MLS
· Regular Season - 7
April 11, 2026 22:30
Iván Jaime
(ast. Efraín Morales)
23'
55'
(ast. Milan Iloski)
Japhet Sery Larsen
70'
(ast. Ezekiel Alladoh)
Jesus Bueno
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Montreal a 39% win probability (draw 29%, Philadelphia Union 30%). The final result was CF Montreal 1–2 Philadelphia Union.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
6
0.97
Actual xG
1.02
4
Saves
3
50%
Possession
50%
2
Corners
4
13
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
13'
Thomas Gillier
22'
⚽Iván Jaime
· ast. Efraín Morales
23'
25'
Prince-Osei Owusu
37'
Wikelman Carmona
/ Fabian Herbers
37'
Victor Loturi
43'
45'+6
Japhet Sery Larsen
55'
ast. Milan Iloski ·
Japhet Sery Larsen⚽
59'
Olwethu Makhanya
65'
Ezekiel Alladoh
/
Ben Bender
70'
ast. Ezekiel Alladoh ·
Jesus Bueno⚽
Efraín Morales
/ Tomás Avilés
70'
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
/ Hennadiy Synchuk
70'
81'
Philippe Ndinga
/
Japhet Sery Larsen
81'
Alejandro Bedoya
/
Milan Iloski
Fabian Herbers
/ Kwadwo Opoku
82'
Victor Loturi
/ Olger Escobar
82'
85'
Bruno Damiani
88'
Cavan Sullivan
/
Indiana Vassilev
90'+6
Jovan Lukić
Pre-match prediction
39.53%
CF
29.56%
X
30.91%
Philadelphia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Philadelphia Union)
30.91%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.70
0.97
-0.73
1.22
1.02
-0.2
xG dominance was balanced (0.97 – 1.02).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Thomas Gillier
G
Thomas Gillier
G
13
D
4
Brayan Vera
D
Brayan Vera
D
24
Efraín Morales
1 👟
70'
D
Efraín Morales
1 👟
70'
D
27
Dawid Bugaj
D
Dawid Bugaj
D
8
Matthew Longstaff
M
Matthew Longstaff
M
22
Victor Loturi
82'
M
Victor Loturi
82'
M
10
Iván Jaime
1 ⚽
M
Iván Jaime
1 ⚽
M
16
Wikelman Carmona
37'
M
Wikelman Carmona
37'
M
17
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
70'
M
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
70'
M
9
Prince Owusu
F
Prince Owusu
F
Bench
5
Brandan Craig
D
Brandan Craig
D
21
Fabian Herbers
45'
F
18
Hennadiy Synchuk
20'
M
7
Kwadwo Opoku
8'
F
Kwadwo Opoku
8'
F
29
Olger Escobar
8'
F
Olger Escobar
8'
F
6
Samuel Piette
M
Samuel Piette
M
18
G
39
Frankie Westfield
D
Frankie Westfield
D
29
Olwethu Makhanya
D
Olwethu Makhanya
D
5
Japhet Sery Larsen
1 ⚽
81'
D
26
Nathan Harriel
D
Nathan Harriel
D
19
Indiana Vassilev
88'
M
Indiana Vassilev
88'
M
4
Jovan Lukić
M
Jovan Lukić
M
8
J. Bueno
1 ⚽
M
16
Ben Bender
65'
M
Ben Bender
65'
M
9
Bruno Damiani
F
Bruno Damiani
F
10
Milan Iloski
1 👟
81'
F
Milan Iloski
1 👟
81'
F
Bench
11
Alejandro Bedoya
9'
M
Alejandro Bedoya
9'
M
6
Cavan Sullivan
10'
M
Cavan Sullivan
10'
M
23
Ezekiel Alladoh
1 👟
25'
F
Ezekiel Alladoh
1 👟
25'
F
2
Geiner Martínez
D
Geiner Martínez
D
14
Jeremy Rafanello
M
Jeremy Rafanello
M
20
Philippe Ndinga
9'
D
Philippe Ndinga
9'
D
Best on the pitch
Iván Jaime
M · CF
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Japhet Sery Larsen
D · Philadelphia
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
Thomas Gillier
G · CF
7.90
· 38 pass
J. Bueno
M · Philadelphia
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 39 pass
G · Philadelphia
7.30
· 37 pass
Efraín Morales
D · CF
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 45 pass
CF Montreal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gillier | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — | |
| Brayan Vera | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Efraín Morales | D | 70 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 45 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Dawid Bugaj | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Matthew Longstaff | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Victor Loturi | M | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Iván Jaime | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Wikelman Carmona | M | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Dagur Dan Þórhallsson | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Prince Owusu | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 6% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Fabian Herbers | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Hennadiy Synchuk | M | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Kwadwo Opoku | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Olger Escobar | F | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| Frankie Westfield | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Olwethu Makhanya | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Japhet Sery Larsen | D | 81 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nathan Harriel | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Indiana Vassilev | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Jovan Lukić | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 4 | 1 | — |
| J. Bueno | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 39 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Ben Bender | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Damiani | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 35 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Milan Iloski | F | 81 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Bedoya | M | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ezekiel Alladoh | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Philippe Ndinga | D | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union?
The final score was CF Montreal 1–2 Philadelphia Union.
What did the model predict before CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union?
The model assigned 39% probability to a CF Montreal win, 29% to a draw, and 30% to an Philadelphia Union win.