Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 10
April 05, 2026 21:00
Neto Pessoa
(ast. Marcos Vinicius)
87'
(pen.)
90'
Matheuzinho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chapecoense-sc a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Vitoria 32%). The final result was Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Vitoria.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
9
2.06
Actual xG
1.46
8
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
9
Corners
1
9
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Everton
-5'
Everton
/ Marcos Vinicius
18'
37'
Edenilson
38'
Edenilson
45'
Ronald
Bruno Pacheco
/ W. Clar
46'
46'
Rene
/
Renato Kayzer
46'
Nathan Mendes
/
Ronald Lopes
56'
Luan Candido
/
Camutanga
65'
Anderson
/
D. Tarzia
Italo
/ Marcinho
67'
70'
Anderson Pato
82'
Cacá
Jean Carlos
/ Neto Pessoa
83'
Joao Vitor
/ David Antunes
83'
⚽Neto Pessoa
· ast. Marcos Vinicius
87'
Marcos Vinícius
89'
89'
Ramon
89'
Matheuzinho
/
Caique Goncalves
90'
(pen.)
Matheuzinho⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.96%
Chapecoense-sc
31.21%
X ←
32.83%
Vitoria
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.21%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.13
2.06
+0.93
1.04
1.46
+0.42
Chapecoense-sc dominated by xG (2.06 vs 1.46).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
91
Bruno Pacheco
45'
D
Bruno Pacheco
45'
D
3
Eduardo Doma
D
Eduardo Doma
D
33
Bruno Leonardo
D
Bruno Leonardo
D
26
Everton
18'
D
Everton
18'
D
27
M
5
João Vitor
83'
M
João Vitor
83'
M
77
Italo
67'
M
20
Jean Carlos
83'
M
Jean Carlos
83'
M
97
Ênio
M
Ênio
M
11
Yannick Bolasie
F
Yannick Bolasie
F
Bench
19
David Antunes
18'
M
David Antunes
18'
M
22
Higor Meritão
M
Higor Meritão
M
7
Marcinho
34'
F
Marcinho
34'
F
2
Marcos Vinícius
1 👟
83'
D
Marcos Vinícius
1 👟
83'
D
18
Neto Pessoa
1 ⚽
18'
F
Neto Pessoa
1 ⚽
18'
F
25
Victor Caetano
D
Victor Caetano
D
1
G
13
Ramon
D
Ramon
D
25
Cacá
D
Cacá
D
4
Camutanga
56'
D
26
Edenilson
38'
D
Edenilson
38'
D
88
Zé Vitor
M
Zé Vitor
M
95
Caíque
89'
M
Caíque
89'
M
12
D. Tarzia
65'
M
D. Tarzia
65'
M
8
Ronald
45'
M
Ronald
45'
M
33
Erick
M
Erick
M
79
Renato Kayzer
45'
F
Renato Kayzer
45'
F
Bench
17
A. Cantalapiedra
F
28
Anderson Pato
36'
M
20
Lucas Silva
F
Lucas Silva
F
10
Matheuzinho
1 ⚽
12'
M
Matheuzinho
1 ⚽
12'
M
45
Nathan Mendes
56'
D
Nathan Mendes
56'
D
91
Rene
56'
F
Rene
56'
F
31
Renzo López
F
Renzo López
F
Best on the pitch
Ênio
M · Chapecoense-sc
8.00
2 shots
· 30 pass
Camutanga
D · Vitoria
7.50
· 14 pass
G · Vitoria
7.50
· 39 pass
Neto Pessoa
F · Chapecoense-sc
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
Matheuzinho
M · Vitoria
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Erick
M · Vitoria
7.20
1 shots
· 29 pass
Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Doma | D | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 58 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Leonardo | D | 101 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Everton | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| M | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 6 | — | — | |
| João Vitor | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Italo | M | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Jean Carlos | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Ênio | M | 101 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Yannick Bolasie | F | 101 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| David Antunes | M | 18 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcinho | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Vinícius | D | 83 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Neto Pessoa | F | 18 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Vitoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 101 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Ramon | D | 101 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Cacá | D | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Camutanga | D | 56 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Edenilson | D | 38 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Zé Vitor | M | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Caíque | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Tarzia | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Ronald | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Erick | M | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Renato Kayzer | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Anderson Pato | M | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Matheuzinho | M | 12 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Mendes | D | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Rene | F | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chapecoense-sc vs Vitoria?
The final score was Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Vitoria.
What did the model predict before Chapecoense-sc vs Vitoria?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Chapecoense-sc win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an Vitoria win.