Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 19
July 23, 2026 02:30
✓Model correct — prediction Flamengo
26'
(ast. Bruno Henrique)
Pedro
(og)
38'
Rafael Thyere
48'
Lorran
87'
(ast. Samuel Lino)
Pedro
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 66% win probability (draw 18%, Chapecoense-sc 15%). The final result was Chapecoense-sc 0–4 Flamengo.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
6
0.50
Actual xG
0.84
3
Saves
3
37%
Possession
63%
5
Corners
3
17
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
26'
ast. Bruno Henrique ·
Pedro⚽
33'
Lorran
/
G. Plata
38'
(og)
Rafael Thyere⚽
48'
Lorran⚽
Bruno Pacheco
53'
David Antunes
/ Enio
59'
Vinicius Balieiro
/ Bruno Matias
59'
68'
G. de Arrascaeta
/
Bruno Henrique
69'
Alex Sandro
/
Ayrton Lucas
69'
Evertton Araujo
/
Jorginho
Y. Bolasie
/ Kassio
69'
Giovanni Augusto
/ Neto Pessoa
69'
80'
Danilo
/
Leo Pereira
Marcinho
/ Rubens Ricoldi
80'
87'
ast. Samuel Lino ·
Pedro⚽
Pre-match prediction
15.37%
Chapecoense-sc
18.0%
X
66.63%
Flamengo ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Flamengo)
66.63%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.78
0.50
-0.28
2.25
0.84
-1.41
Flamengo dominated by xG (0.84 vs 0.50).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
Matheus Aurélio
G
Matheus Aurélio
G
91
Bruno Pacheco
D
Bruno Pacheco
D
3
Doma
D
Doma
D
15
Rafael Thyere
1 ⚽
D
Rafael Thyere
1 ⚽
D
26
Everton
D
Everton
D
17
Vinicius Balieiro
59'
M
Vinicius Balieiro
59'
M
27
Camilo
M
Camilo
M
19
David Antunes
59'
M
David Antunes
59'
M
11
Y. Bolasie
69'
M
Y. Bolasie
69'
M
7
Marcinho
80'
M
Marcinho
80'
M
10
Giovanni Augusto
69'
F
Giovanni Augusto
69'
F
Bench
33
Bruno Leonardo
D
Bruno Leonardo
D
16
Bruno Matias
31'
M
Bruno Matias
31'
M
97
Ênio
31'
M
Ênio
31'
M
66
Juan
M
Juan
M
50
Kassio
21'
F
Kassio
21'
F
21
Kauan Faria Gomes
D
Kauan Faria Gomes
D
6
Mancha
D
Mancha
D
2
Marcos Vinícius
D
Marcos Vinícius
D
18
Neto Pessoa
21'
F
Neto Pessoa
21'
F
1
Rafael Santos
G
Rafael Santos
G
70
Rubens
10'
M
Rubens
10'
M
32
Wellington
G
Wellington
G
1
A. Rossi
G
A. Rossi
G
6
Ayrton Lucas
68'
D
Ayrton Lucas
68'
D
4
Léo Pereira
80'
D
Léo Pereira
80'
D
44
Vitão
D
Vitão
D
22
Emerson Royal
D
Emerson Royal
D
21
Jorginho
69'
M
Jorginho
69'
M
5
E. Pulgar
M
E. Pulgar
M
27
Bruno Henrique
1 👟
69'
M
Bruno Henrique
1 👟
69'
M
16
Samuel Lino
1 👟
M
Samuel Lino
1 👟
M
19
G. Plata
33'
M
G. Plata
33'
M
9
Pedro
2 ⚽
F
Pedro
2 ⚽
F
Bench
26
Alex Sandro
22'
D
Alex Sandro
22'
D
42
Andrew
G
Andrew
G
13
Danilo
10'
D
Danilo
10'
D
49
Dyogo
G
Dyogo
G
11
Everton
F
Everton
F
52
Evertton Araújo
21'
M
Evertton Araújo
21'
M
10
G. de Arrascaeta
21'
M
G. de Arrascaeta
21'
M
2
G. Varela
D
G. Varela
D
61
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
99
Lorran
1 ⚽
57'
M
Lorran
1 ⚽
57'
M
8
Saúl
M
Saúl
M
64
Wallace
F
Wallace
F
Best on the pitch
Pedro
F · Flamengo
8.20
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 22 pass
A. Rossi
G · Flamengo
8.20
· 25 pass
Léo Pereira
D · Flamengo
7.50
· 72 pass
Giovanni Augusto
F · Chapecoense-sc
7.30
2 shots
· 36 pass
Ênio
M · Chapecoense-sc
7.20
· 13 pass
E. Pulgar
M · Flamengo
7.20
· 89 pass
Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Aurélio | G | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Doma | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Thyere | D | 90 | 5.30 | 1 | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Everton | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Vinicius Balieiro | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Camilo | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| David Antunes | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Y. Bolasie | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcinho | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Giovanni Augusto | F | 69 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Matias | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Ênio | M | 31 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Kassio | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Neto Pessoa | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Rubens | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Flamengo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rossi | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Pereira | D | 80 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 72 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Vitão | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 73% | — | — | — |
| Emerson Royal | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorginho | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 93 | 84% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Pulgar | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 89 | 82% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Samuel Lino | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 52 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Plata | M | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Pedro | F | 90 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 4 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Sandro | D | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Danilo | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Evertton Araújo | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| G. de Arrascaeta | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Lorran | M | 57 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo?
The final score was Chapecoense-sc 0–4 Flamengo.
What did the model predict before Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo?
The model assigned 15% probability to a Chapecoense-sc win, 18% to a draw, and 66% to an Flamengo win.