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Charleroi - Rayo Vallecano

Friendlies Clubs August 01, 2026 19:00
Charleroi
vs
Rayo Vallecano
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.31%
Win
Charleroi
31.31%
Draw
31.37%
Win
Rayo Vallecano
2.19
Expected xG
0.91

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.11%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 31%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 63%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Charleroi a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Rayo Vallecano. Expected goals are 2.2 for Charleroi and 0.9 for Rayo Vallecano (total 3.1), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.11% probability.

Season Stats

Charleroi
1W 2D 2L
Rayo Vallecano
0W 0D 2L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.0
2.2
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
Charleroi
1W 1D 0L · at home
Rayo Vallecano
0W 0D 2L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
1.5
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Charleroi Rayo Vallecano →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% —
1 9.9% 9.0% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.8% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.9% 7.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% —
4 4.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Charleroi Charleroi
W Seraing United 2–1
D Lens 2–2
L Feyenoord 3–1
D Reims 2–2
L SC Paderborn 07 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
L Feyenoord 2–1
L Heart Of Midlothian 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Charleroi Charleroi
Attack
44
Defence
49
Form
52
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Attack
25
Defence
50
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Charleroi vs Rayo Vallecano?
The model gives Charleroi a 37% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Rayo Vallecano win.
How many goals are expected in Charleroi vs Rayo Vallecano?
Expected goals: Charleroi 2.2, Rayo Vallecano 0.9 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Charleroi vs Rayo Vallecano?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.11%.