC	31	35
13	DC United	31	33
14	Atlanta United FC	31	30
15	CF Montreal	31	25

Lineups

CF Montreal 4-2-3-1

S. Breza G 5.88

L. Petrasso D 6.24

B. Craig D 6.11

J. Neal D 6.28

D. Bugaj 45' D 5.94

D. Pereira 67' M 6.40

M. Longstaff 67' M 6.01

N. Streit M 5.71

A. Sánchez 81' M 6.49

W. Carmona 67' M 6.00

D. Ríos F 6.38

Bench

E. Morales 45' D 6.20

F. Amaya M 0.00

F. Herbers 23' F 6.50

H. Synchuk 23' M 6.67

I. Losenko M 0.00

O. Escobar 9' F 6.35

S. Keita G 0.00

S. Piette M 0.00

V. Loturi 23' M 5.81

Atlanta United FC 4-1-4-1

L. Hoyos G 6.37

E. Báez 1 👟 D 7.15

J. Alonso D 7.73

P. Díaz D 7.97

Matthew Edwards D 7.54

M. Amaro 83' M 6.76

M. Almirón 1 ⚽ 83' M 8.20

G. Galoppo 1 ⚽ 75' M 8.20

A. Fortune 65' M 7.20

A. Miranchuk M 6.86

B. Embolo 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.98

Bench

Adrian Gill M 0.00

C. Sanchez 15' M 6.86

C. Togashi F 0.00

E. Mihaj D 0.00

F. Picault 7' F 6.33

Jayden Hibbert G 0.00

S. Alzate 25' M 7.10

Sergio Santos 16' F 6.60

T. Muyumba 7' M 6.85

Best on the pitch

G. Galoppo

M · Atlanta

8.20

1 ⚽

4 shots · 31 pass

M. Almirón

M · Atlanta

8.20

1 ⚽

3 shots · 33 pass

B. Embolo

F · Atlanta

7.98

1 ⚽

3 shots · 26 pass

P. Díaz

D · Atlanta

7.97

2 shots · 44 pass

J. Alonso

D · Atlanta

7.73

· 61 pass

Matthew Edwards

D · Atlanta

7.54

· 48 pass

CF Montreal — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Breza	G	90	5.88	—	—	0	37	28%	0	—	—
L. Petrasso	D	90	6.24	—	—	0	46	43%	3	—	—
B. Craig	D	90	6.11	—	—	1	64	56%	4	—	—
J. Neal	D	90	6.28	—	—	0	49	45%	2	—	—
D. Bugaj	D	45	5.94	—	—	0	13	8%	0	—	—
D. Pereira	M	67	6.40	—	—	1	53	48%	0	—	—
M. Longstaff	M	67	6.01	—	—	0	58	49%	2	—	—
N. Streit	M	90	5.71	—	—	1	30	26%	2	—	—
A. Sánchez	M	81	6.49	—	—	1	47	40%	1	—	—
W. Carmona	M	67	6.00	—	—	0	20	13%	2	—	—
D. Ríos	F	90	6.38	—	—	1	25	20%	1	—	—
E. Morales	D	45	6.20	—	—	0	27	24%	0	—	—
F. Herbers	F	23	6.50	—	—	0	9	8%	1	—	—
H. Synchuk	M	23	6.67	—	—	3	7	5%	0	—	—
O. Escobar	F	9	6.35	—	—	1	3	2%	1	1	—
V. Loturi	M	23	5.81	—	—	0	13	8%	0	—	—

Atlanta United FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
L. Hoyos	G	90	6.37	—	—	0	28	18%	0	1	—
E. Báez	D	90	7.15	—	1	1	47	39%	0	—	—
J. Alonso	D	90	7.73	—	—	0	61	52%	5	—	—
P. Díaz	D	90	7.97	—	—	2	44	38%	1	—	—
Matthew Edwards	D	90	7.54	—	—	0	48	40%	5	—	—
M. Amaro	M	83	6.76	—	—	1	48	43%	1	—	—
M. Almirón	M	83	8.20	1	—	3	33	27%	0	—	—
G. Galoppo	M	75	8.20	1	—	4	31	28%	0	—	—
A. Fortune	M	65	7.20	—	—	0	32	27%	2	—	—
A. Miranchuk	M	90	6.86	—	—	2	38	32%	1	—	—
B. Embolo	F	74	7.98	1	—	3	26	20%	0	—	—
C. Sanchez	M	15	6.86	—	—	0	12	10%	1	—	—
F. Picault	F	7	6.33	—	—	0	2	2%	0	1	—
S. Alzate	M	25	7.10	—	—	2	12	11%	2	—	—
Sergio Santos	F	16	6.60	—	—	0	4	4%	0	—	—
T. Muyumba	M	7	6.85	—	—	0	6	6%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC?

The final score was CF Montreal 0–3 Atlanta United FC.

What did the model predict before CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC?

The model assigned 32% probability to a CF Montreal win, 24% to a draw, and 43% to an Atlanta United FC win.