MLS
· Regular Season - 14
May 16, 2026 22:30
14'
P. Zinckernagel
67'
(ast. P. Zinckernagel)
H. Cuypers
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Montreal a 40% win probability (draw 25%, Chicago Fire 34%). The final result was CF Montreal 0–2 Chicago Fire. In 1 previous meetings, CF Montreal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chicago Fire.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
0.89
Actual xG
1.07
2
Saves
5
59%
Possession
41%
16
Corners
3
15
Tackles
18
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
V. Radojevic
14'
P. Zinckernagel⚽
S. Piette
36'
V. Loturi
/ N. Streit
46'
S. Piette
/ B. Craig
46'
57'
M. Mbokazi
61'
A. Gutman
/
V. Radojevic
B. Craig
62'
67'
ast. P. Zinckernagel ·
H. Cuypers⚽
68'
P. Dithejane
/
M. Haile-Selassie
68'
C. Mueller
/
P. Zinckernagel
P. Owusu
71'
W. Carmona
/ D. Rios
73'
B. Vera
82'
L. Petrasso
/ G. Synchuk
85'
89'
P. Dithejane
Pre-match prediction
40.37%
CF
25.48%
X
34.15%
Chicago ←
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire)
34.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.84
0.89
-0.95
1.54
1.07
-0.47
xG dominance was balanced (0.89 – 1.07).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
T. Gillier
G
T. Gillier
G
13
L. Petrasso
85'
D
L. Petrasso
85'
D
4
B. Vera
D
B. Vera
D
2
J. Neal
D
J. Neal
D
27
D. Bugaj
D
D. Bugaj
D
8
M. Longstaff
M
M. Longstaff
M
6
S. Piette
45'
M
S. Piette
45'
M
22
V. Loturi
45'
M
V. Loturi
45'
M
10
Iván Jaime
F
Iván Jaime
F
9
P. Owusu
F
P. Owusu
F
16
W. Carmona
73'
F
W. Carmona
73'
F
Bench
5
B. Craig
50'
D
B. Craig
50'
D
14
D. Ríos
22'
F
D. Ríos
22'
F
17
D. Þórhallsson
M
D. Þórhallsson
M
24
E. Morales
D
E. Morales
D
25
Frankie Amaya
M
Frankie Amaya
M
18
H. Synchuk
10'
M
H. Synchuk
10'
M
23
N. Streit
50'
M
N. Streit
50'
M
29
O. Escobar
F
O. Escobar
F
1
S. Breza
G
S. Breza
G
1
C. Brady
G
C. Brady
G
14
Viktor Radojević
61'
D
Viktor Radojević
61'
D
4
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
3
J. Elliott
D
J. Elliott
D
24
J. Dean
D
J. Dean
D
16
J. Waterman
M
J. Waterman
M
22
M. Pineda
M
M. Pineda
M
7
M. Haile-Selassie
68'
M
M. Haile-Selassie
68'
M
17
R. Lod
M
R. Lod
M
11
P. Zinckernagel
1 ⚽
1 👟
68'
M
P. Zinckernagel
1 ⚽
1 👟
68'
M
9
H. Cuypers
1 ⚽
F
H. Cuypers
1 ⚽
F
Bench
15
A. Gutman
34'
D
A. Gutman
34'
D
8
Chris Mueller
27'
F
Chris Mueller
27'
F
29
D. Poręba
M
D. Poręba
M
27
Dylan Borso
F
Dylan Borso
F
30
Jack Sandmeyer
D
Jack Sandmeyer
D
20
Jason Shokalook
F
Jason Shokalook
F
44
J. Cohen
G
J. Cohen
G
12
P. Dithejane
27'
F
P. Dithejane
27'
F
5
S. Rogers
D
S. Rogers
D
Best on the pitch
P. Zinckernagel
M · Chicago
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 15 pass
C. Brady
G · Chicago
8.30
· 32 pass
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D · Chicago
7.90
· 34 pass
H. Cuypers
F · Chicago
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 23 pass
L. Petrasso
D · CF
7.50
· 43 pass
J. Dean
D · Chicago
7.50
· 29 pass
CF Montreal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Gillier | G | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| L. Petrasso | D | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Vera | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 65% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Neal | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Bugaj | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Longstaff | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | — | — | — |
| S. Piette | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 6 | 1 | — |
| V. Loturi | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Iván Jaime | F | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Owusu | F | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| W. Carmona | F | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Craig | D | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Ríos | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| H. Synchuk | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| N. Streit | M | 50 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brady | G | 95 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Viktor Radojević | D | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Mbekezeli Mbokazi | D | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 6 | 1 | — |
| J. Elliott | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| J. Dean | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Waterman | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Pineda | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Haile-Selassie | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| R. Lod | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Zinckernagel | M | 68 | 8.70 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Cuypers | F | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gutman | D | 34 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Chris Mueller | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| P. Dithejane | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire?
The final score was CF Montreal 0–2 Chicago Fire.
What did the model predict before CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire?
The model assigned 40% probability to a CF Montreal win, 25% to a draw, and 34% to an Chicago Fire win.