MLS
· Regular Season - 15
May 16, 2026 22:30
14'
P. Zinckernagel
67'
(ast. P. Zinckernagel)
H. Cuypers
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Montreal a 40% win probability (draw 25%, Chicago Fire 34%). The final result was CF Montreal 0–2 Chicago Fire. In 1 previous meetings, CF Montreal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chicago Fire.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
0.89
Actual xG
1.07
2
Saves
5
59%
Possession
41%
16
Corners
3
15
Tackles
18
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
V. Radojevic
14'
P. Zinckernagel⚽
S. Piette
36'
V. Loturi
/ N. Streit
46'
S. Piette
/ B. Craig
46'
57'
M. Mbokazi
61'
A. Gutman
/
V. Radojevic
B. Craig
62'
67'
ast. P. Zinckernagel ·
H. Cuypers⚽
68'
P. Dithejane
/
M. Haile-Selassie
68'
C. Mueller
/
P. Zinckernagel
P. Owusu
71'
W. Carmona
/ D. Rios
73'
B. Vera
82'
L. Petrasso
/ G. Synchuk
85'
89'
P. Dithejane
Pre-match prediction
40.37%
CF
25.48%
X
34.15%
Chicago ←
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire)
34.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.84
0.89
-0.95
1.54
1.07
-0.47
xG dominance was balanced (0.89 – 1.07).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Thomas Gillier
G
Thomas Gillier
G
13
Luca Petrasso
85'
D
Luca Petrasso
85'
D
4
B. Vera
D
B. Vera
D
2
Jalen Neal
D
Jalen Neal
D
27
Dawid Bugaj
D
Dawid Bugaj
D
8
Matthew Longstaff
M
Matthew Longstaff
M
6
Samuel Piette
45'
M
Samuel Piette
45'
M
22
Victor Loturi
45'
M
Victor Loturi
45'
M
10
Iván Jaime
F
Iván Jaime
F
9
P. Owusu
F
P. Owusu
F
16
Wikelman Carmona
73'
F
Wikelman Carmona
73'
F
Bench
5
B. Craig
50'
D
17
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
M
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
M
14
Daniel Rios
22'
F
Daniel Rios
22'
F
24
Efraín Morales
D
Efraín Morales
D
25
Frankie Amaya
M
Frankie Amaya
M
18
Hennadii Synchuk
10'
M
Hennadii Synchuk
10'
M
23
Noah Streit
50'
M
Noah Streit
50'
M
29
Olger Escobar
F
Olger Escobar
F
1
Sebastian Breza
G
Sebastian Breza
G
1
C. Brady
G
C. Brady
G
14
Viktor Radojević
61'
D
Viktor Radojević
61'
D
4
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
3
Jack Elliott
D
Jack Elliott
D
24
J. Dean
D
J. Dean
D
16
Joel Waterman
M
Joel Waterman
M
22
Mauricio Pineda
M
Mauricio Pineda
M
7
Maren Haile-Selassie
68'
M
Maren Haile-Selassie
68'
M
17
Robin Lod
M
Robin Lod
M
11
P. Zinckernagel
1 ⚽
1 👟
68'
M
P. Zinckernagel
1 ⚽
1 👟
68'
M
9
H. Cuypers
1 ⚽
F
H. Cuypers
1 ⚽
F
Bench
15
Andrew Gutman
34'
D
Andrew Gutman
34'
D
8
Chris Mueller
27'
F
Chris Mueller
27'
F
29
David Poreba
M
David Poreba
M
27
Dylan Borso
F
Dylan Borso
F
30
Jack Sandmeyer
D
Jack Sandmeyer
D
20
Jason Shokalook
F
Jason Shokalook
F
44
Josh Cohen
G
Josh Cohen
G
12
P. Dithejane
27'
F
P. Dithejane
27'
F
5
Samuel Rogers
D
Samuel Rogers
D
Best on the pitch
P. Zinckernagel
M · Chicago
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 15 pass
C. Brady
G · Chicago
8.30
· 32 pass
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D · Chicago
7.90
· 34 pass
H. Cuypers
F · Chicago
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 23 pass
Luca Petrasso
D · CF
7.50
· 43 pass
J. Dean
D · Chicago
7.50
· 29 pass
CF Montreal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gillier | G | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Luca Petrasso | D | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Vera | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 65% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jalen Neal | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Dawid Bugaj | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Matthew Longstaff | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Piette | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Victor Loturi | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Iván Jaime | F | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Owusu | F | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Wikelman Carmona | F | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Craig | D | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Daniel Rios | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Hennadii Synchuk | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Streit | M | 50 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brady | G | 95 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Viktor Radojević | D | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Mbekezeli Mbokazi | D | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Jack Elliott | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| J. Dean | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 5 | — | — |
| Joel Waterman | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Mauricio Pineda | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Robin Lod | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Zinckernagel | M | 68 | 8.70 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Cuypers | F | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Andrew Gutman | D | 34 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Chris Mueller | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| P. Dithejane | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire?
The final score was CF Montreal 0–2 Chicago Fire.
What did the model predict before CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire?
The model assigned 40% probability to a CF Montreal win, 25% to a draw, and 34% to an Chicago Fire win.