MLS
· Regular Season - 16
July 23, 2026 02:15
K. A. Calderon Vargas
16'
L. Abada
(ast. P. Biel)
45'
57'
(ast. T. Jacob)
E. Baez
76'
M. Almiron
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 54% win probability (draw 23%, Atlanta United FC 21%). The final result was Charlotte 2–2 Atlanta United FC. In 2 previous meetings, Charlotte have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atlanta United FC.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
12
9
Shots on target
6
2.67
Actual xG
1.63
4
Saves
7
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
3
9
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽K. A. Calderon Vargas
16'
22'
W. Reilly
⚽L. Abada
· ast. P. Biel
45'
48'
A. Miranchuk
57'
ast. T. Jacob ·
E. Baez⚽
A. Goodwin
/ I. Toklomati
63'
L. Abada
/ R. Aloko
63'
L. de la Torre
/ D. Diani
63'
W. Cleary
/ N. Byrne
64'
76'
M. Almiron⚽
N. Byrne
79'
82'
L. Brennan
/
F. Picault
K. A. Calderon Vargas
/ T. Smalls
85'
89'
I. Suarez
/
C. Sanchez
90'+3
S. Gregersen
/
J. Alonso
90'+10
T. Jacob
Pre-match prediction
54.3%
Charlotte
23.75%
X ←
21.95%
Atlanta
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.85
2.67
+0.82
1.00
1.63
+0.63
Charlotte dominated by xG (2.67 vs 1.63).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
K. Kahlina
G
K. Kahlina
G
15
Harry Toffolo
D
3
T. Ream
D
T. Ream
D
44
M. Agyemang
D
M. Agyemang
D
35
Will Cleary
64'
D
Will Cleary
64'
D
11
L. Abada
1 ⚽
63'
M
L. Abada
1 ⚽
63'
M
17
L. de la Torre
63'
M
L. de la Torre
63'
M
8
A. Westwood
M
A. Westwood
M
18
K. Vargas
1 ⚽
85'
M
K. Vargas
1 ⚽
85'
M
7
A. Goodwin
63'
F
A. Goodwin
63'
F
16
Pep Biel
1 👟
F
Pep Biel
1 👟
F
Bench
4
A. Privett
D
A. Privett
D
13
B. Bronico
M
B. Bronico
M
28
D. Diani
38'
M
D. Diani
38'
M
22
H. Kessler
D
H. Kessler
D
9
I. Toklomati Giorno
38'
F
I. Toklomati Giorno
38'
F
14
N. Byrne
37'
D
N. Byrne
37'
D
37
R. Aloko
38'
F
R. Aloko
38'
F
21
T. Miller
G
T. Miller
G
25
Tyger Smalls
16'
F
Tyger Smalls
16'
F
1
L. Hoyos
G
L. Hoyos
G
3
E. Báez
1 ⚽
D
E. Báez
1 ⚽
D
6
J. Alonso
D
J. Alonso
D
4
E. Mihaj
D
E. Mihaj
D
55
T. Jacob
1 👟
D
T. Jacob
1 👟
D
28
William Reilly
M
William Reilly
M
10
M. Almirón
1 ⚽
M
M. Almirón
1 ⚽
M
8
T. Muyumba
M
T. Muyumba
M
48
C. Sanchez
89'
M
C. Sanchez
89'
M
59
A. Miranchuk
M
A. Miranchuk
M
22
F. Picault
82'
F
F. Picault
82'
F
Bench
16
Adrian Gill
M
Adrian Gill
M
39
Arif Kovac
F
Arif Kovac
F
30
C. Togashi
F
C. Togashi
F
56
Ignacio Suarez-Couri
12'
M
Ignacio Suarez-Couri
12'
M
42
Jayden Hibbert
G
Jayden Hibbert
G
20
L. Brennan
19'
M
L. Brennan
19'
M
2
R. Hernández
D
R. Hernández
D
5
S. Gregersen
8'
D
S. Gregersen
8'
D
41
Toto Majub
D
Toto Majub
D
Best on the pitch
L. Hoyos
G · Atlanta
8.90
· 24 pass
A. Westwood
M · Charlotte
8.70
· 69 pass
K. Vargas
M · Charlotte
8.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 24 pass
M. Almirón
M · Atlanta
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 37 pass
Pep Biel
F · Charlotte
8.00
1 👟
2 shots
· 34 pass
L. Abada
M · Charlotte
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 24 pass
Charlotte — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kahlina | G | 101 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Harry Toffolo | D | 101 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 48% | — | — | — |
| T. Ream | D | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 74 | 72% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Agyemang | D | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Will Cleary | D | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Abada | M | 63 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| L. de la Torre | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Westwood | M | 101 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 69 | 59% | — | — | — |
| K. Vargas | M | 85 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Goodwin | F | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Pep Biel | F | 101 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| D. Diani | M | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| I. Toklomati Giorno | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | 6 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Byrne | D | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Aloko | F | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Tyger Smalls | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hoyos | G | 101 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Báez | D | 101 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 48 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Alonso | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 81 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Mihaj | D | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 71 | 67% | — | — | — |
| T. Jacob | D | 101 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 37 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| William Reilly | M | 101 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 63 | 61% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Almirón | M | 101 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| T. Muyumba | M | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Sanchez | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Miranchuk | M | 101 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Picault | F | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Suarez-Couri | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| L. Brennan | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Gregersen | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
The final score was Charlotte 2–2 Atlanta United FC.
What did the model predict before Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Charlotte win, 23% to a draw, and 21% to an Atlanta United FC win.