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MLS · Regular Season - 17 July 26, 2026 01:30
CF Montreal
#15 · 21 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Inter Miami
#2 · 44 pts
(pen.) 81' L. Suarez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 42% win probability (draw 22%, CF Montreal 35%). The final result was CF Montreal 0–1 Inter Miami. In 1 previous meetings, CF Montreal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Inter Miami.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
2
2.04
Actual xG
1.72
1
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
6
12
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
23'
I. Fray
59'
N. Allen / S. Reguilon ↕
↕ S. Piette / D. Pereira
61'
↕ D. Rios / N. Streit
62'
↕ M. Longstaff / F. Herbers
80'
80'
P. Plambeck / G. Berterame ↕
81'
(pen.) L. Suarez⚽
84'
T. Segovia
↕ V. Loturi / O. Escobar
90'+6
90'+8
D. Ruiz / Y. Bright ↕
↕ E. Morales / B. Craig
90'+11
Pre-match prediction
35.44%
CF
22.36%
X
42.21%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 42.21% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
CF
1.64
2.04
+0.4
Inter
1.90
1.72
-0.18
CF Montreal dominated by xG (2.04 vs 1.72). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 24 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 44
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
5 Charlotte Charlotte 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 24 31
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 23 31
8 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
9 New York City FC New York City FC 24 29
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 24 29
11 DC United DC United 23 28
12 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 24 27
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 24 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 21
Lineups
CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-3-3
1 S. Breza S. Breza G 6.60
13 L. Petrasso L. Petrasso D 7.30
4 B. Vera B. Vera D 6.90
24 E. Morales E. Morales D 6.90
27 D. Bugaj D. Bugaj D 6.30
22 V. Loturi V. Loturi M 6.60
6 S. Piette S. Piette 61' M 6.90
8 M. Longstaff M. Longstaff 80' M 6.70
14 D. Ríos D. Ríos 62' F 6.00
9 P. Owusu P. Owusu F 7.20
18 H. Synchuk H. Synchuk F 7.00
Bench
5 B. Craig B. Craig D
7 Daniel Pereira Daniel Pereira 38' M 6.90
21 F. Herbers F. Herbers 19' F 6.30
26 Ivan Losenko Ivan Losenko M
2 J. Neal J. Neal D
23 N. Streit N. Streit 37' M 6.50
29 O. Escobar O. Escobar 3' F
41 Samsy Keita Samsy Keita G
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-4-2
34 R. Ríos Novo R. Ríos Novo G 8.60
3 Sergio Reguilón Sergio Reguilón 59' D 6.90
16 Micael Micael D 7.50
17 I. Fray I. Fray D 6.90
4 F. Mura F. Mura D 6.30
24 Mateo Silvetti Mateo Silvetti M 6.20
8 T. Segovia T. Segovia M 7.30
5 Casemiro Casemiro M 7.20
42 Y. Bright Y. Bright M 6.90
9 L. Suárez L. Suárez 1 ⚽ F 7.30
19 G. Berterame G. Berterame 80' F 6.60
Bench
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter F
52
Diego Rey F
41 D. Ruíz D. Ruíz 1' M
97 D. St. Clair D. St. Clair G
70 D. Sumalla D. Sumalla D
76 Ezequiel Abadia-Reda Ezequiel Abadia-Reda D
55
Ian Urkidi M
32 N. Allen N. Allen 40' D 6.60
59 P. Plambeck P. Plambeck 19' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
R. Ríos Novo
R. Ríos Novo
G · Inter
8.60
· 32 pass
Micael
Micael
D · Inter
7.50
· 57 pass
T. Segovia
T. Segovia
M · Inter
7.30
3 shots · 63 pass
L. Petrasso
L. Petrasso
D · CF
7.30
· 50 pass
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Inter
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 45 pass
Casemiro
Casemiro
M · Inter
7.20
2 shots · 64 pass
CF Montreal CF Montreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Breza G 99 6.60 — — — 26 22% — — —
L. Petrasso D 99 7.30 — — — 50 42% 1 — —
B. Vera D 99 6.90 — — — 43 34% — — —
E. Morales D 99 6.90 — — 1 47 40% 3 — —
D. Bugaj D 99 6.30 — — — 19 16% 2 — —
V. Loturi M 96 6.60 — — — 51 43% 1 — —
S. Piette M 61 6.90 — — — 28 26% 1 — —
M. Longstaff M 80 6.70 — — 1 33 28% — — —
D. Ríos F 62 6.00 — — 1 13 10% — — —
P. Owusu F 99 7.20 — — 1 21 14% 1 — —
H. Synchuk F 99 7.00 — — 4 18 15% 2 — —
Daniel Pereira M 38 6.90 — — — 18 17% — — —
F. Herbers F 19 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
N. Streit M 37 6.50 — — — 8 7% — — —
O. Escobar F 3 — — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Ríos Novo G 99 8.60 — — — 32 23% 1 — —
Sergio Reguilón D 59 6.90 — — — 42 38% 1 — —
Micael D 99 7.50 — — — 57 56% 3 — —
I. Fray D 99 6.90 — — — 55 48% 2 1 —
F. Mura D 99 6.30 — — — 53 48% 1 — —
Mateo Silvetti M 99 6.20 — — 1 28 24% — — —
T. Segovia M 99 7.30 — — 3 63 59% 1 1 —
Casemiro M 99 7.20 — — 2 64 57% 1 — —
Y. Bright M 98 6.90 — — 1 52 44% 2 — —
L. Suárez F 99 7.30 1 — 2 45 35% 2 — —
G. Berterame F 80 6.60 — — 2 16 13% — — —
D. Ruíz M 1 — — — — 2 — — — —
N. Allen D 40 6.60 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
P. Plambeck M 19 6.30 — — — 7 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Inter Miami?
The final score was CF Montreal 0–1 Inter Miami.
What did the model predict before CF Montreal vs Inter Miami?
The model assigned 35% probability to a CF Montreal win, 22% to a draw, and 42% to an Inter Miami win.