MLS
· Regular Season - 19
August 16, 2026 01:30
✓Model correct — prediction Charlotte
B. Bronico
(ast. D. Schnegg)
1'
L. Abada
9'
(pen.)
P. Biel
(ast. R. Aloko)
73'
41'
C. Adams
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 65% win probability (draw 18%, Columbus Crew 16%). The final result was Charlotte 3–1 Columbus Crew.
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
4
1.91
Actual xG
1.42
30%
Possession
70%
1
Corners
13
Match Events
⚽B. Bronico
· ast. D. Schnegg
1'
⚽L. Abada
(pen.)
9'
D. Schnegg
39'
41'
C. Adams⚽
46'
B. Mendez
/
C. Adams
46'
A. Gomes
/
T. Karumanchi
46'
S. Moreira
/
L. Giaccone
L. de la Torre
/ A. Saint-Maximin
46'
N. Byrne
/ W. Cleary
56'
I. Toklomati
/ A. Goodwin
56'
D. Smith
57'
H. Kessler
60'
71'
A. Herrera
/
M. Amundsen
71'
J. Martinez
/
D. Gazdag
L. Abada
/ R. Aloko
71'
⚽P. Biel
· ast. R. Aloko
73'
P. Biel
/ T. Smalls
87'
A. Westwood
89'
Pre-match prediction
65.13%
Charlotte ←
18.38%
X
16.49%
Columbus
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Charlotte)
65.13%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.24
1.91
-0.32
0.88
1.42
+0.54
Charlotte dominated by xG (1.91 vs 1.42).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlotte vs Columbus Crew?
The final score was Charlotte 3–1 Columbus Crew.
What did the model predict before Charlotte vs Columbus Crew?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Charlotte win, 18% to a draw, and 16% to an Columbus Crew win.