Pro League
· Conference League Group - 33
April 18, 2026 18:15
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
A. Bernier
(ast. P. Pflucke)
62'
69'
(ast. A. Abid)
B. Nguene
90'+3
T. Mohr
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Standard Liege a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Charleroi 29%). The final result was Charleroi 1–2 Standard Liege. In 3 previous meetings, Charleroi have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Standard Liege.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
1.75
Actual xG
0.50
0
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
6
Corners
4
17
Tackles
10
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
17'
I. Karamoko
/
M. Ilaimaharitra
A. Ousou
48'
M. Nzita
50'
E. Camara
54'
A. Colassin
/ A. Scheidler
60'
⚽A. Bernier
· ast. P. Pflucke
62'
67'
T. Nkada
/
D. Eckert Ayensa
67'
B. Nguene
/
R. Said
69'
ast. A. Abid ·
B. Nguene⚽
E. Camara
/ Y. Khalifi
71'
L. Blum
76'
L. Blum
/ Y. Cisse
84'
P. Pflucke
/ J. Romsaas
84'
86'
T. Mohr
/
G. Mortensen
90'+3
T. Mohr⚽
90'+5
C. Nielsen
Pre-match prediction
29.52%
Charleroi
31.5%
X
38.98%
Standard ←
we assigned to the actual result (Standard Liege)
38.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.73
1.75
+1.02
1.17
0.50
-0.67
Charleroi dominated by xG (1.75 vs 0.50).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
G
24
M. Nzita
D
M. Nzita
D
95
C. Keita
D
C. Keita
D
4
Aiham Ousou
D
27
L. Blum
84'
D
L. Blum
84'
D
56
A. Boukamir
M
A. Boukamir
M
5
E. Camara
70'
M
E. Camara
70'
M
17
A. Bernier
1 ⚽
M
A. Bernier
1 ⚽
M
14
P. Pflücke
1 👟
84'
M
P. Pflücke
1 👟
84'
M
3
K. Van Den Kerkhof
M
K. Van Den Kerkhof
M
25
A. Colassin
60'
F
A. Colassin
60'
F
Bench
21
A. Scheidler
39'
F
A. Scheidler
39'
F
8
J. Romsaas
15'
M
J. Romsaas
15'
M
40
Y. Khalifi
29'
M
Y. Khalifi
29'
M
1
G
24
J. Homawoo
D
4
David Robert Bates
D
David Robert Bates
D
25
D
3
G. Mortensen
87'
M
G. Mortensen
87'
M
23
M. Ilaimaharitra
17'
M
M. Ilaimaharitra
17'
M
94
C. Nielsen
M
C. Nielsen
M
18
H. Lawrence
M
H. Lawrence
M
17
Rafiki Saïd
67'
F
Rafiki Saïd
67'
F
10
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
67'
F
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
67'
F
11
A. Abid
1 👟
F
A. Abid
1 👟
F
Bench
26
Bernard Nguene
1 ⚽
32'
F
Bernard Nguene
1 ⚽
32'
F
29
D. Dierckx
D
D. Dierckx
D
20
I. Karamoko
82'
D
I. Karamoko
82'
D
53
Steeven Assengue
M
Steeven Assengue
M
7
T. Mohr
1 ⚽
12'
M
T. Mohr
1 ⚽
12'
M
59
T. Nkada
32'
F
T. Nkada
32'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Bernier
M · Charleroi
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 34 pass
P. Pflücke
M · Charleroi
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 31 pass
Bernard Nguene
F · Standard
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
J. Homawoo
D · Standard
7.60
· 58 pass
G · Standard
7.30
· 34 pass
T. Mohr
M · Standard
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 1 pass
Charleroi — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 99 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| M. Nzita | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Keita | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Aiham Ousou | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 59% | 3 | 1 | — |
| L. Blum | D | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 4 | 1 | — |
| A. Boukamir | M | 99 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Camara | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Bernier | M | 99 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Pflücke | M | 84 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Van Den Kerkhof | M | 99 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Colassin | F | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Scheidler | F | 39 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Romsaas | M | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Khalifi | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
Standard Liege — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| J. Homawoo | D | 99 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 58 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| David Robert Bates | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | — | — | — |
| D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — | |
| G. Mortensen | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ilaimaharitra | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Nielsen | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 36% | 4 | 1 | — |
| H. Lawrence | M | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Rafiki Saïd | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Dennis Eckert Ayensa | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Abid | F | 99 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Bernard Nguene | F | 32 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| I. Karamoko | D | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Mohr | M | 12 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| T. Nkada | F | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charleroi vs Standard Liege?
The final score was Charleroi 1–2 Standard Liege.
What did the model predict before Charleroi vs Standard Liege?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Charleroi win, 31% to a draw, and 38% to an Standard Liege win.