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MLS · Regular Season - 17 July 26, 2026 01:30
#15 · 25 pts
0 – 1
Final score
#3 · 55 pts
(pen.) 81' L. Suarez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 42% win probability (draw 22%, CF Montreal 35%). The final result was CF Montreal 0–1 Inter Miami. In 1 previous meetings, CF Montreal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Inter Miami.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
2
2.04
Actual xG
1.72
1
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
6
12
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
23'
I. Fray
59'
N. Allen / S. Reguilon ↕
↕ S. Piette / D. Pereira
61'
↕ D. Rios / N. Streit
62'
↕ M. Longstaff / F. Herbers
80'
80'
P. Plambeck / G. Berterame ↕
81'
(pen.) L. Suarez⚽
84'
T. Segovia
↕ V. Loturi / O. Escobar
90'+6
90'+8
D. Ruiz / Y. Bright ↕
↕ E. Morales / B. Craig
90'+11
Pre-match prediction
35.44%
CF
22.36%
X
42.21%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 42.21% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
CF
1.64
2.04
+0.4
Inter
1.90
1.72
-0.18
CF Montreal dominated by xG (2.04 vs 1.72). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25
Lineups
CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-3-3
1 S. Breza S. Breza G 6.60
13 L. Petrasso L. Petrasso D 7.30
4 B. Vera B. Vera D 6.90
24 E. Morales E. Morales D 6.90
27 D. Bugaj D. Bugaj D 6.30
22 V. Loturi V. Loturi M 6.60
6 S. Piette S. Piette 61' M 6.90
8 M. Longstaff M. Longstaff 80' M 6.70
14 D. Ríos D. Ríos 62' F 6.00
9 P. Owusu P. Owusu F 7.20
18 H. Synchuk H. Synchuk F 7.00
Bench
5 B. Craig B. Craig D
7 D. Pereira D. Pereira 38' M 6.90
21 F. Herbers F. Herbers 19' F 6.30
26 I. Losenko I. Losenko M
2 J. Neal J. Neal D
23 N. Streit N. Streit 37' M 6.50
29 O. Escobar O. Escobar 3' F
41 S. Keita S. Keita G
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-4-2
34 R. Ríos Novo R. Ríos Novo G 8.60
3 Reguilón Reguilón 59' D 6.90
16 Micael Micael D 7.50
17 I. Fray I. Fray D 6.90
4 F. Mura F. Mura D 6.30
24 Mateo Silvetti Mateo Silvetti M 6.20
8 T. Segovia T. Segovia M 7.30
5 Casemiro Casemiro M 7.20
42 Y. Bright Y. Bright M 6.90
9 L. Suárez L. Suárez 1 ⚽ F 7.30
19 G. Berterame G. Berterame 80' F 6.60
Bench
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter F
52
Diego Rey F
41 D. Ruíz D. Ruíz 1' M
97 D. St. Clair D. St. Clair G
70 D. Sumalla D. Sumalla D
76 Ezequiel Abadia-Reda Ezequiel Abadia-Reda D
55
Ian Urkidi M
32 N. Allen N. Allen 40' D 6.60
59 P. Plambeck P. Plambeck 19' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
R. Ríos Novo
R. Ríos Novo
G · Inter
8.60
· 32 pass
Micael
Micael
D · Inter
7.50
· 57 pass
T. Segovia
T. Segovia
M · Inter
7.30
3 shots · 63 pass
L. Petrasso
L. Petrasso
D · CF
7.30
· 50 pass
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Inter
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 45 pass
Casemiro
Casemiro
M · Inter
7.20
2 shots · 64 pass
CF Montreal CF Montreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Breza G 99 6.60 — — — 26 22% — — —
L. Petrasso D 99 7.30 — — — 50 42% 1 — —
B. Vera D 99 6.90 — — — 43 34% — — —
E. Morales D 99 6.90 — — 1 47 40% 3 — —
D. Bugaj D 99 6.30 — — — 19 16% 2 — —
V. Loturi M 96 6.60 — — — 51 43% 1 — —
S. Piette M 61 6.90 — — — 28 26% 1 — —
M. Longstaff M 80 6.70 — — 1 33 28% — — —
D. Ríos F 62 6.00 — — 1 13 10% — — —
P. Owusu F 99 7.20 — — 1 21 14% 1 — —
H. Synchuk F 99 7.00 — — 4 18 15% 2 — —
D. Pereira M 38 6.90 — — — 18 17% — — —
F. Herbers F 19 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
N. Streit M 37 6.50 — — — 8 7% — — —
O. Escobar F 3 — — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Ríos Novo G 99 8.60 — — — 32 23% 1 — —
Reguilón D 59 6.90 — — — 42 38% 1 — —
Micael D 99 7.50 — — — 57 56% 3 — —
I. Fray D 99 6.90 — — — 55 48% 2 1 —
F. Mura D 99 6.30 — — — 53 48% 1 — —
Mateo Silvetti M 99 6.20 — — 1 28 24% — — —
T. Segovia M 99 7.30 — — 3 63 59% 1 1 —
Casemiro M 99 7.20 — — 2 64 57% 1 — —
Y. Bright M 98 6.90 — — 1 52 44% 2 — —
L. Suárez F 99 7.30 1 — 2 45 35% 2 — —
G. Berterame F 80 6.60 — — 2 16 13% — — —
D. Ruíz M 1 — — — — 2 — — — —
N. Allen D 40 6.60 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
P. Plambeck M 19 6.30 — — — 7 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Inter Miami?
The final score was CF Montreal 0–1 Inter Miami.
What did the model predict before CF Montreal vs Inter Miami?
The model assigned 35% probability to a CF Montreal win, 22% to a draw, and 42% to an Inter Miami win.