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CF Montreal - Chicago Fire

MLS May 16, 2026 22:30
CF Montreal
#11 · 13 pts
vs
Chicago Fire
#4 · 20 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.49%
Win
CF Montreal
25.57%
Draw
32.94%
Win
Chicago Fire
1.84
Expected xG
1.54

The ForzaPitch prediction gives CF Montreal a 41% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Chicago Fire. Expected goals are 1.8 for CF Montreal and 1.5 for Chicago Fire (total 3.4), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, CF Montreal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chicago Fire.

Score Matrix
↕ CF Montreal Chicago Fire →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4% 5.3% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 6.3% 9.7% 7.4% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.9% 6.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.5% 5.4% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.6% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% —
Recent form
CF Montreal CF Montreal
D Portland Timbers 2–2
W Orlando City SC 2–0
L Atlanta United FC 3–1
W New York City FC 1–0
W New York Red Bulls 4–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 33%
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
W DC United 1–3
L New York Red Bulls 1–3
L FC Cincinnati 2–3
W Sporting Kansas City 5–0
D FC Cincinnati 3–3
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 22%
Playing profile
CF Montreal CF Montreal
Attack
48
Defence
62
Form
52
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Attack
58
Defence
60
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
CF Montreal
0
Draw
1
Chicago Fire
L 28 Feb 2026 MLS 0–3
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire?
The model gives CF Montreal a 41% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 32% for an Chicago Fire win.
How many goals are expected in CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire?
Expected goals: CF Montreal 1.8, Chicago Fire 1.5 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.7%.