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MLS · Regular Season - 10 April 25, 2026 22:30
CF Montreal
#11 · 13 pts
1 – 0
Final score
New York City FC
#5 · 18 pts
P. Owusu (ast. M. Longstaff) 18'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Montreal a 39% win probability (draw 26%, New York City FC 33%). The final result was CF Montreal 1–0 New York City FC.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
2
0.95
Actual xG
0.43
2
Saves
3
36%
Possession
64%
3
Corners
1
14
Tackles
14
5
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽P. Owusu · ast. M. Longstaff
18'
↕ N. Streit / O. Escobar
46'
S. Piette
63'
65'
Raul Gustavo / K. Parks ↕
65'
S. Reid / A. Ojeda ↕
65'
Talles Magno / A. Farnos ↕
↕ S. Piette / F. Herbers
70'
74'
T. Gray
↕ P. Owusu / D. Rios
75'
77'
T. Gray
77'
T. Gray
O. Escobar
81'
81'
N. Mercau
82'
A. Perea / M. Moralez ↕
B. Vera
84'
↕ J. Neal / E. Morales
87'
M. Longstaff
87'
D. Bugaj
88'
90'+1
K. Trewin
Pre-match prediction
39.96%
CF ←
26.4%
X
33.64%
New
we assigned to the actual result (CF Montreal) 39.96% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
CF
2.19
0.95
-1.24
New
1.85
0.43
-1.42
CF Montreal dominated by xG (0.95 vs 0.43). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-3-3
31 Thomas Gillier Thomas Gillier G 7.00
13
D 6.90
4 Brayan Vera Brayan Vera D 6.90
2 Jalen Neal Jalen Neal 87' D 7.00
27 Dawid Bugaj Dawid Bugaj D 6.60
8 Matthew Longstaff Matthew Longstaff 1 👟 M 8.20
6 Samuel Piette Samuel Piette 70' M 6.60
22 Victor Loturi Victor Loturi M 6.90
10 Iván Jaime Iván Jaime F 6.30
9 Prince Owusu Prince Owusu 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.60
23 Noah Streit Noah Streit 45' F 6.50
Bench
5 Brandan Craig Brandan Craig D
17 Dagur Dan Þórhallsson Dagur Dan Þórhallsson M
24 Efraín Morales Efraín Morales 10' D 6.60
21
Fabian Herbers 20' F 6.60
7 Kwadwo Opoku Kwadwo Opoku F
29 Olger Escobar Olger Escobar 45' F 6.50
New York City FC New York City FC 4-2-3-1
49
G 6.60
22
D 6.30
5 Kai Trewin Kai Trewin D 6.90
13 Thiago Martins Thiago Martins D 6.90
24 Tayvon Gray Tayvon Gray 77' D 6.50
21
A. O'Neill M 6.90
55 Keaton Parks Keaton Parks 65' M 6.60
87 Arnau Farnos Arnau Farnos 65' M 6.70
10 Maxi Moralez Maxi Moralez 82' M 6.30
26 Agustin Ojeda Agustin Ojeda 65' M 6.00
7 Nicolás Fernández Nicolás Fernández F 7.30
Bench
2 Nico Cavallo Nico Cavallo D
34 Raul Gustavo Raul Gustavo 25' D 7.00
99 Seymour Garfield-Reid Seymour Garfield-Reid 25' F 6.30
19 Strahinja Tanasijević Strahinja Tanasijević D
11
Talles Magno 25' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
Matthew Longstaff
Matthew Longstaff
M · CF
8.20
1 👟
· 40 pass
Prince Owusu
Prince Owusu
F · CF
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Nicolás Fernández
Nicolás Fernández
F · New
7.30
1 shots · 39 pass
Thomas Gillier
Thomas Gillier
G · CF
7.00
· 32 pass
Raul Gustavo
Raul Gustavo
D · New
7.00
· 25 pass
Jalen Neal
Jalen Neal
D · CF
7.00
· 45 pass
CF Montreal CF Montreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Thomas Gillier G 90 7.00 — — — 32 25% — — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 31 24% 1 — —
Brayan Vera D 90 6.90 — — 1 38 30% — 1 —
Jalen Neal D 87 7.00 — — — 45 41% 3 — —
Dawid Bugaj D 90 6.60 — — — 25 19% 4 1 —
Matthew Longstaff M 90 8.20 — 1 — 40 35% 3 1 —
Samuel Piette M 70 6.60 — — — 28 24% — 1 —
Victor Loturi M 90 6.90 — — 1 32 30% 1 — —
Iván Jaime F 90 6.30 — — 1 22 13% — — —
Prince Owusu F 75 7.60 1 — 1 17 9% — — —
Noah Streit F 45 6.50 — — 1 14 10% — — —
Efraín Morales D 10 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
Fabian Herbers F 20 6.60 — — — 8 6% 1 — —
Olger Escobar F 45 6.50 — — — 8 6% 1 1 —
New York City FC New York City FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 17 15% — — —
D 90 6.30 — — — 62 53% — — —
Kai Trewin D 90 6.90 — — — 111 102% 1 1 —
Thiago Martins D 90 6.90 — — — 101 96% — — —
Tayvon Gray D 77 6.50 — — — 51 45% 2 2 1
A. O'Neill M 90 6.90 — — 1 69 63% 1 — —
Keaton Parks M 65 6.60 — — — 57 50% 1 — —
Arnau Farnos M 65 6.70 — — — 19 18% 1 — —
Maxi Moralez M 82 6.30 — — 1 43 35% 2 — —
Agustin Ojeda M 65 6.00 — — — 17 13% — — —
Nicolás Fernández F 90 7.30 — — 1 39 30% 2 1 —
Raul Gustavo D 25 7.00 — — — 25 23% — — —
Seymour Garfield-Reid F 25 6.30 — — — 7 4% 1 — —
Talles Magno F 25 6.60 — — 1 6 4% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs New York City FC?
The final score was CF Montreal 1–0 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before CF Montreal vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 39% probability to a CF Montreal win, 26% to a draw, and 33% to an New York City FC win.