✗Model wrong — prediction Fluminense, result Chapecoense-sc wins
Yannick Bolasie
(ast. Giovanni Augusto)
9'
Giovanni Augusto
(ast. Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira)
56'
30'
(ast. Hulk)
Claudio Rodrigues Gomes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 52% win probability (draw 21%, Chapecoense-sc 26%). The final result was Chapecoense-sc 2–1 Fluminense. In 1 previous meetings, Chapecoense-sc have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fluminense.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
16
3
Shots on target
4
0.59
Actual xG
1.44
3
Saves
1
26%
Possession
74%
3
Corners
6
16
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Yannick Bolasie
· ast. Giovanni Augusto
9'
30'
ast. Hulk ·
Claudio Rodrigues Gomes⚽
Camilo Reijers de Oliveira
37'
Maurício Garcez
/ Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira
45'
⚽Giovanni Augusto
· ast. Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira
56'
Yago Felipe
57'
65'
Riquelme Felipe·Silva de Almeida
/
Wesley Natã de Freitas Prado
65'
Luciano Acosta
/
Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima
Yannick Bolasie
/ Kevin Ramírez
70'
Yago Felipe
/ Bruno Matias
70'
João Paulo
/ Rafael Thyere
73'
79'
Rodrigo Castillo
/
Hércules Pereira do Nascimento
Marcio Antonio de Sousa Junior
/ Fernando Augusto Pereira Bueno Júnior
83'
85'
Germán Ezequiel Cano Recalde
/
Hulk
85'
Renê Rodrigues Martins
/
Igor Rabello
90'+2
Guilherme Arana
Pre-match prediction
26.68%
Chapecoense-sc ←
21.29%
X
52.03%
Fluminense
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Chapecoense-sc)
26.68%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.34
0.59
-0.75
1.98
1.44
-0.54
Fluminense dominated by xG (1.44 vs 0.59).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
98
Anderson
G
Anderson
G
91
Bruno Pacheco
D
Bruno Pacheco
D
4
João Paulo
73'
D
João Paulo
73'
D
3
Doma
D
Doma
D
20
Bruno Tubarão
D
Bruno Tubarão
D
88
Yago Felipe
70'
M
Yago Felipe
70'
M
27
Camilo
M
Camilo
M
31
Garcez
45'
M
Garcez
45'
M
10
Giovanni Augusto
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Giovanni Augusto
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
7
Marcinho
83'
M
Marcinho
83'
M
11
Y. Bolasie
1 ⚽
70'
F
Y. Bolasie
1 ⚽
70'
F
Bench
16
Bruno Matias
20'
M
Bruno Matias
20'
M
19
David Antunes
M
David Antunes
M
23
Dudu
D
Dudu
D
12
Fernando
7'
D
Fernando
7'
D
29
F. Rossi
F
F. Rossi
F
94
K. Ramírez
20'
F
K. Ramírez
20'
F
30
Matheus Aurélio
G
Matheus Aurélio
G
22
Max
M
Max
M
80
Miguel Carvalho
M
Miguel Carvalho
M
15
Rafael Thyere
17'
D
Rafael Thyere
17'
D
39
Rodrigo
F
Rodrigo
F
1
Fábio
G
Fábio
G
13
Guilherme Arana
D
Guilherme Arana
D
21
Igor Rabello
85'
D
Igor Rabello
85'
D
4
Ignacio
D
Ignacio
D
23
Guga
1 ⚽
D
Guga
1 ⚽
D
35
Hércules
79'
M
Hércules
79'
M
16
Nonato
M
Nonato
M
90
K. Serna
M
K. Serna
M
10
PH Ganso
65'
M
PH Ganso
65'
M
34
Wesley Nata
65'
M
Wesley Nata
65'
M
7
Hulk
1 👟
85'
F
Hulk
1 👟
85'
F
Bench
17
A. Canobbio
F
A. Canobbio
F
14
G. Cano
5'
F
G. Cano
5'
F
22
J. Freytes
D
J. Freytes
D
32
L. Acosta
25'
M
L. Acosta
25'
M
94
Otávio
M
Otávio
M
19
R. Castillo
11'
F
R. Castillo
11'
F
6
Renê
5'
D
Renê
5'
D
28
Riquelme
25'
F
Riquelme
25'
F
2
Samuel Xavier
D
Samuel Xavier
D
3
Thiago Silva
D
Thiago Silva
D
98
Vitor Eudes
G
Vitor Eudes
G
Best on the pitch
Giovanni Augusto
M · Chapecoense-sc
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 40 pass
Y. Bolasie
F · Chapecoense-sc
7.88
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
Guga
D · Fluminense
7.78
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 86 pass
Hércules
M · Fluminense
7.09
· 78 pass
Riquelme
F · Fluminense
7.01
2 shots
· 30 pass
L. Acosta
M · Fluminense
6.90
3 shots
· 36 pass
Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | G | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 90 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| João Paulo | D | 73 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Doma | D | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Bruno Tubarão | D | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Yago Felipe | M | 70 | 5.87 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Camilo | M | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 28% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Garcez | M | 45 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Giovanni Augusto | M | 90 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| Marcinho | M | 83 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Bolasie | F | 70 | 7.88 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Bruno Matias | M | 20 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
| Fernando | D | 7 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Ramírez | F | 20 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Rafael Thyere | D | 17 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Fluminense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fábio | G | 90 | 5.78 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Guilherme Arana | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 82 | 72% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Igor Rabello | D | 85 | 6.71 | — | — | 1 | 83 | 78% | 2 | — | — |
| Ignacio | D | 90 | 6.82 | — | — | 1 | 102 | 98% | 1 | — | — |
| Guga | D | 90 | 7.78 | 1 | — | 1 | 86 | 79% | 0 | — | — |
| Hércules | M | 79 | 7.09 | — | — | 0 | 78 | 75% | 0 | — | — |
| Nonato | M | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 1 | 87 | 80% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Serna | M | 90 | 6.15 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| PH Ganso | M | 65 | 6.32 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| Wesley Nata | M | 65 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Hulk | F | 85 | 6.58 | — | 1 | 0 | 20 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Cano | F | 5 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Acosta | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Castillo | F | 11 | 6.53 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Renê | D | 5 | 6.74 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Riquelme | F | 25 | 7.01 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense?
The final score was Chapecoense-sc 2–1 Fluminense.
What did the model predict before Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Chapecoense-sc win, 21% to a draw, and 52% to an Fluminense win.