MLS · Regular Season - 21 August 23, 2026 01:30

Charlotte

#5 · 47 pts

3 – 1

Final score

DC United

#13 · 33 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Charlotte

D. Schnegg 64'

W. Cleary (ast. P. Biel) 66'

P. Biel (ast. L. Abada) 77'

55' (ast. Peglow) L. Munteanu

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 72% win probability (draw 14%, DC United 12%). The final result was Charlotte 3–1 DC United. In 1 previous meetings, Charlotte have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for DC United.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

5

1.81

Actual xG

1.27

61%

Possession

39%

4

Corners

9

Match Events

34'

K. Kurokawa

44'

S. Hefti

55'

ast. Peglow · L. Munteanu⚽

⚽D. Schnegg

64'

↕ L. de la Torre / B. Bronico

65'

↕ R. Aloko / L. Abada

65'

↕ A. Westwood / D. Diani

65'

⚽W. Cleary · ast. P. Biel

66'

68'

Peglow

↕ I. Toklomati / A. Goodwin

75'

75'

H. Kijima / K. Nono ↕

75'

N. Ordaz / J. Hopkins ↕

75'

N. Markovic / B. Servania ↕

⚽P. Biel · ast. L. Abada

77'

↕ A. Saint-Maximin / T. Smalls

83'

T. Smalls

85'

86'

J. Stroud / Peglow ↕

P. Biel

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

72.43%

Charlotte ←

14.73%

X

12.84%

DC

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Charlotte) 72.43% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Charlotte

2.97

1.81

-1.16

DC

0.97

1.27

+0.3

Charlotte dominated by xG (1.81 vs 1.27). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	30	67
2	Inter Miami	30	55
3	New England Revolution	30	52
4	Chicago Fire	30	48
5	Charlotte	30	47
6	Philadelphia Union	30	46
7	Orlando City SC	30	41
8	FC Cincinnati	30	39
9	New York Red Bulls	30	36
10	Toronto FC	30	36
11	Columbus Crew	30	35
12	New York City FC	30	34
13	DC United	30	33
14	Atlanta United FC	30	30
15	CF Montreal	30	25