MLS
· Regular Season - 16
July 23, 2026 02:15
K. A. Calderon Vargas
16'
L. Abada
(ast. P. Biel)
45'
57'
(ast. T. Jacob)
E. Baez
76'
M. Almiron
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 54% win probability (draw 23%, Atlanta United FC 21%). The final result was Charlotte 2–2 Atlanta United FC. In 1 previous meetings, Charlotte have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atlanta United FC.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
12
9
Shots on target
6
2.67
Actual xG
1.63
4
Saves
7
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
3
9
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽K. A. Calderon Vargas
16'
22'
W. Reilly
⚽L. Abada
· ast. P. Biel
45'
48'
A. Miranchuk
57'
ast. T. Jacob ·
E. Baez⚽
A. Goodwin
/ I. Toklomati
63'
L. Abada
/ R. Aloko
63'
L. de la Torre
/ D. Diani
63'
W. Cleary
/ N. Byrne
64'
76'
M. Almiron⚽
N. Byrne
79'
82'
L. Brennan
/
F. Picault
K. A. Calderon Vargas
/ T. Smalls
85'
89'
I. Suarez
/
C. Sanchez
90'+3
S. Gregersen
/
J. Alonso
90'+10
T. Jacob
Pre-match prediction
54.3%
Charlotte
23.75%
X ←
21.95%
Atlanta
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.85
2.67
+0.82
1.00
1.63
+0.63
Charlotte dominated by xG (2.67 vs 1.63).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Kristijan Kahlina
G
Kristijan Kahlina
G
15
Harry Toffolo
D
Harry Toffolo
D
3
Tim Ream
D
Tim Ream
D
44
Morrison Agyemang
D
Morrison Agyemang
D
35
Will Cleary
64'
D
Will Cleary
64'
D
11
Liel Abada
1 ⚽
63'
M
Liel Abada
1 ⚽
63'
M
17
Luca De La Torre
63'
M
Luca De La Torre
63'
M
8
A. Westwood
M
A. Westwood
M
18
Kerwin Calderón Vargas
1 ⚽
85'
M
Kerwin Calderón Vargas
1 ⚽
85'
M
7
Archie Goodwin
63'
F
Archie Goodwin
63'
F
16
Pep Biel
1 👟
F
Pep Biel
1 👟
F
Bench
4
Andrew Privett
D
Andrew Privett
D
13
Brandt Bronico
M
Brandt Bronico
M
28
Djibril Diani
38'
M
Djibril Diani
38'
M
22
Henry Kessler
D
Henry Kessler
D
9
Idan Toklomati
38'
F
Idan Toklomati
38'
F
14
Nathan Byrne
37'
D
Nathan Byrne
37'
D
37
Rodolfo Aloko
38'
F
Rodolfo Aloko
38'
F
25
Tyger Smalls
16'
F
Tyger Smalls
16'
F
21
Tyler Miller
G
Tyler Miller
G
1
Lucas Hoyos
G
Lucas Hoyos
G
3
Elías Báez
1 ⚽
D
Elías Báez
1 ⚽
D
6
Junior Alonso
D
Junior Alonso
D
4
Enea Mihaj
D
Enea Mihaj
D
55
T. Jacob
1 👟
D
T. Jacob
1 👟
D
28
William Reilly
M
William Reilly
M
10
M. Almirón
1 ⚽
M
M. Almirón
1 ⚽
M
8
Tristan Muyumba
M
Tristan Muyumba
M
48
Cooper Sanchez
89'
M
Cooper Sanchez
89'
M
59
Aleksey Miranchuk
M
Aleksey Miranchuk
M
22
Fafà Picault
82'
F
Fafà Picault
82'
F
Bench
16
Adrian Gill
M
Adrian Gill
M
39
Arif Kovac
F
Arif Kovac
F
30
Cayman Togashi
F
Cayman Togashi
F
56
Ignacio Suarez-Couri
12'
M
Ignacio Suarez-Couri
12'
M
42
Jayden Hibbert
G
Jayden Hibbert
G
20
Luke Brennan
19'
M
Luke Brennan
19'
M
2
Ronald Hernández
D
Ronald Hernández
D
5
Stian Gregersen
8'
D
Stian Gregersen
8'
D
41
Toto Majub
D
Toto Majub
D
Best on the pitch
Lucas Hoyos
G · Atlanta
8.90
· 24 pass
A. Westwood
M · Charlotte
8.70
· 69 pass
Kerwin Calderón Vargas
M · Charlotte
8.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 24 pass
M. Almirón
M · Atlanta
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 37 pass
Pep Biel
F · Charlotte
8.00
1 👟
2 shots
· 34 pass
Liel Abada
M · Charlotte
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 24 pass
Charlotte — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristijan Kahlina | G | 101 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Harry Toffolo | D | 101 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Tim Ream | D | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 74 | 72% | 2 | — | — |
| Morrison Agyemang | D | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Will Cleary | D | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Liel Abada | M | 63 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca De La Torre | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Westwood | M | 101 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 69 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Kerwin Calderón Vargas | M | 85 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Archie Goodwin | F | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Pep Biel | F | 101 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Djibril Diani | M | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Idan Toklomati | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | 6 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Byrne | D | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Rodolfo Aloko | F | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Tyger Smalls | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos | G | 101 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Elías Báez | D | 101 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 48 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Junior Alonso | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 81 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| Enea Mihaj | D | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 71 | 67% | — | — | — |
| T. Jacob | D | 101 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 37 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| William Reilly | M | 101 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 63 | 61% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Almirón | M | 101 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Tristan Muyumba | M | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| Cooper Sanchez | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Aleksey Miranchuk | M | 101 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fafà Picault | F | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Suarez-Couri | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| Luke Brennan | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Stian Gregersen | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
The final score was Charlotte 2–2 Atlanta United FC.
What did the model predict before Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Charlotte win, 23% to a draw, and 21% to an Atlanta United FC win.