MLS · Regular Season - 19 August 16, 2026 01:30

Charlotte

#5 · 47 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Columbus Crew

#10 · 38 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Charlotte

B. Bronico (ast. D. Schnegg) 1'

L. Abada 9' (pen.)

P. Biel (ast. R. Aloko) 73'

41' C. Adams

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 65% win probability (draw 18%, Columbus Crew 16%). The final result was Charlotte 3–1 Columbus Crew. In 1 previous meetings, Charlotte have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Columbus Crew.

Match statistics

7

Shots on target

4

1.91

Actual xG

1.42

30%

Possession

70%

1

Corners

13

Match Events

⚽B. Bronico · ast. D. Schnegg

1'

⚽L. Abada (pen.)

9'

D. Schnegg

39'

41'

C. Adams⚽

46'

B. Mendez / C. Adams ↕

46'

A. Gomes / T. Karumanchi ↕

46'

S. Moreira / L. Giaccone ↕

↕ L. de la Torre / A. Saint-Maximin

46'

↕ N. Byrne / W. Cleary

56'

↕ I. Toklomati / A. Goodwin

56'

D. Smith

57'

H. Kessler

60'

71'

A. Herrera / M. Amundsen ↕

71'

J. Martinez / D. Gazdag ↕

↕ L. Abada / R. Aloko

71'

⚽P. Biel · ast. R. Aloko

73'

↕ P. Biel / T. Smalls

87'

A. Westwood

89'

Pre-match prediction

65.13%

Charlotte ←

18.38%

X

16.49%

Columbus

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Charlotte) 65.13% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Charlotte

2.24

1.91

-0.32

Columbus

0.88

1.42

+0.54

Charlotte dominated by xG (1.91 vs 1.42). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	31	70
2	New England Revolution	31	55
3	Inter Miami	31	55
4	Chicago Fire	31	51
5	Charlotte	31	47
6	Philadelphia Union	31	46
7	Orlando City SC	31	42
8	FC Cincinnati	31	42
9	New York Red Bulls	31	39
10	Columbus Crew	31	38
11	Toronto FC	31	36
12	New York City FC	31	35
13	DC United	31	33
14	Atlanta United FC	31	30
15	CF Montreal	31	25