MLS
· Regular Season - 13
May 09, 2026 22:30
✓Model correct — prediction CF Montreal
D. Rios
90'+4
(pen.)
D. Thorhallsson
(ast. V. Loturi)
90'+8
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Montreal a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Orlando City SC 19%). The final result was CF Montreal 2–0 Orlando City SC. In 1 previous meetings, CF Montreal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Orlando City SC.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
3
2.15
Actual xG
0.62
3
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
11
Corners
3
12
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
62'
E. Atuesta
67'
D. McGuire
/
T. Spicer
Ivan Jaime
/ N. Streit
79'
80'
D. Brekalo
/
J. Ellis
P. Owusu
/ D. Rios
86'
S. Piette
/ O. Escobar
86'
⚽D. Rios
(pen.)
90'+4
W. Carmona
/ D. Thorhallsson
90'+5
90'+5
Tiago
/
A. Gomez
90'+5
Z. Taifi
/
G. Dorsey
90'+6
Iago Teodoro
⚽D. Thorhallsson
· ast. V. Loturi
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
56.79%
CF ←
23.44%
X
19.77%
Orlando
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (CF Montreal)
56.79%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.75
2.15
-0.6
1.00
0.62
-0.38
CF Montreal dominated by xG (2.15 vs 0.62).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Thomas Gillier
G
Thomas Gillier
G
13
Luca Petrasso
D
Luca Petrasso
D
24
Efraín Morales
D
Efraín Morales
D
5
B. Craig
D
27
Dawid Bugaj
D
Dawid Bugaj
D
8
Matthew Longstaff
M
Matthew Longstaff
M
6
Samuel Piette
86'
M
Samuel Piette
86'
M
22
Victor Loturi
1 👟
M
Victor Loturi
1 👟
M
10
Iván Jaime
79'
F
Iván Jaime
79'
F
9
P. Owusu
85'
F
P. Owusu
85'
F
16
Wikelman Carmona
89'
F
Wikelman Carmona
89'
F
Bench
17
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
1 ⚽
4'
M
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
1 ⚽
4'
M
14
Daniel Rios
1 ⚽
14'
F
Daniel Rios
1 ⚽
14'
F
25
Frankie Amaya
M
Frankie Amaya
M
7
Kwadwo Opoku
F
Kwadwo Opoku
F
23
Noah Streit
11'
M
Noah Streit
11'
M
29
Olger Escobar
13'
F
Olger Escobar
13'
F
1
Sebastian Breza
G
Sebastian Breza
G
3
Tomás Avilés
D
Tomás Avilés
D
39
Yuri Aleksandr Guboglo
D
Yuri Aleksandr Guboglo
D
71
Maxime Crépeau
G
Maxime Crépeau
G
77
Iván Angulo
D
Iván Angulo
D
3
Adrián Marín
89'
D
Adrián Marín
89'
D
6
Robin Jansson
D
Robin Jansson
D
57
Iago Silva
D
Iago Silva
D
24
Griffin Dorsey
89'
D
Griffin Dorsey
89'
D
14
Tyrese Spicer
67'
M
Tyrese Spicer
67'
M
20
Eduard Atuesta
M
Eduard Atuesta
M
8
B. Ojeda
M
B. Ojeda
M
22
Justin Ellis
80'
F
Justin Ellis
80'
F
10
M. Ojeda
F
M. Ojeda
F
Bench
4
David Brekalo
10'
D
David Brekalo
10'
D
13
Duncan McGuire
23'
F
Duncan McGuire
23'
F
23
Harvey Sarajian
F
Harvey Sarajian
F
12
Javier Otero
G
5
Luis Otávio
M
Luis Otávio
M
29
Tahir Reid-Brown
D
Tahir Reid-Brown
D
11
Tiago Souza
1'
F
Tiago Souza
1'
F
16
W. Cartagena
M
W. Cartagena
M
19
Zakaria Taifi
1'
M
Zakaria Taifi
1'
M
Best on the pitch
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
M · CF
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
Luca Petrasso
D · CF
7.50
1 shots
· 59 pass
Justin Ellis
F · Orlando
7.30
· 17 pass
Iago Silva
D · Orlando
7.30
2 shots
· 49 pass
Wikelman Carmona
F · CF
7.30
3 shots
· 35 pass
Daniel Rios
F · CF
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
CF Montreal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gillier | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Luca Petrasso | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Efraín Morales | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 52% | — | — | — |
| B. Craig | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Dawid Bugaj | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Matthew Longstaff | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Piette | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| Victor Loturi | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 37 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Iván Jaime | F | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| P. Owusu | F | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Wikelman Carmona | F | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Dagur Dan Þórhallsson | M | 4 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Rios | F | 14 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Streit | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Olger Escobar | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Orlando City SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Crépeau | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Iván Angulo | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Adrián Marín | D | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Robin Jansson | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 61 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Iago Silva | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| Griffin Dorsey | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Tyrese Spicer | M | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| Eduard Atuesta | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Ojeda | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Justin Ellis | F | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Ojeda | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| David Brekalo | D | 10 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Duncan McGuire | F | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Souza | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Taifi | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Orlando City SC?
The final score was CF Montreal 2–0 Orlando City SC.
What did the model predict before CF Montreal vs Orlando City SC?
The model assigned 56% probability to a CF Montreal win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an Orlando City SC win.