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CF Os Belenenses - Mafra

Liga 3 May 16, 2026 17:30
CF Os Belenenses
#1 · 38 pts
vs
Mafra
#2 · 34 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
56.57%
Win
CF Os Belenenses
20.13%
Draw
23.3%
Win
Mafra
2.33
Expected xG
1.48
Model prediction
CF Os Belenenses
56.57%
Probability
42.9%
1X2 accuracy · 7 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives CF Os Belenenses a 56% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Mafra. Expected goals are 2.3 for CF Os Belenenses and 1.5 for Mafra (total 3.8), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.9% probability. In 3 previous meetings, CF Os Belenenses have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mafra.

Score Matrix
↕ CF Os Belenenses Mafra →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2% 3.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.2% 7.6% 5.6% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.0% 8.9% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.7% 6.9% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.7% 4.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
5 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Recent form
CF Os Belenenses CF Os Belenenses
W Varzim 1–2
D União Santarém 1–1
D Amarante 2–2
L Academica 2–1
D Guimaraes B 0–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 36%
Mafra Mafra
D Academica 3–3
W Guimaraes B 0–2
W Trofense 1–0
L Amarante 1–4
W Varzim 0–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 28%
Playing profile
CF Os Belenenses CF Os Belenenses
Attack
42
Defence
72
Form
59
Mafra Mafra
Attack
39
Defence
57
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
2
CF Os Belenenses
1
Draw
0
Mafra
W 22 Mar 2026 Liga 3 4–1
W 9 Nov 2025 Liga 3 2–1
D 9 Aug 2025 Liga 3 1–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Atlético CP Atlético CP 10 26
1 Guimaraes B Guimaraes B 18 29
1 Amarante Amarante 13 28
1 São João Ver São João Ver 10 21
1 CF Os Belenenses CF Os Belenenses 18 38
2 Amarante Amarante 18 29
2 Academica Academica 13 25
2 Fafe Fafe 10 21
2 Mafra Mafra 18 34
2 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 10 24
3 Trofense Trofense 18 28
3 CF Os Belenenses CF Os Belenenses 13 23
3 Paredes Paredes 10 21
3 Academica Academica 18 28
3 Caldas Caldas 10 19
4 SC Covilha SC Covilha 10 18
4 União Santarém União Santarém 18 25
4 Guimaraes B Guimaraes B 13 17
4 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 10 18
4 Varzim Varzim 18 28
5 Mafra Mafra 13 17
5 Paredes Paredes 18 27
5 SC Braga B SC Braga B 10 17
5 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 18 22
5 1º Dezembro 1º Dezembro 10 16
6 Atlético CP Atlético CP 18 22
6 Amora Amora 10 13
6 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 10 11
6 Varzim Varzim 13 13
6 SC Braga B SC Braga B 18 25
7 Trofense Trofense 13 10
7 Amora Amora 18 21
7 Fafe Fafe 18 24
8 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 18 19
8 Caldas Caldas 18 21
8 União Santarém União Santarém 13 9
9 São João Ver São João Ver 18 14
9 1º Dezembro 1º Dezembro 18 17
10 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 18 13
10 SC Covilha SC Covilha 18 14
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra?
The model gives CF Os Belenenses a 56% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 23% for an Mafra win.
How many goals are expected in CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra?
Expected goals: CF Os Belenenses 2.3, Mafra 1.5 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.9%.