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MLS · Regular Season - 19 August 16, 2026 01:30
#15 · 21 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#12 · 25 pts
P. Owusu 50' (pen.)
66' (ast. K. Nono) T. Baribo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Montreal a 44% win probability (draw 25%, DC United 30%). The final result was CF Montreal 1–1 DC United. In 1 previous meetings, CF Montreal have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for DC United.

Match statistics
7
Shots on target
2
1.88
Actual xG
0.56
67%
Possession
33%
5
Corners
3
Match Events
19'
J. Hopkins
49'
K. Kurokawa
P. Owusu (pen.)
50'
B. Ceballos / D. Bugaj
62'
F. Herbers / M. Longstaff
62'
62'
J. Stroud / J. Hopkins
L. Petrasso
63'
66'
ast. K. Nono · T. Baribo
N. Streit / D. Rios
77'
80'
H. Kijima / K. Nono
88'
N. Markovic / B. Servania
88'
N. Ordaz / L. Munteanu
V. Loturi / O. Escobar
90'
Pre-match prediction
44.06%
CF
25.07%
X ←
30.88%
DC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.07% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
CF
1.45
1.88
+0.43
DC
1.18
0.56
-0.63
CF Montreal dominated by xG (1.88 vs 0.56). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 23 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 23 43
3 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 22 38
4 New England Revolution New England Revolution 23 37
5 Charlotte Charlotte 23 36
6 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 22 31
7 New York City FC New York City FC 23 29
8 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 23 28
9 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 23 27
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 23 27
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 23 26
12 DC United DC United 22 25
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 23 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 23 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 23 21
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs DC United?
The final score was CF Montreal 1–1 DC United.
What did the model predict before CF Montreal vs DC United?
The model assigned 44% probability to a CF Montreal win, 25% to a draw, and 30% to an DC United win.