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Chaco For Ever - San Miguel

Primera Nacional July 21, 2026 02:00
Chaco For Ever
#16 · 22 pts
vs
San Miguel
#11 · 26 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
54.92%
Win
Chaco For Ever
21.88%
Draw
23.2%
Win
San Miguel
1.82
Expected xG
1.03

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (11.1%)
1X2 Result
1 55%
X 22%
2 23%
Double Chance
1X 77%
X2 45%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 61%
Over 2.5 32%
✓ 40.0% hit rate (10 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chaco For Ever a 54% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 23% for San Miguel. Expected goals are 1.8 for Chaco For Ever and 1.0 for San Miguel (total 2.8), with a 61% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.1% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Chaco For Ever have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for San Miguel.

Season Stats

Chaco For Ever
3W 5D 7L
San Miguel
3W 8D 4L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
0.7
1.1
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
27%
O 2.5
27%
47%
BTTS
40%
27%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Chaco For Ever
2W 4D 4L · at home
San Miguel
1W 7D 2L · away
1.1
gls/g
0.8
1.2
Conceded
1.3
20%
Win %
10%
60%
Win or Draw
80%
80%
O 1.5
80%
40%
O 2.5
30%
10%
O 3.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
30%
10%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Chaco For Ever San Miguel →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8% 6.0% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.6% 10.9% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.9% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.8% 6.0% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% — —

Recent form

Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever
W Deportivo Moron 2–0
W Colon Santa Fe 0–1
W San Telmo 1–3
D Acassuso 1–1
W Colon Santa Fe 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
San Miguel San Miguel
L San Telmo 1–0
D Acassuso 0–0
L Ferro Carril Oeste 0–1
D Central Norte 1–1
W Acassuso 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 31%

Playing profile

Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever
Attack
29
Defence
74
Form
49
San Miguel San Miguel
Attack
21
Defence
84
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Chaco For Ever
0
Draw
1
San Miguel
28 Feb 2026 Primera Nacional 0–2

Group 1

# Team G Pts
1 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 23 43
2 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 22 38
3 Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe 23 36
4 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 23 35
5 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 22 34
6 Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar 23 34
7 Los Andes Los Andes 22 33
8 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 22 33
9 CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 23 32
10 Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba 23 27
11 San Miguel San Miguel 22 26
12 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 22 25
13 Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre 23 25
14 San Telmo San Telmo 22 23
15 All Boys All Boys 23 23
16 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever 22 22
17 Central Norte Central Norte 22 22
18 Acassuso Acassuso 22 21

What's at stake · Group 1

Top 2 advance to the next round

Chaco For Ever San Miguel
Current #16 #11
→ Chaco For Ever #14 #11
→ Draw #15 #10
→ San Miguel #16 #10

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chaco For Ever vs San Miguel?
The model gives Chaco For Ever a 54% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 23% for an San Miguel win.
How many goals are expected in Chaco For Ever vs San Miguel?
Expected goals: Chaco For Ever 1.8, San Miguel 1.0 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 61%.
What is the most likely score in Chaco For Ever vs San Miguel?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.1%.