Charlotte 3–1 DC United — pre-match prediction — MLS — August 23, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 21 August 23, 2026 01:30

Charlotte

#5 · 36 pts

3 – 1

Final score

DC United

#12 · 25 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Charlotte

D. Schnegg 64'

W. Cleary (ast. P. Biel) 66'

P. Biel (ast. L. Abada) 77'

55' (ast. Peglow) L. Munteanu

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 72% win probability (draw 14%, DC United 12%). The final result was Charlotte 3–1 DC United.

Match statistics

Shots on target

1.81

Actual xG

1.27

61%

Possession

39%

Corners

Match Events

34'

K. Kurokawa

44'

S. Hefti

55'

ast. Peglow · L. Munteanu⚽

⚽D. Schnegg

64'

↕ L. de la Torre / B. Bronico

65'

↕ R. Aloko / L. Abada

65'

↕ A. Westwood / D. Diani

65'

⚽W. Cleary · ast. P. Biel

66'

68'

Peglow

↕ I. Toklomati / A. Goodwin

75'

H. Kijima / K. Nono ↕

75'

N. Ordaz / J. Hopkins ↕

75'

N. Markovic / B. Servania ↕

⚽P. Biel · ast. L. Abada

77'

↕ A. Saint-Maximin / T. Smalls

83'

T. Smalls

85'

86'

J. Stroud / Peglow ↕

P. Biel

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

72.43%

Charlotte ←

14.73%

12.84%

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Charlotte) 72.43% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Charlotte

2.97

1.81

-1.16

0.97

1.27

+0.3

Charlotte dominated by xG (1.81 vs 1.27). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	23	53
2	Inter Miami	23	43
3	Chicago Fire	22	38
4	New England Revolution	23	37
5	Charlotte	23	36
6	FC Cincinnati	22	31
7	New York City FC	23	29
8	Orlando City SC	23	28
9	Philadelphia Union	23	27
10	New York Red Bulls	23	27
11	Toronto FC	23	26
12	DC United	22	25
13	Columbus Crew	23	23
14	Atlanta United FC	23	22
15	CF Montreal	23	21