MLS
· Regular Season - 17
July 26, 2026 01:30
(pen.)
81'
L. Suarez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 42% win probability (draw 22%, CF Montreal 35%). The final result was CF Montreal 0–1 Inter Miami.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
2
2.04
Actual xG
1.72
1
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
6
12
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
23'
I. Fray
59'
N. Allen
/
S. Reguilon
S. Piette
/ D. Pereira
61'
D. Rios
/ N. Streit
62'
M. Longstaff
/ F. Herbers
80'
80'
P. Plambeck
/
G. Berterame
81'
(pen.)
L. Suarez⚽
84'
T. Segovia
V. Loturi
/ O. Escobar
90'+6
90'+8
D. Ruiz
/
Y. Bright
E. Morales
/ B. Craig
90'+11
Pre-match prediction
35.44%
CF
22.36%
X
42.21%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami)
42.21%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
2.04
+0.4
1.90
1.72
-0.18
CF Montreal dominated by xG (2.04 vs 1.72).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Sebastian Breza
G
Sebastian Breza
G
13
Luca Petrasso
D
Luca Petrasso
D
4
B. Vera
D
B. Vera
D
24
Efraín Morales
D
Efraín Morales
D
27
Dawid Bugaj
D
Dawid Bugaj
D
22
Victor Loturi
M
Victor Loturi
M
6
Samuel Piette
61'
M
Samuel Piette
61'
M
8
Matthew Longstaff
80'
M
Matthew Longstaff
80'
M
14
Daniel Rios
62'
F
Daniel Rios
62'
F
9
P. Owusu
F
P. Owusu
F
18
Hennadii Synchuk
F
Hennadii Synchuk
F
Bench
5
Brandan Craig
D
Brandan Craig
D
7
Daniel Pereira
38'
M
Daniel Pereira
38'
M
21
Fabian Herbers
19'
F
Fabian Herbers
19'
F
26
Ivan Losenko
M
Ivan Losenko
M
2
Jalen Neal
D
Jalen Neal
D
23
Noah Streit
37'
M
Noah Streit
37'
M
29
Olger Escobar
3'
F
Olger Escobar
3'
F
41
Samsy Keita
G
Samsy Keita
G
34
Rocco Ríos Novo
G
Rocco Ríos Novo
G
3
Sergio Reguilón
59'
D
Sergio Reguilón
59'
D
16
Micael
D
Micael
D
17
Ian Fray
D
Ian Fray
D
4
Facundo Mura
D
Facundo Mura
D
24
Mateo Silvetti
M
Mateo Silvetti
M
8
T. Segovia
M
T. Segovia
M
5
Casemiro
M
Casemiro
M
42
Y. Bright
M
Y. Bright
M
9
L. Suárez
1 ⚽
F
L. Suárez
1 ⚽
F
19
G. Berterame
80'
F
G. Berterame
80'
F
Bench
56
Daniel Pinter
F
Daniel Pinter
F
70
Daniel Sumalla
D
Daniel Sumalla
D
41
David Ruíz
1'
M
David Ruíz
1'
M
97
Dayne St. Clair
G
Dayne St. Clair
G
52
Diego Rey
F
Diego Rey
F
76
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda
D
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda
D
55
Ian Urkidi
M
Ian Urkidi
M
32
Noah Allen
40'
D
Noah Allen
40'
D
59
Preston Plambeck
19'
M
Preston Plambeck
19'
M
Best on the pitch
Rocco Ríos Novo
G · Inter
8.60
· 32 pass
Micael
D · Inter
7.50
· 57 pass
T. Segovia
M · Inter
7.30
3 shots
· 63 pass
Luca Petrasso
D · CF
7.30
· 50 pass
L. Suárez
F · Inter
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 45 pass
Casemiro
M · Inter
7.20
2 shots
· 64 pass
CF Montreal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Breza | G | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Luca Petrasso | D | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Vera | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Efraín Morales | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Dawid Bugaj | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Victor Loturi | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Piette | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Matthew Longstaff | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Rios | F | 62 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| P. Owusu | F | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Hennadii Synchuk | F | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Pereira | M | 38 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Fabian Herbers | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Noah Streit | M | 37 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Olger Escobar | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Inter Miami — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocco Ríos Novo | G | 99 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Reguilón | D | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Micael | D | 99 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 57 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| Ian Fray | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Facundo Mura | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Silvetti | M | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| T. Segovia | M | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 63 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Casemiro | M | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 64 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Bright | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Suárez | F | 99 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 45 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Berterame | F | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| David Ruíz | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Allen | D | 40 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Preston Plambeck | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Inter Miami?
The final score was CF Montreal 0–1 Inter Miami.
What did the model predict before CF Montreal vs Inter Miami?
The model assigned 35% probability to a CF Montreal win, 22% to a draw, and 42% to an Inter Miami win.