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Chapecoense-sc - Vasco DA Gama

Brasileirão Série A July 29, 2026 22:00
Chapecoense-sc
#20 · 18 pts
vs
Vasco DA Gama
#16 · 31 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.4%
Win
Chapecoense-sc
28.77%
Draw
35.82%
Win
Vasco DA Gama
1.03
Expected xG
1.05

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (13.83%)
1X2 Result ✓ 64.3% hit rate (42 picks)
1 35%
X 29%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 65%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 39%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chapecoense-sc a 35% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Vasco DA Gama. Expected goals are 1.0 for Chapecoense-sc and 1.1 for Vasco DA Gama (total 2.1), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 13.83% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Chapecoense-sc have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Vasco DA Gama.

Season Stats

Chapecoense-sc
0W 4D 11L
Vasco DA Gama
4W 5D 6L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
1.2
2.1
Conceded
1.6
3.4
Shots OT
5.1
4.0
Corners
4.6
45%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
73%
53%
O 2.5
53%
53%
BTTS
67%
7%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Brasileirão Série A. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
47%
O 3.5
74%
BTTS
Chapecoense-sc
1W 4D 5L · at home
Vasco DA Gama
0W 4D 5L · away
1.3
gls/g
1.1
2.4
Conceded
1.9
10%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
44%
90%
O 1.5
78%
70%
O 2.5
56%
60%
O 3.5
33%
70%
BTTS
78%
10%
Clean Sht
0%
30%
Failed to Score
22%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Chapecoense-sc Vasco DA Gama →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5% 13.2% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 6.6% 6.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
D Atletico-MG 1–1
L Internacional 1–2
W Corinthians 1–2
L Gremio 3–1
W Sao Paulo 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
W Coritiba 5–0
W Gremio 1–2
L Fluminense 1–0
W Cruzeiro 3–1
L Palmeiras 4–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 21%

Playing profile

Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
Attack
36
Defence
56
Form
36
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
Attack
47
Defence
69
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Chapecoense-sc
1
Draw
0
Vasco DA Gama
6 Feb 2026 Brasileirão Série A 1–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 28 60
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 28 57
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense Fluminense 28 48
5 Bahia Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 28 45
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 27 40
8 Santos Santos 27 38
9 Coritiba Coritiba 28 38
10 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 27 36
12 Botafogo Botafogo 28 35
13 Vitoria Vitoria 28 33
14 Corinthians Corinthians 28 32
15 Mirassol Mirassol 28 32
16 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 27 31
17 Gremio Gremio 28 29
18 Internacional Internacional 28 28
19 Remo Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 27 18
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama?
The model gives Chapecoense-sc a 35% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 35% for an Vasco DA Gama win.
How many goals are expected in Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama?
Expected goals: Chapecoense-sc 1.0, Vasco DA Gama 1.1 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.83%.