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MLS · Regular Season - 7 April 11, 2026 20:30
#15 · 24 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#6 · 39 pts
Iván Jaime (ast. Efraín Morales) 23'
55' (ast. Milan Iloski) Japhet Sery Larsen
70' (ast. Ezekiel Alladoh) Jesus Bueno
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Montreal a 39% win probability (draw 29%, Philadelphia Union 30%). The final result was CF Montreal 1–2 Philadelphia Union. In 2 previous meetings, CF Montreal have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Philadelphia Union.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
6
0.97
Actual xG
1.02
4
Saves
3
50%
Possession
50%
2
Corners
4
13
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
13'
Thomas Gillier
22'
⚽Iván Jaime · ast. Efraín Morales
23'
25'
Prince-Osei Owusu
37'
↕ Wikelman Carmona / Fabian Herbers
37'
Victor Loturi
43'
45'+6
Japhet Sery Larsen
55'
ast. Milan Iloski · Japhet Sery Larsen⚽
59'
Olwethu Makhanya
65'
Ezekiel Alladoh / Ben Bender ↕
70'
ast. Ezekiel Alladoh · Jesus Bueno⚽
↕ Efraín Morales / Tomás Avilés
70'
↕ Dagur Dan Þórhallsson / Hennadiy Synchuk
70'
81'
Philippe Ndinga / Japhet Sery Larsen ↕
81'
Alejandro Bedoya / Milan Iloski ↕
↕ Fabian Herbers / Kwadwo Opoku
82'
↕ Victor Loturi / Olger Escobar
82'
85'
Bruno Damiani
88'
Cavan Sullivan / Indiana Vassilev ↕
90'+6
Jovan Lukić
Pre-match prediction
39.53%
CF
29.56%
X
30.91%
Philadelphia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Philadelphia Union) 30.91% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
CF
1.70
0.97
-0.73
Philadelphia
1.22
1.02
-0.2
xG dominance was balanced (0.97 – 1.02). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 27 60
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 27 46
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 27 46
4 Charlotte Charlotte 27 43
5 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 27 33
9 New York City FC New York City FC 27 33
10 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 26 33
11 DC United DC United 26 30
12 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 27 29
13 Toronto FC Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 27 24
Lineups
CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-2-3-1
31 T. Gillier T. Gillier G 7.90
13
D 6.60
4 B. Vera B. Vera D 5.90
24
Efraín Morales 1 👟 70' D 7.20
27 D. Bugaj D. Bugaj D 6.50
8 M. Longstaff M. Longstaff M 6.50
22 V. Loturi V. Loturi 82' M 6.50
10 Iván Jaime Iván Jaime 1 ⚽ M 8.20
16 Wikelman Carmona Wikelman Carmona 37' M 6.60
17 D. Þór­halls­son D. Þór­halls­son 70' M 6.20
9 P. Owusu P. Owusu F 6.90
Bench
5 B. Craig B. Craig D
21 F. Herbers F. Herbers 45' F 6.90
18 Hennadii Synchuk Hennadii Synchuk 20' M 6.60
7 K. Opoku K. Opoku 8' F 6.50
29 O. Escobar O. Escobar 8' F 6.60
6 Samuel Piette Samuel Piette M
18
G 7.30
39 Frankie Westfield Frankie Westfield D 6.70
29 Olwethu Makhanya Olwethu Makhanya D 6.00
5 J. Sery Larsen J. Sery Larsen 1 ⚽ 81' D 8.20
26 N. Harriel N. Harriel D 6.60
19 I. Vassilev I. Vassilev 88' M 6.90
4 J. Lukić J. Lukić M 6.50
8 J. Bueno J. Bueno 1 ⚽ M 7.90
16 B. Bender B. Bender 65' M 6.30
9 B. Damiani B. Damiani F 6.90
10 M. Iloski M. Iloski 1 👟 81' F 7.00
Bench
11 A. Bedoya A. Bedoya 9' M 6.90
6 Cavan Sullivan Cavan Sullivan 10' M 6.30
23 E. Alladoh E. Alladoh 1 👟 25' F 6.90
2 G. Martínez G. Martínez D
14 J. Rafanello J. Rafanello M
20 Philippe Ndinga Philippe Ndinga 9' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
Iván Jaime
Iván Jaime
M · CF
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
J. Sery Larsen
J. Sery Larsen
D · Philadelphia
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 24 pass
T. Gillier
T. Gillier
G · CF
7.90
· 38 pass
J. Bueno
J. Bueno
M · Philadelphia
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 39 pass
G · Philadelphia
7.30
· 37 pass
Efraín Morales
D · CF
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 45 pass
CF Montreal CF Montreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Gillier G 90 7.90 — — — 38 28% — 1 —
D 90 6.60 — — — 16 12% 1 — —
B. Vera D 90 5.90 — — 2 48 37% — — —
Efraín Morales D 70 7.20 — 1 1 45 36% 2 — —
D. Bugaj D 90 6.50 — — — 19 10% 1 — —
M. Longstaff M 90 6.50 — — 1 44 28% — — —
V. Loturi M 82 6.50 — — 1 25 21% 1 1 —
Iván Jaime M 90 8.20 1 — 1 14 11% 1 — —
Wikelman Carmona M 37 6.60 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
D. Þór­halls­son M 70 6.20 — — 1 13 7% 2 — —
P. Owusu F 90 6.90 — — — 13 6% 3 1 —
F. Herbers F 45 6.90 — — — 13 6% 1 — —
Hennadii Synchuk M 20 6.60 — — — 9 6% — — —
K. Opoku F 8 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
O. Escobar F 8 6.60 — — — 5 3% — — —
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 37 28% — — —
Frankie Westfield D 90 6.70 — — 1 26 15% 2 — —
Olwethu Makhanya D 90 6.00 — — — 45 31% 2 1 —
J. Sery Larsen D 81 8.20 1 — 1 24 21% 1 1 —
N. Harriel D 90 6.60 — — 1 22 16% — — —
I. Vassilev M 88 6.90 — — 1 17 17% — — —
J. Lukić M 90 6.50 — — — 29 22% 4 1 —
J. Bueno M 90 7.90 1 — 2 39 35% — — —
B. Bender M 65 6.30 — — — 13 8% 2 — —
B. Damiani F 90 6.90 — — 4 35 16% 2 1 —
M. Iloski F 81 7.00 — 1 2 11 7% — — —
A. Bedoya M 9 6.90 — — 1 5 5% — — —
Cavan Sullivan M 10 6.30 — — — 3 1% — — —
E. Alladoh F 25 6.90 — 1 — 11 7% — — —
Philippe Ndinga D 9 6.30 — — — 3 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union?
The final score was CF Montreal 1–2 Philadelphia Union.
What did the model predict before CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union?
The model assigned 39% probability to a CF Montreal win, 29% to a draw, and 30% to an Philadelphia Union win.