Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 6 March 17, 2026 00:00

Chapecoense-sc

#20 · 10 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Gremio

#14 · 25 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chapecoense-sc a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Gremio 31%). The final result was Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Gremio. In 1 previous meetings, Chapecoense-sc have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Gremio.

Match statistics

1

Shots on target

4

1.11

Actual xG

0.69

35%

Possession

65%

4

Corners

5

Pre-match prediction

38.47%

Chapecoense-sc

29.99%

X ←

31.54%

Gremio

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.99% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Chapecoense-sc

2.13

1.11

-1.02

Gremio

1.35

0.69

-0.66

Chapecoense-sc dominated by xG (1.11 vs 0.69). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palmeiras	21	47
2	Flamengo	20	39
3	Atletico Paranaense	21	37
4	Fluminense	22	35
5	Cruzeiro	22	33
6	Bahia	21	32
7	RB Bragantino	20	31
8	Botafogo	21	30
9	Coritiba	22	30
10	Atletico-MG	21	29
11	Corinthians	21	29
12	Sao Paulo	21	26
13	Vitoria	21	26
14	Gremio	21	25
15	Mirassol	21	23
16	Santos	20	22
17	Internacional	21	22
18	Remo	22	22
19	Vasco DA Gama	20	21
20	Chapecoense-sc	21	10