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MLS · Regular Season - 19 August 16, 2026 01:30
#15 · 25 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#13 · 33 pts
P. Owusu 50' (pen.)
66' (ast. K. Nono) T. Baribo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Montreal a 44% win probability (draw 25%, DC United 30%). The final result was CF Montreal 1–1 DC United. In 1 previous meetings, CF Montreal have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for DC United.

Match statistics
7
Shots on target
2
1.88
Actual xG
0.56
67%
Possession
33%
5
Corners
3
Match Events
19'
J. Hopkins
49'
K. Kurokawa
⚽P. Owusu (pen.)
50'
↕ B. Ceballos / D. Bugaj
62'
↕ F. Herbers / M. Longstaff
62'
62'
J. Stroud / J. Hopkins ↕
L. Petrasso
63'
66'
ast. K. Nono · T. Baribo⚽
↕ N. Streit / D. Rios
77'
80'
H. Kijima / K. Nono ↕
88'
N. Markovic / B. Servania ↕
88'
N. Ordaz / L. Munteanu ↕
↕ V. Loturi / O. Escobar
90'
Pre-match prediction
44.06%
CF
25.07%
X ←
30.88%
DC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.07% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
CF
1.45
1.88
+0.43
DC
1.18
0.56
-0.63
CF Montreal dominated by xG (1.88 vs 0.56). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 30 67
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 30 55
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 30 52
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 30 48
5 Charlotte Charlotte 30 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 30 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 30 41
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 30 39
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 30 36
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 30 36
11 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 30 35
12 New York City FC New York City FC 30 34
13 DC United DC United 30 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 30 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 30 25
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs DC United?
The final score was CF Montreal 1–1 DC United.
What did the model predict before CF Montreal vs DC United?
The model assigned 44% probability to a CF Montreal win, 25% to a draw, and 30% to an DC United win.