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Chapecoense-sc - Cruzeiro

Copa do Brasil August 02, 2026 23:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.09%
Win
Chapecoense-sc
28.32%
Draw
39.59%
Win
Cruzeiro
1.31
Expected xG
1.63

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.62%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 28%
2 40%
Double Chance
1X 60%
X2 68%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 70%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cruzeiro a 39% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Chapecoense-sc. Expected goals are 1.3 for Chapecoense-sc and 1.6 for Cruzeiro (total 2.9), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.62% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Chapecoense-sc have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cruzeiro.

Season Stats

Chapecoense-sc
1W 0D 1L
Cruzeiro
7W 2D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.6
0.5
Conceded
0.4
Shots OT
6.0
Corners
7.6
Poss.
51%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
70%
0%
O 2.5
30%
0%
BTTS
20%
50%
Clean Sht
70%
Based on the last 10 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
20%
BTTS
Chapecoense-sc
1W 0D 0L · at home
Cruzeiro
4W 1D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
2.2
0.0
Conceded
0.6
100%
Win %
80%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
60%
0%
O 3.5
20%
0%
BTTS
40%
100%
Clean Sht
60%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Chapecoense-sc Cruzeiro →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3% 8.6% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.9% 11.3% 9.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.5% 7.4% 6.0% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.0% 3.2% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

W Botafogo 2–0
L Botafogo 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
W Goias 1–0
D Goias 2–2
W Corinthians 1–2
L Corinthians 0–1
W Atletico-MG 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
Attack
33
Defence
57
Form
44
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
Attack
47
Defence
66
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Chapecoense-sc
0
Draw
1
Cruzeiro
24 May 2026 Brasileirão Série A 1–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?
The model gives Chapecoense-sc a 32% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 39% for an Cruzeiro win.
How many goals are expected in Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?
Expected goals: Chapecoense-sc 1.3, Cruzeiro 1.6 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.62%.