MLS
· Regular Season - 19
August 16, 2026 01:30
P. Owusu
50'
(pen.)
66'
(ast. K. Nono)
T. Baribo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Montreal a 44% win probability (draw 25%, DC United 30%). The final result was CF Montreal 1–1 DC United. In 1 previous meetings, CF Montreal have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for DC United.
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
2
1.88
Actual xG
0.56
67%
Possession
33%
5
Corners
3
Match Events
19'
J. Hopkins
49'
K. Kurokawa
⚽P. Owusu
(pen.)
50'
B. Ceballos
/ D. Bugaj
62'
F. Herbers
/ M. Longstaff
62'
62'
J. Stroud
/
J. Hopkins
L. Petrasso
63'
66'
ast. K. Nono ·
T. Baribo⚽
N. Streit
/ D. Rios
77'
80'
H. Kijima
/
K. Nono
88'
N. Markovic
/
B. Servania
88'
N. Ordaz
/
L. Munteanu
V. Loturi
/ O. Escobar
90'
Pre-match prediction
44.06%
CF
25.07%
X ←
30.88%
DC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.45
1.88
+0.43
1.18
0.56
-0.63
CF Montreal dominated by xG (1.88 vs 0.56).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs DC United?
The final score was CF Montreal 1–1 DC United.
What did the model predict before CF Montreal vs DC United?
The model assigned 44% probability to a CF Montreal win, 25% to a draw, and 30% to an DC United win.