Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 23
August 16, 2026 16:00
Giovanni Augusto
(ast. Yago Felipe)
19'
Marcinho
(ast. Giovanni Augusto)
48'
Tulio
(ast. Giovanni Augusto)
72'
(pen.)
13'
A. Veliz
(og)
42'
Kauan
65'
(ast. Jean Lucas)
Nicolas Acevedo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bahia a 42% win probability (draw 32%, Chapecoense-sc 25%). The final result was Chapecoense-sc 3–3 Bahia. In 1 previous meetings, Chapecoense-sc have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bahia.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
14
3
Shots on target
4
1.24
Actual xG
2.28
3
Saves
0
35%
Possession
65%
3
Corners
4
20
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
13'
(pen.)
A. Veliz⚽
⚽Giovanni Augusto
· ast. Yago Felipe
19'
42'
(og)
Kauan⚽
K. Ramirez
/ Tulio
46'
Heitor
/ Everton
46'
Bruno Matias
/ F. Rossi
46'
⚽Marcinho
· ast. Giovanni Augusto
48'
65'
ast. Jean Lucas ·
Nicolas Acevedo⚽
66'
Caio Alexandre
/
R. Gomez
66'
Erick
/
Jean Lucas
67'
M. Sanabria
/
Kaue Junior
67'
Ze Guilherme
/
Luciano Juba
⚽Tulio
· ast. Giovanni Augusto
72'
Yago Felipe
/ David Antunes
78'
Fernando
/ Bruno Pacheco
78'
83'
Michel Araujo
/
Rodrigo
84'
M. Sanabria
Camilo Reijers
89'
90'+2
Erick
Pre-match prediction
25.44%
Chapecoense-sc
32.11%
X ←
42.44%
Bahia
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.66
1.24
+0.58
0.99
2.28
+1.29
Bahia dominated by xG (2.28 vs 1.24).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
98
Anderson
G
Anderson
G
12
Fernando
78'
D
Fernando
78'
D
3
Doma
D
Doma
D
21
Kauan Faria Gomes
D
Kauan Faria Gomes
D
5
Heitor
45'
D
Heitor
45'
D
16
Bruno Matias
45'
M
Bruno Matias
45'
M
27
Camilo
M
Camilo
M
88
Yago Felipe
1 👟
78'
M
Yago Felipe
1 👟
78'
M
7
Marcinho
1 ⚽
F
Marcinho
1 ⚽
F
10
Giovanni Augusto
1 ⚽
2 👟
F
Giovanni Augusto
1 ⚽
2 👟
F
94
K. Ramírez
45'
F
K. Ramírez
45'
F
Bench
91
Bruno Pacheco
16'
D
Bruno Pacheco
16'
D
19
David Antunes
16'
M
David Antunes
16'
M
97
Ênio
M
Ênio
M
26
Everton
49'
D
Everton
49'
D
29
F. Rossi
49'
F
F. Rossi
49'
F
6
Mancha
D
Mancha
D
30
Matheus Aurélio
G
Matheus Aurélio
G
18
Neto Pessoa
F
Neto Pessoa
F
15
Rafael Thyere
D
Rafael Thyere
D
70
Rubens
M
Rubens
M
9
Tulio Eduardo
1 ⚽
49'
F
Tulio Eduardo
1 ⚽
49'
F
25
Victor Caetano
D
Victor Caetano
D
1
Ronaldo
G
Ronaldo
G
21
S. Ramos
D
S. Ramos
D
33
David Duarte
D
David Duarte
D
31
Roman Gomez
66'
D
Roman Gomez
66'
D
5
N. Acevedo
1 ⚽
M
N. Acevedo
1 ⚽
M
11
Rodrigo Nestor
83'
M
Rodrigo Nestor
83'
M
46
Luciano Juba
67'
M
Luciano Juba
67'
M
6
Jean Lucas
1 👟
66'
M
Jean Lucas
1 👟
66'
M
57
Çağatay Yılmaz
67'
M
Çağatay Yılmaz
67'
M
16
Erick Pulga
F
Erick Pulga
F
9
A. Véliz
1 ⚽
F
A. Véliz
1 ⚽
F
Bench
8
Caio Alexandre
28'
M
Caio Alexandre
28'
M
99
C. Olivera
F
C. Olivera
F
14
Erick
28'
M
Erick
28'
M
27
Everaldo
F
Everaldo
F
17
G. Herrera
G
G. Herrera
G
4
Kanu
D
Kanu
D
15
M. Araújo
11'
M
M. Araújo
11'
M
3
Marco Moreno
D
Marco Moreno
D
44
Marcos Victor
D
Marcos Victor
D
23
M. Sanabria
27'
F
M. Sanabria
27'
F
12
Willian José
F
Willian José
F
66
Zé Guilherme
27'
D
Zé Guilherme
27'
D
Best on the pitch
Giovanni Augusto
F · Chapecoense-sc
9.90
1 ⚽ 2 👟
1 shots
· 33 pass
N. Acevedo
M · Bahia
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 91 pass
Marcinho
F · Chapecoense-sc
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 15 pass
Erick Pulga
F · Bahia
7.30
2 shots
· 33 pass
Tulio Eduardo
F · Chapecoense-sc
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
Rodrigo Nestor
M · Bahia
7.20
3 shots
· 41 pass
Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Fernando | D | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Doma | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Kauan Faria Gomes | D | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Heitor | D | 45 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Matias | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Camilo | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Yago Felipe | M | 78 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| Marcinho | F | 94 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Augusto | F | 94 | 9.90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 33 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Ramírez | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| David Antunes | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Everton | D | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Rossi | F | 49 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Tulio Eduardo | F | 49 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Bahia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo | G | 94 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | — | — | — |
| S. Ramos | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 71 | 68% | — | — | — |
| David Duarte | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Roman Gomez | D | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Acevedo | M | 94 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 91 | 82% | 5 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Luciano Juba | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Çağatay Yılmaz | M | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Erick Pulga | F | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Véliz | F | 94 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Caio Alexandre | M | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Erick | M | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Araújo | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Sanabria | F | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Zé Guilherme | D | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia?
The final score was Chapecoense-sc 3–3 Bahia.
What did the model predict before Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Chapecoense-sc win, 32% to a draw, and 42% to an Bahia win.