Chapecoense-sc - Cruzeiro
Copa do Brasil
August 02, 2026 23:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.09%
Win
Chapecoense-sc
28.32%
Draw
39.59%
Win
Cruzeiro
1.31
1.63
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.62%)
1X2 Result
1
32%
X
28%
2
40%
Double Chance
1X
60%
X2
68%
12
72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
70%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cruzeiro a 39% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Chapecoense-sc. Expected goals are 1.3 for Chapecoense-sc and 1.6 for Cruzeiro (total 2.9), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.62% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Chapecoense-sc have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cruzeiro.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
7W
2D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.6
0.5
Conceded
0.4
—
Shots OT
6.0
—
Corners
7.6
—
Poss.
51%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
70%
0%
O 2.5
30%
0%
BTTS
20%
50%
Clean Sht
70%
ℹ
Based on the last 10 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
20%
BTTS
1W
0D
0L
· at home
4W
1D
0L
· away
2.0
gls/g
2.2
0.0
Conceded
0.6
100%
Win %
80%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
60%
0%
O 3.5
20%
0%
BTTS
40%
100%
Clean Sht
60%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Chapecoense-sc
Attack
33
Defence
57
Form
44
Cruzeiro
Attack
47
Defence
66
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
24 May 2026
1–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?
The model gives Chapecoense-sc a 32% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 39% for an Cruzeiro win.
How many goals are expected in Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?
Expected goals: Chapecoense-sc 1.3, Cruzeiro 1.6 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.62%.