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MLS · Regular Season - 12 May 09, 2026 22:30
CF Montreal
#15 · 21 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Orlando City SC
#6 · 31 pts
✓Model correct — prediction CF Montreal
D. Rios 90'+4 (pen.)
D. Thorhallsson (ast. V. Loturi) 90'+8
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Montreal a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Orlando City SC 19%). The final result was CF Montreal 2–0 Orlando City SC. In 1 previous meetings, CF Montreal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Orlando City SC.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
3
2.15
Actual xG
0.62
3
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
11
Corners
3
12
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
62'
E. Atuesta
67'
D. McGuire / T. Spicer ↕
↕ Ivan Jaime / N. Streit
79'
80'
D. Brekalo / J. Ellis ↕
↕ P. Owusu / D. Rios
86'
↕ S. Piette / O. Escobar
86'
⚽D. Rios (pen.)
90'+4
↕ W. Carmona / D. Thorhallsson
90'+5
90'+5
Tiago / A. Gomez ↕
90'+5
Z. Taifi / G. Dorsey ↕
90'+6
Iago Teodoro
⚽D. Thorhallsson · ast. V. Loturi
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
56.79%
CF ←
23.44%
X
19.77%
Orlando
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (CF Montreal) 56.79% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
CF
2.75
2.15
-0.6
Orlando
1.00
0.62
-0.38
CF Montreal dominated by xG (2.15 vs 0.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 24 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 44
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
5 Charlotte Charlotte 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 24 31
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 23 31
8 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
9 New York City FC New York City FC 24 29
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 24 29
11 DC United DC United 23 28
12 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 24 27
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 24 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 21
Lineups
CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-3-3
31 T. Gillier T. Gillier G 7.20
13 L. Petrasso L. Petrasso D 7.50
24 E. Morales E. Morales D 6.90
5 B. Craig B. Craig D 7.20
27 D. Bugaj D. Bugaj D 7.20
8 M. Longstaff M. Longstaff M 6.60
6 S. Piette S. Piette 86' M 6.90
22 V. Loturi V. Loturi 1 👟 M 7.20
10 Iván Jaime Iván Jaime 79' F 7.20
9 P. Owusu P. Owusu 85' F 6.90
16 W. Carmona W. Carmona 89' F 7.30
Bench
14 D. Ríos D. Ríos 1 ⚽ 14' F 7.20
17 D. Þór­halls­son D. Þór­halls­son 1 ⚽ 4' M 7.60
25 Frankie Amaya Frankie Amaya M
7 K. Opoku K. Opoku F
23 N. Streit N. Streit 11' M 6.30
29 O. Escobar O. Escobar 13' F 6.30
1 S. Breza S. Breza G
3 T. Avilés T. Avilés D
39 Yuri Aleksandr Guboglo Yuri Aleksandr Guboglo D
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 5-3-2
71 M. Crépeau M. Crépeau G 6.50
77 I. Angulo I. Angulo D 5.90
3 Adrián Marín Adrián Marín 89' D 6.60
6 R. Jansson R. Jansson D 6.00
57 Iago Iago D 7.30
24 G. Dorsey G. Dorsey 89' D 6.20
14 T. Spicer T. Spicer 67' M 7.20
20 E. Atuesta E. Atuesta M 6.30
8 Braian Ojeda Braian Ojeda M 6.70
22 Justin Ellis Justin Ellis 80' F 7.30
10 M. Ojeda M. Ojeda F 6.30
Bench
4 D. Brekalo D. Brekalo 10' D 6.00
13 D. McGuire D. McGuire 23' F 6.20
23 Harvey Sarajian Harvey Sarajian F
12 Javier Otero Javier Otero G
5 Luis Otávio Luis Otávio M
29 Tahir Reid-Brown Tahir Reid-Brown D
11 Tiago Tiago 1' F
16 W. Cartagena W. Cartagena M
19 Z. Taifi Z. Taifi 1' M
Best on the pitch
D. Þór­halls­son
D. Þór­halls­son
M · CF
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
L. Petrasso
L. Petrasso
D · CF
7.50
1 shots · 59 pass
Justin Ellis
Justin Ellis
F · Orlando
7.30
· 17 pass
Iago
Iago
D · Orlando
7.30
2 shots · 49 pass
W. Carmona
W. Carmona
F · CF
7.30
3 shots · 35 pass
D. Ríos
D. Ríos
F · CF
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
CF Montreal CF Montreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Gillier G 90 7.20 — — — 22 17% — — —
L. Petrasso D 90 7.50 — — 1 59 54% 1 — —
E. Morales D 90 6.90 — — — 55 52% — — —
B. Craig D 90 7.20 — — — 43 36% 1 — —
D. Bugaj D 90 7.20 — — 1 41 35% 2 — —
M. Longstaff M 90 6.60 — — 1 51 44% — — —
S. Piette M 86 6.90 — — — 49 44% 3 — —
V. Loturi M 90 7.20 — 1 1 37 29% 2 — —
Iván Jaime F 79 7.20 — — 2 19 17% — — —
P. Owusu F 85 6.90 — — 3 12 8% 1 — —
W. Carmona F 89 7.30 — — 3 35 30% 2 — —
D. Ríos F 14 7.20 1 — 1 — — — — —
D. Þór­halls­son M 4 7.60 1 — 1 — — — — —
N. Streit M 11 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
O. Escobar F 13 6.30 — — 1 2 1% — — —
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Crépeau G 90 6.50 — — — 22 14% — — —
I. Angulo D 90 5.90 — — — 40 33% — — —
Adrián Marín D 89 6.60 — — — 42 37% 1 — —
R. Jansson D 90 6.00 — — — 61 46% 1 — —
Iago D 90 7.30 — — 2 49 45% — 1 —
G. Dorsey D 89 6.20 — — 1 19 15% 1 — —
T. Spicer M 67 7.20 — — 1 11 10% 4 — —
E. Atuesta M 90 6.30 — — 1 38 36% 1 1 —
Braian Ojeda M 90 6.70 — — — 39 35% 1 — —
Justin Ellis F 80 7.30 — — — 17 16% — — —
M. Ojeda F 90 6.30 — — 1 44 40% — — —
D. Brekalo D 10 6.00 — — — 7 7% — — —
D. McGuire F 23 6.20 — — — 4 3% — — —
Tiago F 1 — — — — — — — — —
Z. Taifi M 1 — — — — 1 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Orlando City SC?
The final score was CF Montreal 2–0 Orlando City SC.
What did the model predict before CF Montreal vs Orlando City SC?
The model assigned 56% probability to a CF Montreal win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an Orlando City SC win.