CF Montreal - Charlotte
MLS
September 10, 2026 01:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.86%
Win
CF Montreal
24.04%
Draw
43.11%
Win
Charlotte
1.21
1.53
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.36%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
24%
2
43%
Double Chance
1X
57%
X2
67%
12
76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
✓ 72.4% hit rate (76 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Charlotte a 43% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 32% for CF Montreal. Expected goals are 1.2 for CF Montreal and 1.5 for Charlotte (total 2.7), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.36% probability.
Season Stats
3W
6D
6L
6W
4D
5L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.7
1.9
Conceded
1.5
5.2
Shots OT
4.7
5.6
Corners
4.9
48%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
73%
47%
O 2.5
60%
53%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in MLS. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
3W
5D
2L
· at home
3W
2D
5L
· away
1.4
gls/g
1.4
1.1
Conceded
1.9
30%
Win %
30%
80%
Win or Draw
50%
70%
O 1.5
90%
40%
O 2.5
60%
40%
O 3.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
30%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ CF Montreal
Charlotte →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
CF Montreal
Attack
38
Defence
52
Form
37
Charlotte
Attack
47
Defence
59
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
23 | 53 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
23 | 43 |
| 3 |
Chicago Fire
|
22 | 38 |
| 4 |
New England Revolution
|
23 | 37 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
23 | 36 |
| 6 |
FC Cincinnati
|
22 | 31 |
| 7 |
New York City FC
|
23 | 29 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
23 | 28 |
| 9 |
Philadelphia Union
|
23 | 27 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
23 | 27 |
| 11 |
Toronto FC
|
23 | 26 |
| 12 |
DC United
|
22 | 25 |
| 13 |
Columbus Crew
|
23 | 23 |
| 14 |
Atlanta United FC
|
23 | 22 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
23 | 21 |
What's at stake · Eastern Conference
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #15 | #5 |
| → CF Montreal | #13 | #5 |
| → Draw | #15 | #5 |
| → Charlotte | #15 | #3 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win CF Montreal vs Charlotte?
The model gives CF Montreal a 32% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 43% for an Charlotte win.
How many goals are expected in CF Montreal vs Charlotte?
Expected goals: CF Montreal 1.2, Charlotte 1.5 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in CF Montreal vs Charlotte?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.36%.