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MLS · Regular Season - 16 July 17, 2026 01:30
#15 · 26 pts
0 – 0
Final score
#12 · 39 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction CF Montreal, result Draw
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Montreal a 61% win probability (draw 21%, Toronto FC 17%). The final result was CF Montreal 0–0 Toronto FC. In 1 previous meetings, CF Montreal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Toronto FC.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
0
0.94
Actual xG
0.44
0
Saves
3
50%
Possession
50%
9
Corners
3
9
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
↕ V. Loturi / F. Herbers
60'
↕ S. Piette / D. Pereira
60'
61'
J. Vilsaint / K. Franklin ↕
62'
M. Henry / T. Corbeanu ↕
D. Pereira
64'
69'
D. Salloi
74'
D. Mihailovic / D. Etienne ↕
↕ D. Rios / O. Graham-Roache
77'
↕ N. Streit / O. Escobar
88'
Pre-match prediction
61.22%
CF
21.06%
X ←
17.72%
Toronto
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 21.06% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
CF
2.03
0.94
-1.09
Toronto
0.76
0.44
-0.32
CF Montreal dominated by xG (0.94 vs 0.44). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 33 74
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 33 59
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 33 58
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 33 55
5 Charlotte Charlotte 33 53
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 33 47
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 33 46
8 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 33 44
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 33 43
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 33 39
11 New York City FC New York City FC 33 39
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 33 39
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 33 33
14 DC United DC United 33 33
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 33 26
Lineups
CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-3-3
31 T. Gillier T. Gillier G 6.60
13 L. Petrasso L. Petrasso D 7.20
4 B. Vera B. Vera D 7.20
2 J. Neal J. Neal D 6.90
27 D. Bugaj D. Bugaj D 7.50
8 M. Longstaff M. Longstaff M 6.90
6 S. Piette S. Piette 60' M 7.30
22 V. Loturi V. Loturi 60' M 6.30
23 N. Streit N. Streit 88' F 6.90
14 D. Ríos D. Ríos 77' F 6.20
18 H. Synchuk H. Synchuk F 6.90
Bench
5 B. Craig B. Craig D
7 D. Pereira D. Pereira 35' M 6.30
17 D. Þór­halls­son D. Þór­halls­son D
24 E. Morales E. Morales D
25 F. Amaya F. Amaya M
21 F. Herbers F. Herbers 35' F 6.30
29 O. Escobar O. Escobar 7' F
35 Owen Graham-Roache Owen Graham-Roache 18' F 6.50
1 S. Breza S. Breza G
Toronto FC Toronto FC 3-4-2-1
1 L. Gavran L. Gavran G 7.70
38 J. Gilman J. Gilman D 7.30
25 W. Zimmerman W. Zimmerman D 7.60
12 Z. Monlouis Z. Monlouis D 7.20
20 D. Sallói D. Sallói M 6.30
14 Alonso Coello Alonso Coello M 8.20
22 R. Laryea R. Laryea M 6.90
19 K. Franklin K. Franklin 61' M 7.20
11 D. Etienne D. Etienne 74' F 6.20
7 T. Corbeanu T. Corbeanu 62' F 6.70
9 J. Sargent J. Sargent F 6.90
Bench
13 B. Kuscevic B. Kuscevic D
29 Deandre Kerr Deandre Kerr F
10 D. Mihailović D. Mihailović 21' M 6.30
17 Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga F
99 J. Vilsaint J. Vilsaint 34' F 6.90
78 Malik Henry Malik Henry 33' M 6.30
96 R. Chukwu R. Chukwu D
44 R. Edwards R. Edwards D
23 W. Yarbrough W. Yarbrough G
Best on the pitch
Alonso Coello
Alonso Coello
M · Toronto
8.20
· 53 pass
L. Gavran
L. Gavran
G · Toronto
7.70
· 39 pass
W. Zimmerman
W. Zimmerman
D · Toronto
7.60
· 81 pass
D. Bugaj
D. Bugaj
D · CF
7.50
· 34 pass
S. Piette
S. Piette
M · CF
7.30
· 40 pass
J. Gilman
J. Gilman
D · Toronto
7.30
1 shots · 46 pass
CF Montreal CF Montreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Gillier G 95 6.60 — — — 28 23% — — —
L. Petrasso D 95 7.20 — — — 39 35% 4 — —
B. Vera D 95 7.20 — — — 63 52% — — —
J. Neal D 95 6.90 — — — 71 55% 2 — —
D. Bugaj D 95 7.50 — — — 34 27% 2 — —
M. Longstaff M 95 6.90 — — 1 62 52% — — —
S. Piette M 60 7.30 — — — 40 37% 1 — —
V. Loturi M 60 6.30 — — — 24 18% — — —
N. Streit F 88 6.90 — — — 20 14% — — —
D. Ríos F 77 6.20 — — 1 19 13% — — —
H. Synchuk F 95 6.90 — — 4 31 23% — — —
D. Pereira M 35 6.30 — — — 12 11% — 1 —
F. Herbers F 35 6.30 — — — 13 12% — — —
O. Escobar F 7 — — — — — — — — —
Owen Graham-Roache F 18 6.50 — — — 1 — — — —
Toronto FC Toronto FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Gavran G 95 7.70 — — — 39 25% — — —
J. Gilman D 95 7.30 — — 1 46 40% 1 — —
W. Zimmerman D 95 7.60 — — — 81 73% 1 — —
Z. Monlouis D 95 7.20 — — — 74 67% 1 — —
D. Sallói M 95 6.30 — — 1 27 18% — 1 —
Alonso Coello M 95 8.20 — — — 53 42% 2 — —
R. Laryea M 95 6.90 — — 1 37 31% 1 — —
K. Franklin M 61 7.20 — — — 24 19% 1 — —
D. Etienne F 74 6.20 — — — 13 10% — — —
T. Corbeanu F 62 6.70 — — 1 19 16% 2 — —
J. Sargent F 95 6.90 — — — 19 8% 2 — —
D. Mihailović M 21 6.30 — — — 7 4% — — —
J. Vilsaint F 34 6.90 — — 1 10 9% — — —
Malik Henry M 33 6.30 — — — 14 12% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Toronto FC?
The final score was CF Montreal 0–0 Toronto FC.
What did the model predict before CF Montreal vs Toronto FC?
The model assigned 61% probability to a CF Montreal win, 21% to a draw, and 17% to an Toronto FC win.